Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$181

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.1%

Resolved

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$2.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 04-02 18:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

58% 82% +$148

Politics

38% 75% +$33

Crypto

4% 100% +$20

Sports

1% 50% -$20

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	21	$529	320	320	+0	Yes	+$58	03-19 00:58
will trump issue a gold card by march 31	5	$166	103	103	+0	No	+$34	03-21 21:36
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$115	86	86	+0	Yes	+$42	02-02 22:46
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	2	$85	45	45	+0	No	+$5	02-02 22:46
Canada recession before 2027?	4	$85	73	73	+0	Yes	-$1	04-02 18:56
will the bank of canada announce no change at the march meeting	1	$65	0	67	-67	Yes	-$2	02-24 13:01
us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	1	$60	66	0	+66	No	+$6	01-12 01:33
will powell say good afternoon during january press conference 696 565	2	$57	58	0	+58	Yes	+$1	01-28 17:52
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$56	67	0	+67	No	+$11	01-31 13:46
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	4	$51	28	28	+0	No	+$4	03-30 09:20
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	1	$40	46	0	+46	No	+$6	01-08 14:26
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$38	40	0	+40	No	+$2	02-21 03:29
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$37	40	0	+40	Yes	+$3	02-14 17:46
will powell say trump during january press conference 254 797	4	$36	44	0	+44	No	+$8	01-27 00:12
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$4	04-02 18:57
will powell say crypto or bitcoin during march press conference 431 787	3	$35	40	0	+40	No	+$5	03-18 18:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$35	20	20	+0	Yes	+$4	04-02 18:57
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$32	37	0	+37	No	+$4	03-09 21:56
will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	1	$30	100	0	+100	No	-$30	02-24 13:02
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$30	37	0	+37	Yes	-$30	02-23 16:18
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	2	$30	34	0	+34	No	+$4	01-18 05:09
will trump say six seven during the 2026 state of the union address	1	$30	34	0	+34	No	+$4	02-24 00:22
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	2	$30	38	0	+38	No	+$8	03-09 16:54
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	1	$27	30	0	+30	No	+$3	01-23 03:59
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$25	27	0	+27	No	+$2	03-12 00:35
will powell say iran during march press conference	1	$25	55	0	+55	No	+$30	03-18 18:31
will powell say stock market during january press conference 344	2	$22	29	0	+29	No	+$7	01-22 20:06
will canada win the gold medal for winter olympics 2026 womens ice hockey at the 2026 milano cortina winter olympics	1	$20	100	0	+100	No	-$20	02-19 16:36
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$20	95	0	+95	No	-$20	03-20 21:31
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	1	$20	26	0	+26	Yes	+$6	03-09 21:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-02 18:57:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x1f75b6…
04-02 18:57:01	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x45cd5e…
04-02 18:56:39	Canada recession before 2027?	No	SELL	73	58¢	$42	0xb4bb40…
04-01 20:50:53	will trump say operation epic fury during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe93bfa…
04-01 20:49:59	will trump say fake news during address to the nation	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x71b1de…
04-01 20:49:45	will trump say fake news during address to the nation	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x4466ae…
04-01 20:49:41	will trump say six seven during address to the nation	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x57b2fb…
04-01 20:48:55	will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x120c37…
04-01 20:48:29	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during address to the nation	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xab1acf…
04-01 20:47:57	will trump say peace through strength during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x1bc742…
03-30 22:44:03	Canada recession before 2027?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xdd9b16…
03-30 09:20:52	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	28	100¢	$27	0x723a1d…
03-27 00:08:29	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x9a6a06…
03-26 23:57:37	Canada recession before 2027?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x088ddd…
03-21 21:41:53	Canada recession before 2027?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x46c6c4…
03-21 21:36:09	will trump issue a gold card by march 31	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0xef346d…
03-20 21:31:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xc9924f…
03-19 00:58:39	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	306	92¢	$281	0x7df9dc…
03-18 18:31:05	will powell say iran during march press conference	No	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x471d3d…
03-18 18:21:51	will powell say crypto or bitcoin during march press conference 431 787	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xdea23b…
03-18 18:21:29	will powell say supreme court during march press conference 816 383	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xcdc48f…
03-18 18:19:23	will powell say sorry or pardon during march press conference 745 799	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x6658fb…
03-12 00:35:43	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xa019f3…
03-11 02:32:03	will powell say good afternoon during march press conference	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xee9e0f…
03-09 21:58:15	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x5c7a29…
03-09 21:56:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xba5987…
03-09 21:54:27	will trump issue a gold card by march 31	No	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0x351bbb…
03-09 21:53:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0xd92ae5…
03-09 21:53:25	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0xb801b0…
03-09 19:25:39	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x2e7ee4…
03-09 16:54:47	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x0cd935…
03-09 08:32:49	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x869d3d…
03-08 09:47:25	will powell say crypto or bitcoin during march press conference 431 787	No	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0xc12611…
