Pointless-Pathogenesis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

289

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$3.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 17:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:16
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:47
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 10:40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 01:38
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 04:13
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:31
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:49
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:19
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:14
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:53
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:40
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:53
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-04 13:41
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 3 2026 29c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 12:27
highest temperature in los angeles on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 02:14
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:40
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 17:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc2f54…
11-02 06:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb252b9…
10-31 15:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d60c7…
10-30 14:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8a737…
10-29 17:52:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbfb68…
10-29 09:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0598d3…
10-28 07:54:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x619d59…
10-27 09:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x890a0a…
10-26 09:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xac20bd…
10-24 11:49:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x28e9a9…
10-22 10:27:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83a742…
10-20 07:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c177e…
10-19 09:24:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24a074…
10-18 10:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0027d6…
10-17 15:41:05	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x888056…
10-16 10:04:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5c3fa…
10-15 13:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb81c1f…
10-14 09:45:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e2ad5…
10-13 09:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46bcee…
10-12 09:33:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe44e05…
10-11 09:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bf234…
10-08 12:29:05	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad6ca2…
10-07 15:42:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73a212…
10-06 15:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddd7e9…
10-05 06:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58f021…
10-03 09:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc42a1e…
10-02 13:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb61f92…
10-01 08:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a5575…
09-30 02:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca8b03…
09-28 09:58:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76f122…
09-27 09:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc120ca…
09-25 16:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0cee47…
09-24 08:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e86fa…
09-23 08:50:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24689f…
09-22 08:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38ef25…
09-21 09:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf4b789…
09-20 05:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc9d37…
09-19 08:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf18736…
09-18 07:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73459b…
09-17 04:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71c12a…
09-16 08:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7552a…
09-15 10:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0839b…
09-14 09:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0265cf…
09-13 02:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4251e7…
09-11 09:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11f921…
09-10 08:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00f745…
09-09 02:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e4bc1…
09-08 06:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2cf6a…
09-07 08:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa618ef…
09-06 16:04:37	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9814b0…
09-06 10:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdad65c…
09-05 01:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9544fd…
09-04 01:01:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x528a98…
09-02 07:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52ae40…
08-30 09:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8fa507…
08-29 09:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39948e…
08-28 08:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f86db…
08-27 09:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0cec4a…
08-26 08:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5beb17…
08-25 09:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe95d3e…
08-24 14:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x6eb8f6…
08-23 15:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0cec12…
08-22 09:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x907791…
08-21 07:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb74f9f…
08-20 09:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e8753…
08-18 08:31:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe756c…
08-17 08:20:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1508b3…
08-16 14:24:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0838e…
08-15 10:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x773450…
08-14 06:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f287f…
08-13 09:03:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b2b88…
08-12 09:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a2c55…
08-11 07:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x242632…
08-10 08:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7af7f…
08-09 06:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb02529…
08-08 07:44:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe858cf…
08-07 08:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3c00a…
08-06 07:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5581d1…
08-05 08:04:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85ac8d…
08-04 08:27:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d0f50…
08-03 07:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6221f1…
08-02 06:34:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3ba74…
08-01 07:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12aeb5…
07-31 14:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3543ca…
07-30 07:04:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc10327…
07-29 07:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc446a…
07-28 07:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f6e68…
07-27 09:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80d127…
07-26 07:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ff342…
07-25 09:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x858466…
07-24 13:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29d4b3…
07-23 08:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x420cc7…
07-22 02:10:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f3ce2…
07-21 09:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9cc313…
07-21 00:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9da912…
07-20 08:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cfc5b…
07-18 23:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97f2a2…
07-18 05:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x160483…
07-17 07:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7cf29…
07-15 22:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xfa58ac…