Masculine-Confidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$617

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved (90d)

1,633

Trades (90d)

2,549

23,574 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$58.6K

$816.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-25 10:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 264 days

Categories

Other

99% 96% +$11,150

Politics

1% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 562 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on June 26?	29	$19.7K	19,930	0	+19,930	No	+$233	06-25 04:06
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 16?	2	$12.6K	12,619	0	+12,619	Yes	+$13	05-17 05:36
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	2	$10.4K	10,428	0	+10,428	Yes	+$10	05-13 11:52
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on June 26?	69	$9.7K	15,181	0	+15,181	No	+$105	06-25 13:02
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on June 30?	56	$8.9K	10,453	0	+10,453	No	+$101	06-29 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 26?	8	$6.2K	6,215	0	+6,215	No	+$62	06-25 03:47
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 48°F or higher on May 4?	54	$5.9K	6,586	0	+6,586	Yes	+$182	05-03 04:28
highest temperature in austin on april 11 2026 47forbelow	5	$5.3K	5,280	0	+5,280	No	+$7	04-10 16:28
highest temperature in dallas on february 2 51forbelow	5	$4.5K	2,486	2,000	+486	No	+$2	02-01 17:10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 4?	16	$4.4K	4,815	320	+4,495	No	+$78	06-04 08:35
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 66°F or higher on May 13?	61	$4.3K	4,365	0	+4,365	Yes	+$49	05-12 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C or higher on May 14?	7	$4.3K	4,354	0	+4,354	Yes	+$48	05-13 07:40
lowest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 19corhigher	68	$4.1K	4,153	0	+4,153	No	+$81	04-14 16:37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on July 2?	2	$4.1K	4,106	0	+4,106	No	+$45	07-01 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 10?	73	$4.0K	4,065	0	+4,065	Yes	+$61	05-08 11:59
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 60°F or higher on May 12?	18	$3.8K	3,845	0	+3,845	Yes	+$75	05-10 04:57
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 44°F or higher on May 9?	15	$3.8K	3,814	0	+3,814	Yes	+$52	05-07 04:37
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 74°F or higher on May 9?	15	$3.7K	3,784	0	+3,784	Yes	+$46	05-07 04:47
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on July 1?	5	$3.5K	3,576	0	+3,576	No	+$45	06-29 17:14
highest temperature in austin on april 23 2026 70forhigher	13	$3.4K	3,472	0	+3,472	Yes	+$44	04-21 11:02
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 42°F or higher on May 8?	3	$3.3K	3,367	0	+3,367	Yes	+$53	05-06 04:25
highest temperature in denver on april 11 2026 60forhigher	1	$3.3K	3,297	0	+3,297	Yes	+$3	04-11 10:46
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on May 13?	11	$3.3K	3,312	0	+3,312	Yes	+$43	05-11 04:59
highest temperature in chicago on april 22 2026 50forhigher	6	$3.2K	3,242	0	+3,242	Yes	+$35	04-21 00:22
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 68°F or higher on May 5?	2	$3.1K	3,180	0	+3,180	Yes	+$32	05-03 04:32
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C or below on May 27?	9	$3.0K	3,010	0	+3,010	No	+$31	05-26 03:04
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31°C on June 30?	17	$3.0K	3,153	0	+3,153	No	+$21	06-29 13:14
highest temperature in denver on april 20 2026 40forhigher	10	$3.0K	2,999	0	+2,999	Yes	+$42	04-18 05:13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 1?	2	$2.8K	2,818	0	+2,818	No	+$28	06-01 11:59
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 30?	5	$2.7K	2,768	0	+2,768	No	+$32	06-28 05:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 10:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0xa3f2e1…
10-25 10:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 26?	No	BUY	214	98¢	$209	0x1f2cf8…
10-25 10:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 26?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7cdabb…
10-25 10:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 26?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xfcfe1c…
10-25 10:02:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C or below on October 26?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x24faea…
10-24 10:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 25?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa056f8…
10-22 03:14:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x5523e6…
10-21 19:15:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x06827c…
10-21 18:58:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xad9cbd…
10-21 11:17:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9eb235…
10-20 03:25:20	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 17°C on October 20?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x80bd63…
10-20 03:22:44	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 4°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5a8acf…
10-20 03:21:27	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xecc7a0…
10-20 03:21:17	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on October 20?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xb97999…
10-18 07:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 19?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xad32b6…
10-18 07:24:36	highest temperature in manila on october 20 2026 35c	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x7d173f…
10-18 07:23:20	highest temperature in kuala lumpur on october 20 2026 35c	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5e31dc…
10-18 07:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x064f5d…
10-17 05:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xd2945a…
10-14 01:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xefc2a0…
10-14 01:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3ee7e5…
10-14 01:30:08	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa5c366…
10-14 01:29:11	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2d21bc…
10-12 02:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 13?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x98da0c…
10-12 02:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 13?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf91788…
10-12 02:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6eaf3d…
10-11 07:07:42	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 46-47°F on October 11?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd5622d…
10-11 07:04:57	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcf7ad3…
10-11 07:02:59	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 11?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x810632…
10-11 07:02:59	Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 11?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x05ad02…
