Reasonable-Rage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$187

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

298

Trades

686

lifetime

Volume

$5.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-10 08:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 64% -$190

Other

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 01:00 UTC	5	$232	218	216	+2	Up	+$25	01-22 01:15
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 23:45 UTC	3	$155	114	112	+2	Up	+$15	01-21 23:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 00:45 UTC	2	$151	198	195	+3	Down	-$55	01-22 00:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 23:30 UTC	2	$137	72	72	+0	Down	+$4	01-21 23:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 22:50 UTC	2	$125	66	66	+0	Down	+$5	06-30 22:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-30 22:30 UTC	3	$116	62	62	+0	Down	+$6	06-30 22:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 00:15 UTC	3	$115	154	51	+104	Up	-$11	01-22 00:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 15:15 UTC	3	$115	103	48	+55	Up	+$24	03-01 15:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 00:00 UTC	1	$111	115	0	+115	Up	+$3	01-22 00:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 02:00 UTC	1	$105	159	0	+159	Up	-$105	01-22 02:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 01:45 UTC	2	$105	131	0	+131	Up	+$1	01-22 01:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 00:30 UTC	1	$104	105	0	+105	Up	+$1	01-22 00:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 16:15 UTC	3	$89	71	38	+33	Down	+$9	01-21 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:20 UTC	4	$85	61	61	+0	Up	+$3	06-30 23:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 23:45 UTC	1	$84	112	0	+112	Down	+$28	01-21 23:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 01:30 UTC	1	$82	105	0	+105	Down	+$23	01-22 01:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 01:15 UTC	3	$77	112	29	+83	Up	+$12	01-22 01:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:30 UTC	3	$73	97	0	+97	Up	-$73	06-30 23:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 23:00 UTC	2	$68	95	0	+95	Up	-$3	01-21 23:12
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 23:15 UTC	1	$65	67	0	+67	Down	+$1	01-21 23:26
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 23:30 UTC	2	$64	103	102	+1	Up	+$10	01-20 23:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 15:40 UTC	1	$60	500	0	+500	Up	-$60	03-01 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 15:20 UTC	1	$60	61	0	+61	Down	+$1	03-01 15:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 17:45 UTC	2	$59	46	45	+1	Up	+$9	01-21 17:58
BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 19:55 UTC	2	$56	29	29	+0	Down	+$2	03-29 20:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 05:30 UTC	3	$55	40	35	+5	Down	+$16	03-29 05:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 22:30 UTC	1	$51	71	0	+71	Down	+$20	01-21 22:42
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 19:15 UTC	1	$51	51	0	+51	Up	+$1	01-21 19:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:45 UTC	2	$51	26	26	+0	Down	+$1	06-30 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:10 UTC	5	$44	27	27	+0	Up	+$0	06-30 20:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-10 08:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0xd6ff44…
10-10 08:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x2a1221…
10-10 08:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x39ac3a…
10-10 08:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0xecbcdf…
10-10 08:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4b898c…
10-10 08:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x8162b0…
10-10 08:10:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0x5065ab…
10-10 08:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa9da53…
10-10 08:09:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x40d65c…
10-10 08:09:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0459bb…
10-10 08:09:39	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0b97f2…
10-10 08:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe000ac…
10-10 08:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4ea1a1…
10-09 22:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x4990ce…
10-09 21:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x2dc734…
10-09 21:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9c2e43…
10-09 20:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x8a66f4…
10-09 20:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x33187e…
10-09 20:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0x4722ce…
10-09 20:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0xbe8be0…
10-09 20:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x85e2e4…
10-09 20:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x932993…
10-09 20:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xaee99f…
10-09 20:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xb876d6…
10-09 19:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x02bcc2…
10-09 19:05:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xdbfa0c…
10-09 09:01:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x929c1e…
10-09 08:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0xfafcae…
10-09 08:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x81404a…
10-09 08:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x5d792f…
10-09 08:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	43	33¢	$14	0x6579fc…
10-09 08:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	43	22¢	$9	0x777173…
08-26 13:01:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x6e6405…
08-26 12:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xb5f865…
08-26 12:51:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x2f05d4…
08-26 12:48:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xe6f56c…
08-26 12:47:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x48aa20…
08-26 12:32:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x42b9b9…
08-26 12:19:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0xff7ce6…
08-26 12:19:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9e2c6c…
08-26 12:18:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x511be3…
08-26 12:16:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdded39…
08-26 12:16:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6eb006…
08-26 12:05:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe55ec4…
08-26 11:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 11:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x23330b…
08-26 11:58:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 11:55 UTC	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x47f30e…
08-26 11:56:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xf2e6c4…
08-26 11:55:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xedb20d…
08-26 11:50:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1bf16c…
08-26 11:47:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x3bbeab…
08-26 11:46:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xfb1ab1…
08-26 11:45:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0d40e6…
08-26 11:37:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x8b30b1…
08-26 11:37:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0f48d0…
08-21 13:13:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6354ad…
08-21 13:11:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x9a884e…
08-21 13:10:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:10 UTC	Up	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x10de3e…
08-21 13:10:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf505d9…
08-21 13:08:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:05 UTC	Down	SELL	47	4¢	$2	0xc2b59e…
08-21 13:06:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xb3ce5a…
08-21 13:05:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xc101b1…
08-01 12:29:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x828dd4…
08-01 12:29:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xfc7b32…
08-01 12:28:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf14370…
08-01 12:21:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x37db15…
08-01 12:15:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0fec27…
08-01 12:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xc6fb4b…
08-01 12:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5eca1c…
08-01 12:13:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x2a90bf…
08-01 12:13:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x430a0d…
08-01 12:08:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:05 UTC	Down	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xa9dc8d…
08-01 12:07:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xa0515e…
08-01 12:02:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xf90f20…
08-01 12:00:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7663bc…
07-25 04:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbd0652…
07-25 04:02:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x99b0bf…
07-25 04:00:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa7b5d9…
07-25 03:59:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0e004f…
07-25 03:58:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 03:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0xfec5df…
07-25 03:57:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 03:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x3d7557…
07-25 03:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0d28ea…
07-25 03:44:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7c78f0…
07-25 03:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x331fb8…
07-25 03:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x40fba5…
07-25 03:00:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x2412b9…
07-24 23:37:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x75f0f4…
07-24 23:35:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0xd5079c…
07-24 23:32:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xca5497…
07-24 23:30:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x99d156…
07-16 21:18:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xdd2407…
07-16 19:39:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:35 UTC	Down	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0xb75064…
07-16 19:39:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x9553af…
07-16 19:19:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0xcaee44…
07-16 19:18:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x708d95…
07-16 19:16:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	13	47¢	$6	0x4df3ea…
07-16 19:15:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xd6ce37…
07-16 19:14:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:10 UTC	Up	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x823e04…
07-16 19:13:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb83a05…
07-16 19:13:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x253c12…
07-16 19:12:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 19:10 UTC	Down	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xa2e939…