Organic-Initialise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$577

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

1,341

Trades

6,598

lifetime

Volume

$32.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-04 07:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 148 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 85% +$617

Other

7% 20% -$16

Politics

1% 43% -$31

Sports

1% 44% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:40 UTC	306	$1.1K	2,295	0	+2,295	Down	-$22	02-18 20:42
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	239	$985	18,496	17,750	+746	Up	+$20	05-14 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 23:35 UTC	197	$728	1,502	0	+1,502	Up	+$131	02-16 23:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 23:00 UTC	536	$706	1,911	0	+1,911	Up	+$409	02-16 23:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 23:15 UTC	479	$698	1,471	0	+1,471	Up	+$353	02-16 23:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 23:55 UTC	83	$509	527	501	+26	Up	+$22	02-19 23:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 22:50 UTC	32	$506	1,051	0	+1,051	Up	+$113	02-16 22:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:25 UTC	126	$501	977	0	+977	Down	-$20	02-18 20:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 23:10 UTC	250	$462	818	0	+818	Up	-$70	02-16 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:45 UTC	141	$457	920	0	+920	Up	-$5	02-18 21:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 01:10 UTC	219	$454	929	0	+929	Up	+$64	02-19 01:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:20 UTC	120	$452	920	0	+920	Up	+$61	02-18 20:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 23:40 UTC	96	$430	384	371	+13	Down	-$47	02-19 23:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 23:10 UTC	84	$380	413	409	+3	Down	+$12	02-19 23:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:30 UTC	102	$363	744	0	+744	Up	+$1	02-18 20:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 23:35 UTC	63	$357	411	314	+97	Up	-$62	02-19 23:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 23:50 UTC	72	$345	365	380	-15	Up	+$58	02-19 23:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 23:05 UTC	62	$324	469	352	+117	Down	+$30	02-19 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:55 UTC	34	$304	409	0	+409	Down	+$10	02-19 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 23:30 UTC	89	$277	461	353	+108	Down	+$11	02-19 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:20 UTC	37	$272	662	0	+662	Up	-$108	02-19 18:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:40 UTC	22	$265	364	0	+364	Up	-$1	02-19 18:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 17:50 UTC	48	$244	509	0	+509	Down	+$39	02-19 17:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 17:00 UTC	46	$244	509	0	+509	Up	-$34	02-19 17:03
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	3	$232	473	0	+473	No	-$32	05-31 17:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 01:05 UTC	98	$223	444	0	+444	Up	+$26	02-19 01:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 17:35 UTC	40	$220	445	0	+445	Down	-$11	02-19 17:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:35 UTC	34	$210	183	239	-57	Up	+$7	02-19 18:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:30 UTC	32	$191	382	0	+382	Down	-$44	02-19 18:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 19:00 UTC	35	$180	361	0	+361	Up	-$30	02-19 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 07:58:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 4?	Up	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0xce728e…
11-04 07:51:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 4?	Up	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x4fc040…
11-04 07:44:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 4?	Up	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x232db0…
11-04 07:44:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 4?	Up	SELL	34	40¢	$14	0x361ad4…
11-04 03:03:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x6749f5…
11-02 09:48:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x310d30…
10-30 04:05:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc9fae1…
10-29 12:05:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x11149b…
10-28 12:58:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0x030d23…
10-27 11:38:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x150170…
10-26 12:50:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x414cca…
10-23 12:32:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xae8fd2…
10-22 05:54:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x8e6250…
10-21 12:32:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0xee9a0e…
10-20 13:05:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 20?	Up	SELL	23	40¢	$9	0xca81ad…
10-20 13:05:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 20?	Up	SELL	77	40¢	$31	0xbabdfa…
10-20 12:28:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xfc7ac2…
10-19 03:38:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 19?	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x7bcbb2…
10-19 03:13:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 19?	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x82317a…
10-16 13:02:00	spx opens up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x85bdd6…
10-15 12:37:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xeefcd8…
10-14 12:37:41	spx opens up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	114	4¢	$5	0xe0915d…
10-13 13:16:05	spx opens up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	58	5¢	$3	0x5fab8d…
10-09 09:38:27	spx opens up or down on october 9 2026	Down	BUY	123	4¢	$5	0x261967…
10-08 10:22:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 8?	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x2a2ac2…
10-07 11:30:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xabe0a7…
10-06 11:40:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 6?	Down	BUY	84	5¢	$4	0x2ecc8f…
10-02 12:18:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x5ac118…
10-01 12:07:56	spx opens up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xcd9a9c…
09-30 12:56:47	spx opens up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x2d44d3…
09-28 10:05:24	spx opens up or down on september 28 2026	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xd5eafe…
09-25 11:16:15	spx opens up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x5a87ea…
09-24 09:53:32	spx opens up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x168e4b…
09-22 13:21:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 22?	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1199dd…