10-11 07:02:42	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 26°C on October 11?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdb9c3f…
10-11 07:02:41	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 26°C on October 11?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x892415…
10-11 06:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x366f5d…
10-11 06:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfa5083…
10-11 06:42:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 11?	No	BUY	44	97¢	$42	0xe732a8…
10-11 06:40:29	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x9e8816…
10-10 06:40:30	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C on October 10?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x88c75a…
10-10 06:38:31	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 27°C on October 10?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8f081e…
10-10 06:32:15	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 22°C on October 10?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x3f3895…
10-10 06:31:49	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xde06a2…
10-10 06:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x2505f1…
10-10 06:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x7cbf3d…
10-10 06:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0xc57426…
10-10 06:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0x838a16…
10-09 00:35:44	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	920	71¢	$653	0x0bc738…
10-08 15:16:51	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xa9a1f4…
10-08 15:16:26	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x46b3dd…
10-08 15:09:47	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf5925e…
10-08 15:09:39	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x540e30…
10-08 14:48:57	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x15ceaf…
10-08 14:07:53	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x633392…
10-08 13:12:48	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x2595dc…
10-08 12:22:15	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x84ba73…
10-08 11:41:05	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0xf117ce…
10-08 11:41:05	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	70¢	$15	0xe00be0…
10-08 11:41:05	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x106515…
10-05 05:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xea5d97…
10-05 05:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x4ecfdd…
10-05 05:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	62	14¢	$9	0xeb649f…
10-05 05:13:53	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 5?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xab0080…
10-05 05:13:20	Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 9°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x601096…
10-05 05:12:35	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x06a924…
10-05 05:12:05	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 20°C on October 5?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xcde480…
10-05 05:11:19	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 21°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x03d196…
10-05 05:11:14	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe0d864…
10-05 05:11:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x50e541…
10-05 05:11:08	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 21°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6b0e6c…
10-04 14:45:44	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 4?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe11be1…
10-04 14:45:25	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 10°C on October 4?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1f6d4c…
10-04 14:45:22	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 12°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x9cca85…
10-01 06:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xcde186…
10-01 06:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0xfec763…
10-01 06:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0xb852e6…
10-01 06:11:02	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$2	0x9f1565…
10-01 06:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on October 1?	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$32	0x485ad1…
10-01 06:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xcb0271…
09-30 13:40:05	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on September 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0392a4…
09-30 13:35:02	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x30637a…
09-29 06:05:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x358558…
09-29 06:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xfca5fe…
09-29 05:56:15	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x12802f…
09-29 05:53:54	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x258ab5…
09-29 05:21:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	56	15¢	$8	0xdfc5d9…
09-29 05:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x347c5b…
09-29 04:18:26	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 12°C on September 29?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2e8803…
09-29 04:17:11	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C or below on September 29?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x25f897…
09-29 04:17:08	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C or below on September 29?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4c91de…
09-29 04:16:45	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on September 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8f74e0…
09-29 04:15:50	Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 27°C on September 29?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3d8132…
09-29 04:15:11	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on September 29?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x34040f…
09-29 04:14:44	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on September 29?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4723ae…
09-29 04:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 29?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xc441ca…
09-29 04:11:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xa62312…
09-29 04:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 29?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0xff364a…
09-29 04:07:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on September 29?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x2d0c02…
09-29 04:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	45	65¢	$29	0x8923cf…
09-29 04:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 29?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe9ad90…
09-29 04:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 29?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x82cc02…
09-29 04:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xefb3a1…
09-29 04:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x461566…