Sturdy-Intellect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.5%

Resolved

Trades

199

lifetime

Volume

$1.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 05-09 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$73	44	44	+0	open	—	05-03 20:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$52	34	34	+0	open	—	05-03 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$48	51	51	+0	open	—	05-04 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$36	31	31	+0	open	—	05-04 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	4	$34	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 15:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$30	47	0	+47	open	—	05-04 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	5	$28	21	21	+0	open	—	05-03 16:50
btc updown 5m 1775756400	5	$24	31	17	+14	open	—	04-09 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	4	$23	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	4	$22	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	4	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	05-03 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	4	$21	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 10:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$20	16	16	+0	open	—	05-03 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	05-03 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$16	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 10:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$16	20	18	+2	open	—	05-03 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 10:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$15	16	16	+0	open	—	05-03 13:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 19:55
btc updown 5m 1775756100	2	$15	9	8	+0	open	—	04-09 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 13:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 10:58
btc updown 5m 1775751600	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-09 16:21
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 17:13
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-03 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-03 11:57
btc updown 5m 1775751900	2	$13	12	11	+0	open	—	04-09 16:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 16:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf4a07c…
05-09 16:46:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x022ee0…
05-09 16:46:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x27d4aa…
05-09 16:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0xc6b66d…
05-09 16:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x76f08a…
05-09 16:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x0318bf…
05-09 16:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x5f9635…
05-09 16:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xae1d59…
05-09 16:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x65dccc…
05-09 15:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xe04b52…
05-09 15:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x2c550e…
05-09 15:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x14e87c…
05-09 15:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa9a043…
05-09 15:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x639142…
05-09 15:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x2f8432…
05-09 15:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x34b78d…
05-09 15:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0375c2…
05-09 15:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x91eb9a…
05-09 15:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4b46c2…
05-09 15:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x08a0b3…
05-09 15:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xaaf0c5…
05-09 15:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xf79d0e…
05-09 15:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7195ae…
05-09 15:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xfb603c…
05-09 15:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x6b89c3…
05-09 14:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xffad71…
05-09 14:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe33ebf…
05-05 19:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xf1d709…
05-05 19:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0839a4…
05-05 19:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x176820…
05-05 18:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0d026b…
05-05 18:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x65dba9…
05-05 18:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x170d10…
05-05 18:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x0edde5…
05-05 18:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x56bc6b…
05-05 18:52:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0xb5a6be…
05-05 18:50:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x23a4ba…
05-05 18:48:38	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0xf1a11a…
05-05 18:47:24	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf9243e…
05-05 18:46:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xacba19…
05-05 18:45:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa56695…
05-04 15:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xfaacf9…
05-04 15:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x43913a…
05-04 15:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x80769a…
05-04 15:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x08ec5e…
05-04 15:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0x2c37f7…
05-04 15:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x267738…
05-04 14:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	16	53¢	$8	0x28f307…
05-04 14:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xe25dff…
05-04 14:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0xd96452…
05-04 14:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x57b5b1…
05-04 14:16:04	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x928902…
05-04 14:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0xda3370…
05-04 14:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x44f8e5…
05-04 14:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	26	51¢	$13	0xeed55a…
05-04 14:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xc6e010…
05-04 12:30:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x03ea60…
05-04 11:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x5ebd3d…
05-04 10:50:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x28f554…
05-04 10:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x4babff…
05-04 10:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xf5a4ca…
05-03 20:04:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	34	94¢	$32	0x338317…
05-03 20:02:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xb6f58f…
05-03 20:00:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0xd5a59d…
05-03 19:57:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	35	69¢	$24	0x8f2984…
05-03 19:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa515cf…
05-03 19:55:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc50c56…
05-03 19:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x22a731…
05-03 19:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x053c70…
05-03 19:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf5b9b0…
05-03 18:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x9ed573…
05-03 18:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x51fe76…
05-03 17:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x384867…
05-03 17:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xce6787…
05-03 17:17:42	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xa00365…
05-03 17:16:18	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc89421…
05-03 17:13:40	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$8	0x615831…
05-03 17:10:22	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x786c59…
05-03 17:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x7b367f…
05-03 17:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7862cd…
05-03 16:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x149823…
05-03 16:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xb608d8…
05-03 16:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4d8d93…
05-03 16:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x3651c5…
05-03 16:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x885d14…
05-03 16:45:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x46725b…
05-03 16:41:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2b9ee3…
05-03 16:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x965657…
05-03 16:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x82d57c…
05-03 16:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x71a8bf…
05-03 16:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0x0f8311…
05-03 16:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x37c18e…
05-03 14:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xff1585…
05-03 14:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd5f6f2…
05-03 14:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x0b6de8…
05-03 14:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x4306dc…
05-03 14:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xaee559…
05-03 13:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb43228…
05-03 13:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xe6b53d…
05-03 13:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xbf95cf…