03-08 07:51:25	will powell say crypto or bitcoin during march press conference 431 787	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x922fad…
03-07 14:25:39	will powell say comment during march press conference 427 989	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6977b6…
03-07 03:59:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 03:55 UTC	Down	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0x339560…
03-07 03:56:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xca2f73…
03-07 03:35:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 03:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8590b9…
03-07 03:33:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe0bf60…
03-07 03:25:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x4fb249…
03-07 03:25:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xe45100…
03-07 03:07:59	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x104258…
03-07 03:07:43	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xbda299…
03-07 03:06:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 03:00 UTC	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb6f779…
03-07 03:03:35	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xdf535e…
03-07 03:01:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa3e9fd…
02-25 01:52:06	will trump say somalia during the state of the union address	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x69a8d7…
02-25 01:49:06	will trump say maga or make america great again during the 2026 state of the union address 742	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x44ee5b…
02-24 13:02:20	will trump say the state of the union is strong during the 2026 state of the union address 924	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x0c64a3…
02-24 13:01:36	will the bank of canada announce no change at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	67	97¢	$65	0xf63590…
02-24 00:23:48	will trump say supreme court during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1cf32d…
02-24 00:22:50	will trump say olympic or olympics during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x36d9c4…
02-24 00:22:34	will trump say nobel or peace prize during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc87a63…
02-24 00:22:20	will trump say six seven during the 2026 state of the union address	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0xb0e311…
02-24 00:21:16	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x5f0cd8…
02-23 16:18:36	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0xf173d4…
02-23 16:18:04	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xa6bab1…
02-21 03:29:40	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x58857d…
02-19 16:36:18	will canada win the gold medal for winter olympics 2026 womens ice hockey at the 2026 milano cortina winter olympics	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x817447…
02-14 21:13:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xdb690d…
02-14 17:51:45	will trump issue a gold card by march 31	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x7b0ec7…
02-14 17:46:55	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x91314e…
02-02 22:50:18	will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x115c22…
02-02 22:48:30	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	386	2¢	$6	0x852208…
02-02 22:46:46	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x0311c9…
02-02 22:46:38	US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x62935e…
02-01 17:08:48	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x052aab…
02-01 16:48:48	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xadf780…
02-01 16:48:40	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x9ebdcf…
02-01 14:39:38	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x9d9445…
02-01 14:39:30	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x3c3e54…
02-01 14:34:42	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0xead438…
02-01 05:31:40	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6773fd…
02-01 03:55:56	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x4496e6…
02-01 03:35:18	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x708aa2…
02-01 03:35:14	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xa35b1d…
02-01 03:35:14	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x361e1d…
02-01 03:35:12	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xf149d2…
02-01 03:35:06	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x9c748a…
02-01 03:35:06	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x5bd63b…
02-01 03:35:02	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x9c2f9b…
02-01 03:34:58	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xd1b19b…
02-01 03:34:56	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x218da4…
01-31 23:54:02	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xd90578…
01-31 13:46:32	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xefb6fc…
01-31 02:16:12	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x45c489…
01-31 01:45:52	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0x12984e…
01-31 01:44:52	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xf1066a…
01-30 20:41:32	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x377d81…
01-30 18:13:48	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x5bb59f…
01-29 17:31:10	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xd42f04…
01-29 17:29:44	will trump issue a gold card by march 31	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf7fbfa…
01-29 02:50:34	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xe7e01b…
01-28 17:52:22	will powell say good afternoon during january press conference 696 565	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x624644…
01-28 14:39:47	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xf47fd9…
01-27 00:12:05	will powell say trump during january press conference 254 797	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x476a99…
01-26 23:02:35	will powell say trump during january press conference 254 797	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xc40f4c…
01-26 22:45:13	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xc015cd…
01-26 22:43:53	will powell say trump during january press conference 254 797	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x059714…
01-26 22:43:13	will powell say good afternoon during january press conference 696 565	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x358c6d…