Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.87K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-09 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 96% -$2

Other

23% 100% +$1

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+8	$2	20¢	$2	-$1	10-09 14:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 88k on january 6	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	01-06 02:39
bitcoin above 86k on january 19	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	01-19 07:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	06-01 09:00
bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	06-09 07:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	05-07 03:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$89	89	+89	Yes	+$0	05-20 03:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	05-10 10:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	05-15 08:47
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	05-13 02:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	05-26 09:45
bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	06-06 06:32
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 19	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-19 03:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 16	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-15 02:20
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 10	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	03-09 10:45
ethereum above 3400 on january 10	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	01-10 03:46
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 240plus	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	04-06 09:30
bitcoin above 72k on february 28	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	02-28 02:30
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	03-29 02:19
bitcoin above 90k on january 15	1	$87	87	+87	Yes	+$0	01-15 06:40
bitcoin above 98k on january 23	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	01-22 09:21
bitcoin above 78k on march 4	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	03-04 08:52
ethereum above 2500 on february 5	1	$87	87	+87	No	+$0	02-05 03:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	1	$87	87	+87	Yes	+$0	04-25 10:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 24	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	03-24 10:43
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	04-30 02:49
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 460 479	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	04-15 11:17
bitcoin above 86k on february 1	1	$86	86	+86	No	+$0	02-01 02:33
ethereum above 2100 on april 21	1	$85	85	+85	Yes	+$0	04-21 07:43
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	04-11 09:08
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	04-02 07:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 15:00:16	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb4057f…
10-09 14:55:48	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x00b0d1…
09-27 10:58:32	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7bcdad…
09-27 10:55:38	atp overbe tabacc 2026 09 27	Fausto Tabacco	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcff793…
08-08 09:24:01	will wti dip to 30 in august 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd5ee43…
06-09 07:46:30	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x283a43…
06-06 06:32:55	bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xb3d41f…
06-01 09:00:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xf743ef…
05-26 09:45:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xe46627…
05-20 03:30:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x47ce53…
05-15 08:47:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x1450cd…
05-13 02:52:33	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x6d4874…
05-10 10:55:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x31e36c…
05-07 03:25:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x6c47aa…
04-30 02:49:16	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x859884…
04-25 10:59:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x1b46c0…
04-21 07:43:28	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x8774a9…
04-21 07:43:08	Will Mistral have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xad14c1…
04-21 07:42:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb0c38b…
04-15 11:17:52	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 460 479	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x41ff40…
04-15 11:17:40	highest temperature in nyc on april 16 2026 96forhigher	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb8bbb6…
04-15 11:17:14	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7f7bd4…
04-11 09:08:17	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x0c7ec6…
04-11 09:08:03	will tonalenergy tuner metronome be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 14	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4da732…
04-11 09:07:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on april 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4063d8…
04-11 09:07:39	will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb76747…
04-06 09:30:39	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 240plus	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x3572c7…
04-02 07:36:41	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 215 239	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x9c396b…
04-02 07:36:29	highest temperature in nyc on april 2 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfaf164…
04-02 07:36:15	highest temperature in nyc on april 2 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x560c5e…
03-29 02:19:36	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x9ed665…
03-24 10:43:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 24	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x642ede…
03-24 10:43:17	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 165 189	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x78c1d8…
03-24 10:43:07	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5120a9…
03-19 03:27:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 19	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x6482a9…
03-15 02:20:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 16	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x10b870…
03-09 10:45:51	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 10	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xd1724c…
03-04 08:52:37	bitcoin above 78k on march 4	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xc36357…
02-28 02:30:17	bitcoin above 72k on february 28	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x5773c2…
02-13 06:26:39	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 500 519	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x95cd42…
02-13 06:26:17	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x91fd3a…
02-13 06:26:03	will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc4551…
02-13 06:25:51	will grok 4pt20 be released on february 13 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5e94b5…
02-05 03:55:47	ethereum above 2500 on february 5	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x66cf1c…
02-01 02:33:10	bitcoin above 86k on february 1	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x18a261…
01-27 05:16:39	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 640 659	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x2f7962…
01-27 05:15:43	bitcoin above 84k on january 27	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x46ed8a…
01-22 09:21:08	bitcoin above 98k on january 23	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x64c7cb…
01-22 09:20:40	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc25680…
01-22 09:20:28	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc23e76…
01-19 07:45:30	bitcoin above 86k on january 19	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xf8b7ad…
01-15 06:40:36	bitcoin above 90k on january 15	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x0ac14a…
01-15 06:40:24	will israel strike gaza on january 14 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x75e661…
01-15 06:40:14	highest temperature in london on january 15 12corhigher	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb616c8…
01-10 03:46:16	ethereum above 3400 on january 10	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x1907fe…
01-10 03:45:56	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdaf06e…
01-10 03:45:48	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2c833d…
01-06 02:39:57	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe32a28…