Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$722

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-09

last 09-19 09:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

62% 60% -$267

Tech

23% 36% -$133

Politics

11% 36% -$322

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	7	$775	418	418	+0	Yes	+$18	09-18 06:37
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?	4	$612	394	394	+0	Yes	-$88	08-20 01:02
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?	3	$609	310	310	+0	Yes	+$9	08-14 18:14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	6	$589	437	437	+0	open	—	09-04 07:06
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	6	$489	271	271	+0	Yes	-$11	09-18 06:38
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	6	$426	441	0	+441	Yes	+$15	09-11 09:07
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	4	$411	445	445	+0	open	—	08-29 08:19
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	3	$403	290	290	+0	Yes	+$3	08-20 00:55
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	3	$400	416	0	+416	Yes	+$16	08-29 11:02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$398	205	205	+0	Yes	-$2	08-20 00:56
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 21?	2	$394	211	211	+0	Yes	-$6	08-20 00:55
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	4	$327	1,630	1,630	+0	Yes	-$321	08-19 13:24
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	4	$307	321	321	+0	No	-$293	09-18 06:37
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?	2	$300	315	0	+315	Yes	+$15	09-04 07:54
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	4	$299	174	174	+0	No	-$1	09-18 06:38
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	3	$290	195	195	+0	open	—	09-18 06:38
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-11?	1	$288	289	0	+289	Yes	+$1	09-11 18:39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$286	170	170	+0	open	—	08-20 00:55
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-08-22?	4	$285	166	166	+0	Yes	-$15	08-22 12:15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-02?	4	$266	185	101	+83	Yes	+$6	09-01 19:29
Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?	3	$243	265	0	+265	Yes	+$22	08-15 09:19
Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-23?	3	$227	117	117	+0	Yes	+$7	08-23 17:45
Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?	3	$207	107	107	+0	Yes	+$7	08-22 20:30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?	3	$204	104	104	+0	Yes	+$4	08-23 21:21
Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?	2	$202	112	112	+0	Yes	+$2	08-15 09:16
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$200	102	102	+0	Yes	$0	08-20 00:55
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	2	$199	181	181	+0	open	—	08-29 08:20
Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?	2	$198	104	104	+0	Yes	-$2	08-20 00:55
Will Jake Auchincloss be the MA-04 Democratic nominee?	2	$195	107	107	+0	Yes	-$3	08-18 09:28
Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?	4	$195	111	111	+0	Yes	-$5	08-18 09:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 09:12:00	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	263	19¢	$50	0x9df64b…
09-19 08:48:22	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	333	14¢	$47	0x50d97d…
09-18 06:38:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	195	72¢	$140	0x90618a…
09-18 06:38:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x332256…
09-18 06:38:09	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	89¢	$49	0x1b28bf…
09-18 06:37:55	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	SELL	321	2¢	$7	0xcdd0fa…
09-18 06:37:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	302	96¢	$291	0x94a42a…
09-18 06:37:16	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	SELL	113	65¢	$74	0xe39a30…
09-17 22:15:19	Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x20779a…
09-17 09:21:54	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xf1a50e…
09-15 22:10:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x8e8e6e…
09-15 22:08:27	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x985d78…
09-15 20:25:48	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x034b3e…
09-15 20:25:10	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x394134…
09-13 20:37:45	Will Renato Casagrande win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x936f12…
09-13 20:37:40	Will Vitaly Korolev win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$20	0xfe8cd7…
09-13 20:37:37	Will Arthur Henrique win the 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0xad5c41…
09-13 20:37:31	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$20	0x461c09…
09-13 20:37:28	Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?	Yes	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x5b92c0…
09-13 20:36:19	Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x7d4523…
09-13 20:36:13	Will Eduardo Riedel win the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0x3b666d…
09-13 20:36:04	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x379e51…
09-13 15:50:01	Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x9d2162…
09-12 08:51:34	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x51dbc7…
09-11 18:39:37	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	289	100¢	$288	0x20b0af…
09-11 18:36:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xb9226e…
09-11 18:32:48	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xaddcb9…
09-11 18:32:31	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x531f61…
09-11 09:07:42	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xbabef8…
09-11 08:28:19	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	Yes	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0xc399bd…
09-10 21:15:42	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xacd2cc…
09-09 09:05:18	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x84e934…
09-08 23:42:55	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xe306cf…
