Trivial-Consistency — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$1.46K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved (90d)

557

Trades (90d)

4,467

19,323 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$154.0K

$647.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-29 13:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 225 days

Categories

Other

95% 54% +$5,988

Crypto

4% 96% +$170

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Sports

0% 67% +$41

Politics

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	20	$13.5K	7,400	7,400	+0	Yes	+$420	07-10 20:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	5	$12.2K	7,000	7,000	+0	Yes	-$430	07-06 20:03
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	14	$10.5K	5,390	5,390	+0	Yes	+$253	04-25 13:59
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$7.9K	1,000	7,000	-6,000	Yes	+$42	06-16 17:07
Will England win on 2026-07-18?	7	$7.7K	7,474	300	+7,174	Yes	+$93	07-18 22:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?	28	$5.9K	3,078	3,078	+0	Yes	+$264	07-26 14:58
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	8	$5.4K	2,765	2,765	+0	Yes	+$116	07-07 18:05
bitcoin above 62k on march 20	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$5	03-20 01:14
highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 23c	68	$4.4K	2,446	2,244	+202	Yes	+$43	04-24 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 29?	18	$4.2K	2,304	2,147	+157	No	-$9	05-29 04:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 7?	29	$4.2K	2,101	2,101	+0	Yes	+$28	06-07 14:50
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	14	$4.1K	4,220	50	+4,170	Argentina	+$49	07-04 00:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 20?	30	$4.1K	2,046	2,046	+0	No	+$22	07-20 09:46
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 17?	12	$4.0K	4,188	93	+4,095	Yes	+$122	07-17 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 9?	5	$3.8K	3,400	400	+3,000	Yes	+$37	09-09 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on September 17?	4	$3.6K	3,622	0	+3,622	Yes	+$54	09-17 03:15
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 6?	121	$3.5K	1,844	1,843	+0	No	+$88	08-06 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 10?	144	$3.5K	1,802	1,802	+0	No	+$50	05-10 08:05
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	3	$3.4K	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	+$635	07-12 02:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?	44	$3.2K	2,919	532	+2,387	Yes	+$25	07-20 11:12
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 17?	5	$3.0K	1,520	1,520	+0	No	+$29	07-17 10:20
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 6?	4	$2.9K	1,491	1,491	+0	No	+$73	08-06 02:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 25?	35	$2.8K	1,496	1,496	+0	No	+$43	05-25 04:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 25?	1	$2.8K	2,794	0	+2,794	No	+$31	04-24 23:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C or higher on June 5?	18	$2.7K	1,388	1,388	+0	No	+$17	06-05 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 16?	19	$2.7K	1,393	1,393	+0	Yes	+$89	07-16 15:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	176	$2.7K	1,520	1,520	+0	Yes	+$378	08-22 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 22?	11	$2.6K	1,333	1,333	+0	No	+$28	07-22 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22?	9	$2.5K	1,332	1,332	+0	Yes	+$139	09-22 15:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?	10	$2.4K	1,226	1,226	-0	Yes	+$51	07-15 14:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xe10860…
10-29 12:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0x8666f9…
10-29 12:51:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc331d7…
10-29 12:51:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?	No	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0xd8d279…
10-29 11:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?	No	SELL	103	93¢	$96	0x8219ad…
10-29 11:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x16912c…
10-29 11:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 29?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x4dbf72…
10-29 11:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 29?	No	SELL	320	100¢	$320	0x1ce76c…
10-29 10:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x5685cd…
10-29 10:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 29?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8307ed…
10-29 10:07:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 29?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0e40d3…
10-29 09:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 29?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x06eb7d…
10-29 09:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 29?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x2f2c1f…
10-29 09:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 29?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x549788…
10-29 09:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 29?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xfcfeea…
10-29 09:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 29?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe71ca9…
10-29 08:56:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 29?	No	SELL	191	100¢	$191	0xf4bbf4…
10-29 07:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	77	92¢	$71	0x454348…
10-29 05:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	86	85¢	$73	0x370757…
10-29 05:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	105	94¢	$99	0x187859…
10-29 05:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	291	91¢	$265	0x5dc1dd…
10-29 05:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	No	SELL	23	63¢	$15	0xa597b3…
10-29 05:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	No	SELL	7	63¢	$4	0x6136d0…
10-29 04:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x2d2eb0…
10-29 03:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 29?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x9204b7…
10-29 03:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$25	0xe384e9…
10-29 02:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x5dfce0…
10-29 01:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	334	87¢	$290	0x80db9e…
10-28 07:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 29?	No	SELL	30	77¢	$23	0x95241f…
10-28 07:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	250	100¢	$249	0xdad8da…
10-28 07:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0xdaed42…
10-28 07:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0xf26628…
10-28 07:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x41e9d3…
10-28 06:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xf33a6e…
10-28 06:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xe53914…
10-28 06:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xdb9268…
10-28 06:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x154be0…
10-28 04:40:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x9cdb27…
10-28 04:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	306	98¢	$299	0xa3471c…
10-28 04:02:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0x0c9a09…
10-28 04:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0xd5fdc3…
10-28 04:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x25ccd3…
10-28 03:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x35aca5…
10-28 03:39:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	96	97¢	$93	0xb82aa7…
10-28 03:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x316d76…
10-28 03:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	104	98¢	$102	0xfe8010…
10-28 03:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$21	0x6f5784…
10-28 02:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	35	91¢	$32	0xa58e06…
10-28 02:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0x0da2db…
10-28 02:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0x99091d…
10-28 02:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0x5b13ec…
10-28 02:33:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x556b55…
10-28 02:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xbc07c5…
10-28 02:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x521c30…
10-28 02:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x4b0c68…
10-28 02:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xc79f4a…
10-28 02:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x8c304b…
10-28 02:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0x5b593f…
10-28 02:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xf840d3…
10-28 02:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0xa15525…
10-28 02:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0x0100b9…
10-28 02:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x435a38…
10-28 02:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0x13f395…
10-28 02:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x1278b7…
10-28 02:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0xbb4707…
10-28 02:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x3f7ab5…
10-28 02:14:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x3734ae…
10-28 01:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xa83506…
10-28 01:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x170d73…
10-28 01:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28?	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x12a10d…
10-28 01:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28?	No	SELL	9	73¢	$6	0xffd252…
10-28 01:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$5	0x781c4b…
10-28 00:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xb7db7c…
10-27 14:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x0fac4d…
10-27 14:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x1e04ce…
10-27 13:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x34626e…
10-27 11:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xcb8d86…
10-27 10:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa9c208…
10-27 10:21:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x3085cd…
10-27 10:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x177c5a…
10-27 10:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x8b767e…
10-27 10:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa08df8…
10-27 10:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9cf081…
10-27 10:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4bdfc1…
10-27 10:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x802874…
10-27 10:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$72	0xcb16e0…
10-27 09:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	398	100¢	$398	0xef22fd…
10-27 09:53:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4d03d9…
10-27 09:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x74e492…
10-27 09:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 27?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1974b3…
10-27 08:23:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	342	85¢	$291	0xa89ce7…
10-27 06:39:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0xb63713…
10-27 06:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x644d9e…
10-27 06:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	280	100¢	$279	0x562ade…
10-27 06:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xdd7d3e…
10-27 06:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3f512e…
10-27 06:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x24a84a…
10-27 05:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb01b62…
10-27 05:05:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0x8340fa…
10-27 05:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	79	95¢	$75	0x0ee291…