09-21 05:37:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 21?	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xbf6d65…
09-17 07:08:51	spx opens up or down on september 17 2026	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xfdadce…
09-16 12:06:49	spx opens up or down on september 16 2026	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc7c32a…
09-15 12:48:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 15?	Up	SELL	90	40¢	$36	0x283e89…
09-15 12:48:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 15?	Up	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x4f88fd…
09-15 08:02:16	spx opens up or down on september 15 2026	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd77c51…
09-14 03:49:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 14?	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xeb00b3…
09-11 11:06:43	spx opens up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9732fd…
09-10 12:33:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 10?	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9a267a…
09-09 11:34:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 9?	Up	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0xfd863f…
09-04 13:30:04	spx opens up or down on september 4 2026	Up	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0xeb5ffb…
09-04 12:34:30	spx opens up or down on september 4 2026	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xea6cd0…
09-03 12:52:55	spx opens up or down on september 3 2026	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x0c9538…
09-01 20:01:52	spx opens up or down on september 2 2026	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x0ea0bd…
09-01 14:15:51	spx opens up or down on september 2 2026	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xb982b3…
09-01 09:18:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 1?	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x5cafea…
08-31 11:47:30	spx opens up or down on august 31 2026	Up	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x59385a…
08-28 13:02:10	spx opens up or down on august 28 2026	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xadfba0…
08-27 10:11:19	spx opens up or down on august 27 2026	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xfad62a…
08-26 13:00:09	spx opens up or down on august 26 2026	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x808a17…
08-25 09:11:52	spx opens up or down on august 25 2026	Down	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x91bec5…
08-24 10:59:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 24?	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x96986e…
08-21 11:23:54	spx opens up or down on august 21 2026	Down	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x7a949b…
08-20 12:04:09	spx opens up or down on august 20 2026	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x3d7945…
08-19 12:38:12	spx opens up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x2449ee…
08-18 08:01:19	spx opens up or down on august 18 2026	Up	BUY	85	5¢	$4	0xd97519…
08-13 12:42:34	spx opens up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa2caff…
08-12 12:37:06	spx opens up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x549a1b…
07-30 11:55:39	spx opens up or down on july 30 2026	Down	BUY	96	4¢	$4	0x603735…
07-27 03:09:19	spx opens up or down on july 27 2026	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf67946…
07-24 13:30:04	spx opens up or down on july 24 2026	Down	SELL	102	40¢	$41	0x269b92…
07-24 12:33:55	spx opens up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x123269…
07-22 11:43:15	spx opens up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xaa0f8b…
07-21 15:32:27	spx up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x656d42…
07-21 08:44:43	spx opens up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x1c220e…
07-20 10:38:39	spx opens up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x9344e8…
07-16 18:04:58	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x0c046e…
07-16 11:50:13	spx opens up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1e8438…
07-15 18:23:50	spx up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd8f22b…
07-15 12:38:13	spx opens up or down on july 15 2026	Down	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x0d8bda…
07-14 12:31:29	spx opens up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	78	4¢	$3	0x7efa5c…
07-13 05:47:13	spx opens up or down on july 13 2026	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8e89e6…
07-10 17:42:38	spx up or down on july 10 2026	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xc86f80…
07-09 16:06:50	spx up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xbb4822…
07-09 12:31:17	spx opens up or down on july 9 2026	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x0c5c20…
07-08 15:25:37	spx up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xb8caaa…
07-08 08:20:25	spx opens up or down on july 8 2026	Up	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x10904f…
07-07 13:03:31	spx opens up or down on july 7 2026	Up	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0xd12244…
07-06 15:31:38	spx up or down on july 6 2026	Down	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x7c9a72…
07-06 08:49:31	spx opens up or down on july 6 2026	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xbbb5d6…
07-02 17:46:49	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x4b1aec…
07-02 12:30:50	spx opens up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	78	5¢	$4	0xdd10c5…
07-01 13:00:38	spx opens up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x9f7856…
06-30 16:55:02	spx up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x8acae0…
06-29 16:17:44	spx up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x8ac958…
06-29 06:39:46	spx opens up or down on june 29 2026	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xebd716…
06-26 04:57:53	spx opens up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xd6ad76…
06-25 06:56:26	spx opens up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xa6b24d…
06-24 11:56:11	spx opens up or down on june 24 2026	Down	BUY	13	4¢	$0	0x048ac9…
06-23 06:22:43	spx opens up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x6baa80…
06-22 13:15:16	spx opens up or down on june 22 2026	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa898d2…
06-18 16:01:37	spx up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x1fd46d…
06-18 02:48:40	spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x32983c…
06-17 12:56:56	spx opens up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xeda8d2…
06-16 18:54:40	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x65adc5…
06-16 13:09:36	spx opens up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xd68af8…