09-07 13:01:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x09a15a…
09-07 13:00:43	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x39c58b…
09-06 09:52:31	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 11?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x07e6ff…
09-04 07:54:07	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?	Yes	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0x76793b…
09-04 07:06:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	64¢	$91	0x4a3fd9…
09-04 07:06:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	83¢	$88	0x17daec…
09-04 07:05:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	36¢	$40	0x51c36d…
09-03 11:49:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0x069685…
09-01 19:29:46	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	BUY	83	96¢	$80	0x0048e8…
09-01 15:48:58	Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x805081…
09-01 15:44:09	Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa94b52…
09-01 15:44:00	Will Arthur Henrique win the 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xee77c1…
09-01 15:43:48	Will Eduardo Riedel win the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x8a3b29…
09-01 15:43:33	Will Renato Casagrande win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7577a6…
09-01 15:43:22	Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe1ee53…
09-01 15:42:52	Will Vitaly Korolev win the next Tver Oblast gubernatorial elections?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x40f295…
09-01 12:31:33	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 4?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xe30882…
09-01 12:26:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x3bdf9c…
09-01 12:26:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x1dd9ee…
09-01 12:25:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x4066c1…
08-31 22:07:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x8f6d77…
08-31 22:06:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x405542…
08-29 11:02:28	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x1cc8fb…
08-29 10:51:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3b1165…
08-29 10:50:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc9fe20…
08-29 08:21:55	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x3ed6cb…
08-29 08:20:19	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	181	56¢	$101	0x966541…
08-29 08:19:30	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	217	50¢	$109	0x54dd65…
08-28 17:11:55	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x89bddf…
08-28 17:06:57	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?	Yes	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xde83ed…
08-28 13:43:48	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?	Yes	BUY	97	93¢	$90	0xeed1ee…
08-28 13:41:39	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	SELL	101	93¢	$94	0x68436e…
08-27 11:25:18	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	BUY	48	88¢	$42	0x4dbb7f…
08-25 21:58:39	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-25?	Yes	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xf905a6…
08-25 20:02:45	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-25?	Yes	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xe34080…
08-24 21:22:06	Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xfbc853…
08-24 20:18:45	Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0xe9f5b3…
08-24 20:16:16	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	SELL	53	71¢	$37	0xe64847…
08-24 20:13:15	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x4d8bfa…
08-24 20:09:06	Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x24e322…
08-24 18:11:13	Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	BUY	68	96¢	$65	0x959787…
08-24 17:56:01	Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xda012c…
08-24 17:38:03	Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	BUY	67	89¢	$60	0x6ac152…
08-24 16:30:43	Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	SELL	27	37¢	$10	0x82e2c6…
08-24 16:29:21	Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	SELL	29	50¢	$15	0xe1dbe4…
08-24 15:44:48	Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	SELL	27	78¢	$21	0x1261ae…
08-24 10:15:22	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x60bd18…
08-24 10:03:24	Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xc7681d…
08-24 10:02:19	Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x3797a0…
08-24 09:59:46	Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-08-24?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x15d53c…
08-23 23:33:06	Will Maranhao AC MA win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xad3feb…
08-23 22:36:52	Will Maranhao AC MA win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0x048694…
08-23 21:21:06	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xea3135…
08-23 20:44:01	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xc8603e…
08-23 20:39:33	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x7a86d1…
08-23 20:09:13	Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x4a688c…
08-23 19:03:15	Will Sport Boys Association win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xf11be9…
08-23 17:45:48	Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x63eff8…
08-23 16:48:28	Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xba61cb…
08-23 16:42:42	Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x4bd3f4…
08-23 13:48:39	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xc76abe…
08-22 20:30:42	Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0xaff74f…
08-22 20:20:27	Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0x1b77a2…
08-22 20:19:58	Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xcb9026…
08-22 19:48:25	Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xdffd60…
08-22 18:58:01	Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xd9b319…
08-22 14:26:16	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x2e6f35…