Absolute-Socialist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

Trades

252

lifetime

Volume

$9.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 09-06 03:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

34% 15% -$37

Crypto

32% 100% +$91

Politics

26% 36% -$16

Sports

8% 29% -$4

Tech

0% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	3	$1.8K	950	950	+0	open	—	06-28 03:27
Billions FDV above $50M one day after launch?	7	$1.7K	960	960	+0	Yes	+$65	04-25 05:45
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	2	$1.7K	900	900	+0	No	-$1	07-17 06:22
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	5	$1.4K	728	728	+0	No	+$26	03-29 07:48
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 6?	1	$931	940	0	+940	No	+$9	09-06 03:22
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?	16	$777	651	651	+0	No	-$3	07-21 22:29
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$636	400	400	+0	Yes	+$163	07-20 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 21?	4	$269	135	135	+0	No	+$1	07-21 01:46
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$164	400	0	+400	No	-$164	07-19 13:40
us charges hormuz fees by july 17 2026 20260713155039898	32	$141	875	875	+0	No	-$7	07-14 19:19
Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$96	98	0	+98	No	+$2	03-14 06:26
iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	20	$34	978	978	+0	No	-$7	07-12 19:00
israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	17	$34	183	177	+6	Yes	-$4	07-17 01:46
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 14 2026	16	$32	793	793	+0	No	$0	07-14 09:14
Will no qualifying eviction occur on any July 9 episode of Big Brother season 28?	5	$21	200	100	+100	Yes	-$11	07-13 12:34
iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	10	$18	92	92	+0	No	+$2	07-18 02:04
Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	4	$15	150	150	+0	No	-$1	07-20 16:53
Will Dan Jarvis be in the Burnham cabinet?	15	$14	245	245	+0	No	-$7	07-21 08:55
iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	4	$12	238	238	+0	No	+$0	07-12 07:09
iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	8	$12	77	77	+0	Yes	+$0	07-15 05:39
will bilibili gaming qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715572	4	$10	80	80	+0	Yes	-$1	07-14 05:46
Will James Murray be in the Burnham cabinet?	5	$8	120	120	+0	No	-$1	07-21 06:25
Iran full airspace closure by July 21?	7	$8	1,056	156	+900	No	-$3	07-22 02:54
will the next claude opus model be released by july 16 2026	4	$8	60	60	+0	No	-$2	07-16 02:15
will the next claude opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by december 31 2026 20260715004553753	5	$8	80	80	+0	No	-$2	07-15 07:23
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	5	$7	300	300	+0	No	-$2	07-19 12:02
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	2	$6	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	07-12 04:45
chicago air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717130414629	5	$5	97	97	-0	No	-$3	07-19 13:36
iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	4	$5	100	100	+0	No	-$1	07-20 16:41
Will Rune Eaters have the shallowest hero pool at EWC 2026?	2	$4	100	0	+100	No	-$4	07-15 21:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 03:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 6?	No	BUY	940	99¢	$931	0x99417e…
07-22 02:54:06	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x0c4cad…
07-21 22:29:13	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x09d9aa…
07-21 12:12:07	US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x7e4d31…
07-21 12:04:54	US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x093e00…
07-21 12:04:27	Iran full airspace closure by July 21?	Yes	SELL	87	0¢	$0	0xadd005…
07-21 10:22:31	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x335e40…
07-21 10:18:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x87a3a4…
07-21 10:17:10	US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?	No	SELL	33	95¢	$32	0xe07682…
07-21 10:17:10	US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?	No	SELL	367	95¢	$347	0xaf5dcf…
07-21 10:12:22	US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?	No	BUY	400	94¢	$377	0x0e7afc…
07-21 10:12:21	US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?	Yes	SELL	101	5¢	$5	0xb676c5…
07-21 08:55:48	Will Dan Jarvis be in the Burnham cabinet?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x221a44…
07-21 08:55:21	Will Dan Jarvis be in the Burnham cabinet?	Yes	SELL	152	1¢	$1	0xa00aa6…
07-21 08:47:30	will dan jarvis be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533213	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$1	0x71e979…
07-21 08:39:04	will dan jarvis be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533213	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6dea3c…
07-21 08:37:21	will dan jarvis be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533213	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x4641cb…
07-21 08:35:43	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xd5b0e0…
07-21 08:25:51	Iran full airspace closure by July 21?	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0xba359a…
07-21 08:16:21	US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xd0644b…
07-21 08:16:19	US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xffecda…
07-21 08:16:16	US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x503c22…
07-21 08:13:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb1d367…
07-21 08:08:16	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	SELL	69	3¢	$2	0x5226cd…
07-21 07:58:25	iran full airspace closure by july 21	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x81d10c…
07-21 07:53:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xc3590f…
07-21 07:51:06	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x6ce245…
07-21 07:36:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x05e592…
07-21 06:25:04	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	Yes	SELL	120	3¢	$3	0xd3f161…
07-21 03:49:18	will dan jarvis be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533213	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xc915d4…
07-21 03:46:51	will dan jarvis be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533213	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xf5e078…
07-21 03:45:10	will dan jarvis be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533213	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x81499e…
07-21 03:41:03	will dan jarvis be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533213	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x114e32…
07-21 01:52:01	will alan campbell be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533221	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x58eacb…
07-21 01:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa1a420…
07-21 01:34:01	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xcd0f60…
07-21 01:28:10	will alan campbell be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533221	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa31160…
07-21 01:13:31	will alan campbell be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533221	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x026419…
