Thoughtful-Jar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

Trades

966

lifetime

Volume

$84.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-25 18:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 67% $-3

Other

1% 0% $-18

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 23	51	$7.5K	6,510	6,510	+0	open	—	03-23 11:43
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 20	28	$7.0K	6,449	6,449	+0	open	—	03-20 16:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 24	81	$6.9K	6,550	6,522	+28	open	—	03-24 14:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 18	22	$6.5K	7,208	7,139	+69	open	—	03-18 13:55
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 19	5	$4.6K	4,260	4,260	+0	open	—	03-19 07:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 16	49	$4.1K	3,957	3,940	+17	open	—	03-16 13:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 18	20	$3.9K	3,770	3,770	+0	open	—	03-18 11:04
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 17	18	$3.6K	3,200	3,200	+0	open	—	03-17 10:06
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 25	52	$3.0K	6,957	0	+6,957	open	—	03-25 09:36
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 9	9	$2.7K	3,910	3,703	+206	open	—	04-09 15:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 12	7	$2.6K	2,785	2,710	+75	open	—	03-12 15:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 31	3	$2.5K	3,094	2,980	+114	open	—	03-31 10:03
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 13	16	$2.3K	3,216	3,095	+121	open	—	04-13 14:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 13	55	$2.1K	1,920	1,920	+0	open	—	03-13 10:11
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 16	16	$2.0K	2,870	2,842	+28	open	—	04-16 13:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 11	42	$1.9K	1,770	1,770	+0	open	—	03-11 13:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 5	46	$1.8K	1,655	1,655	+0	open	—	03-05 15:11
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 27	7	$1.7K	1,637	1,611	+25	open	—	03-27 10:10
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 17	20	$1.6K	2,497	2,500	-3	open	—	04-17 08:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 10	8	$1.6K	1,500	1,499	+0	open	—	03-10 14:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 14	8	$1.5K	2,328	2,233	+95	open	—	04-14 14:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 6	31	$1.3K	1,230	1,230	+0	open	—	03-06 12:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 8	17	$1.2K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-08 12:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 26	14	$1.2K	1,110	1,110	+0	open	—	03-26 06:03
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 7	4	$1.1K	1,659	1,638	+22	open	—	04-07 10:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 30	20	$1.0K	1,915	250	+1,665	open	—	03-30 13:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 20	25	$1.0K	3,960	0	+3,960	open	—	04-20 14:05
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 9	9	$889	787	787	+0	open	—	03-09 12:37
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 4	4	$644	580	580	+0	open	—	03-04 14:31
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 6	11	$596	1,060	1,026	+34	open	—	04-06 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 18:42:32	ethereum up or down june 25 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe215a5…
06-25 18:35:20	ethereum up or down june 25 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x109d95…
06-24 20:05:46	bitcoin up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	28	50¢	$14	0xa0608d…
06-24 20:03:38	bitcoin up or down on june 25 2026	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xe51f41…
06-24 18:40:20	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x96fda3…
06-24 18:32:19	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x56c277…
06-24 18:29:52	bitcoin up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xcc87b2…
06-08 03:15:22	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	Yes	SELL	60	31¢	$19	0x95002d…
06-05 23:33:07	bitcoin above 64k on june 8 2026	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0xe08634…
05-14 13:11:22	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	3,260	0¢	$16	0xf2bd85…
05-08 20:09:47	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x85fdef…
05-08 20:09:38	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x144387…
05-08 20:09:24	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x9ed452…
05-08 20:08:37	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x949871…
05-08 20:07:16	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x15f3d4…
05-08 20:06:40	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdbf522…
05-08 20:06:34	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe78283…
05-08 20:06:15	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9cbca1…
05-08 20:03:27	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x540e06…
05-08 20:02:57	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xebc3ec…
05-08 20:02:52	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf2bdb8…
05-08 19:58:10	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x8a354c…
05-08 19:56:48	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xce61c0…
05-08 19:55:36	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3ce0b4…
05-08 19:55:33	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x64a738…
05-08 19:39:43	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0x876e27…
05-08 19:38:33	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd3a159…
05-07 19:12:45	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x60929a…
05-07 19:04:48	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x52c007…
05-07 18:58:52	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x6505e2…
05-07 18:56:25	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x307730…
05-07 18:44:44	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xfbf632…
05-07 18:44:42	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0x405416…
05-07 18:18:22	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xa1f4e0…
05-07 18:18:15	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xae650e…
05-07 18:18:13	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x4ea665…
05-07 18:17:08	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x60080f…
05-07 18:17:06	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x041186…
05-07 18:17:05	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x359281…
05-07 18:17:03	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x9699e9…
05-07 18:15:21	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x299c6f…
05-07 18:14:48	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9d6024…
05-01 13:31:02	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb0fd22…
05-01 13:25:32	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xab7796…
05-01 13:21:28	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x441eb7…
05-01 13:16:32	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4a2e5d…
05-01 13:14:08	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9e8957…
05-01 13:12:56	XRP Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x323dc1…
04-30 17:53:54	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x966d6a…
04-30 17:53:26	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2380ab…
04-30 17:50:46	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9da67b…
04-30 16:12:58	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0xecd6a1…
04-30 16:12:38	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x484d42…
04-30 13:21:32	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xfb3cb8…
04-30 13:20:50	XRP Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xe0fa97…
04-29 18:52:58	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x3e39a0…
04-29 18:52:56	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x094a18…
04-29 18:47:38	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xbdf01c…
04-29 18:42:36	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x83ba88…
04-29 18:38:18	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x0f5f40…
04-29 18:37:32	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x8125cf…
04-28 09:18:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xf03e87…
04-28 09:17:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa984c5…
04-28 08:44:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	199	23¢	$46	0xe06a44…
04-28 08:44:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x1bf359…
04-28 08:16:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x55032c…
04-28 07:42:28	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	18¢	$13	0x7394e8…
04-28 07:17:04	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$5	0x60bea3…
04-28 07:08:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	188	28¢	$53	0xffd7d6…
04-28 07:04:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x52a9cf…
04-28 03:31:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	70	30¢	$21	0x71a3d2…
04-28 01:34:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xa89d41…
04-27 13:39:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?	No	SELL	62	39¢	$24	0x7aa6f4…
04-27 13:06:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	62	30¢	$19	0x8dd842…
04-27 06:03:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27?	No	SELL	124	60¢	$75	0x742c3c…
04-27 04:50:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xbfd446…
04-27 04:31:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xdd16d7…
04-27 04:30:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xbe4575…
04-27 04:26:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xa3c657…
04-27 04:15:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x66f926…
04-27 03:35:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5c10c4…
04-27 03:13:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xd2b876…
04-26 22:54:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	22¢	$16	0xc55a10…
04-24 13:03:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	7¢	$6	0xfbc07c…
04-24 11:01:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 24	No	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x5922be…
04-24 10:08:24	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 24	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xf35afb…
04-24 09:26:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 24	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x074fc5…
04-24 08:59:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 24	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x151bac…
04-24 08:27:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 24	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x4640f3…
04-24 07:46:52	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 24	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xa8ffd0…
04-24 07:18:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 24	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x639726…
04-23 14:52:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 23	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xe5a697…
04-23 11:09:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 23	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x5c4873…
04-23 08:43:42	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 23	No	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xee140a…
04-23 08:33:38	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 23	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x38ee6c…
04-23 08:27:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	15¢	$7	0x28855c…
04-23 07:45:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0xe42070…
04-23 07:23:32	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0xf244eb…
04-23 07:05:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	Yes	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0xbf94a8…
04-23 06:59:40	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 23	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x5e3617…