07-21 01:07:39	Will Alan Campbell be in the Burnham cabinet?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x00cee3…
07-21 01:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 21?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x7d510f…
07-21 01:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 21?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x213e8b…
07-21 01:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 21?	No	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0x209770…
07-21 00:59:19	Will James Murray be in the Burnham cabinet?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xe13633…
07-21 00:37:46	Will James Murray be in the Burnham cabinet?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x317760…
07-21 00:33:58	Will Jess Phillips be in the Burnham cabinet?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x2bdedc…
07-21 00:33:48	Will Jo Stevens be in the Burnham cabinet?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x724015…
07-21 00:33:31	Will Dan Jarvis be in the Burnham cabinet?	Yes	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x1f2376…
07-20 23:15:12	will dan jarvis be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533213	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf35c0d…
07-20 22:56:46	will ian murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533219	Yes	SELL	49	1¢	$1	0x410224…
07-20 22:52:01	will dan jarvis be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533213	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x26a26d…
07-20 22:52:00	will dan jarvis be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533213	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x4d56f5…
07-20 22:51:57	will dan jarvis be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533213	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xd43f0c…
07-20 22:50:09	will jess phillips be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533225	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x16c190…
07-20 22:49:07	will jo stevens be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533220	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x503a95…
07-20 22:47:58	will james murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533212	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x9d3584…
07-20 22:46:16	will ian murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533219	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x54fdc1…
07-20 22:45:43	will ian murray be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533219	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x70ae4e…
07-20 22:44:37	will dan jarvis be in the burnham cabinet 20260623004533213	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x3cf7e3…
07-20 16:53:51	Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?	Yes	SELL	150	5¢	$7	0x3d2c8e…
07-20 16:41:16	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xd3990b…
07-20 08:24:24	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xa824ef…
07-20 07:34:21	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xc2520f…
07-20 07:23:46	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x228aaf…
07-20 06:31:52	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x6480fb…
07-20 06:27:55	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xcc1bf9…
07-20 02:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x5032a8…
07-20 00:40:54	will the announcers say penalty kick during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403320	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xf45c8d…
07-20 00:34:22	will the announcers say penalty kick during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403320	Yes	BUY	60	0¢	$0	0xf25a9e…
07-20 00:33:54	will the announcers say penalty kick during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403320	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7d944b…
07-20 00:32:51	will the announcers say penalty kick during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403320	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3d2cb9…
07-20 00:32:16	will the announcers say penalty kick during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403320	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6130fa…
07-20 00:29:12	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0xa463b0…
07-19 13:40:33	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	41¢	$164	0xda69ba…
07-19 13:40:16	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	59¢	$236	0xaa86ea…
07-19 13:36:49	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717130414629	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0xf432da…
07-19 13:36:39	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717130414629	Yes	SELL	72	1¢	$1	0x43cca1…
07-19 12:51:42	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717130414629	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xe67b20…
07-19 12:12:00	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717130414629	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0xb5c103…
07-19 12:06:07	chicago air quality index below 100 by july 18 2026 20260717130414629	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0xd02fcc…
07-19 12:02:00	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$1	0xa988ec…
07-19 11:20:43	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x242767…
07-19 02:59:45	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x08c951…
07-19 02:13:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xd87f4d…
07-19 02:05:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 19 20260718000915872	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x474f61…
07-19 01:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xdcae15…
07-18 02:04:24	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xa89b56…
07-18 02:04:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	35	10¢	$4	0xfd2d7e…
07-18 02:01:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x27ced2…
07-18 01:59:04	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xfffa78…
07-18 01:43:21	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0xc56d34…
07-18 01:33:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbe218b…
07-18 01:33:36	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd394f7…
07-18 01:31:58	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	37	12¢	$4	0x94f07d…
07-18 01:30:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0x831e23…
07-17 06:22:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	SELL	900	95¢	$855	0xfc32d2…
07-17 06:16:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 18 20260715194822043	No	BUY	900	95¢	$856	0xfd0dec…
07-17 06:03:22	will antonela roccuzzo attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357137	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x127585…
07-17 06:03:10	will tom brady attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357120	No	SELL	75	0¢	$0	0x217920…
07-17 01:51:01	will tom brady attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357120	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xceac6b…
07-17 01:46:16	israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x8a9777…