Ajar-Rhinoceros — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$397

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

Trades

216

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 06-28 21:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

73% 62% -$337

Politics

14% 0% -$106

Sports

7% 14% -$114

Crypto

6% 57% +$160

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	22	$2.0K	1,790	1,790	+0	Yes	-$105	02-20 06:00
cs2 mibr 9z 2026 01 30	21	$1.7K	1,019	1,019	+0	MIBR	+$82	01-30 23:47
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	9	$1.6K	1,768	1,019	+749	Yes	-$578	01-30 19:50
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	3	$1.6K	980	980	+0	No	+$98	03-14 16:38
cs2 tl1 fut 2026 01 30	3	$742	401	401	+0	FUT Esports	+$60	01-30 19:56
nba cle por 2026 02 01	6	$650	470	470	+0	Cavaliers	-$10	02-02 02:52
highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 62 63f	11	$642	322	322	+0	Yes	+$2	03-13 05:04
highest temperature in seattle on march 12 2026 46 47f	3	$623	313	313	+0	Yes	-$1	03-13 04:56
uel por1 ran1 2026 01 29 por1	4	$443	161	385	-225	Yes	-$32	01-29 20:43
bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	2	$391	210	210	+0	FC Bayern München	+$29	03-14 16:33
Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)	2	$344	200	200	+0	CD Santa Clara	+$56	05-16 16:34
Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-16?	2	$295	195	195	+0	Yes	-$2	05-16 14:10
uel goa scb 2026 01 29 goa	2	$286	183	183	+0	No	-$4	01-29 20:53
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-26?	2	$279	162	161	+1	Yes	+$38	04-26 17:58
highest temperature in toronto on march 12 2026 1c	3	$254	127	127	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 04:32
highest temperature in chicago on march 12 2026 44 45f	3	$243	168	78	+90	Yes	+$3	03-13 04:59
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?	8	$170	117	116	+1	Yes	+$0	04-26 15:25
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	3	$167	138	135	+3	Yes	+$90	04-26 14:07
epl ars eve 2026 03 14 ars	2	$157	160	160	+0	Yes	-$70	03-14 19:13
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 spread away 4pt5	2	$143	141	141	+0	Seahawks	-$1	02-08 23:14
cs2 ast10 nrg 2026 01 29	2	$142	87	87	+0	NRG	+$31	01-30 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$137	99	95	+4	Up	+$56	04-26 00:00
epl liv mac 2026 02 08 liv	3	$116	97	97	+0	No	+$31	02-08 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 06:05 UTC	2	$104	72	71	+1	Up	+$18	02-20 06:07
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 20:30 UTC	2	$102	72	71	+1	Down	+$40	02-05 20:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 21:35 UTC	1	$100	198	0	+198	Down	+$98	06-28 21:31
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 spread away 5pt5	2	$95	133	133	+0	Seahawks	-$46	02-09 01:50
cs2 nemi1 big5 2026 01 30	2	$86	107	107	+0	Nemiga	-$86	01-30 17:57
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	2	$86	63	63	+0	Seahawks	-$1	02-08 15:28
val fur g21 2026 01 31	5	$85	89	89	+0	FURIA Esports	+$31	01-31 04:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 21:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	198	50¢	$100	0xa95f6b…
06-28 21:20:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x7dbbab…
05-29 16:18:41	Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jong	Karen Khachanov	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0xa4d184…
05-16 16:34:31	Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)	CD Santa Clara	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x125a66…
05-16 14:11:48	Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)	CD Santa Clara	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x15e44e…
05-16 14:10:54	Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	195	75¢	$146	0x8ef077…
05-16 13:56:35	Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	195	76¢	$148	0x2b64e7…
05-11 23:23:39	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0xcde142…
05-11 18:25:58	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?	No	BUY	51	80¢	$41	0x2848aa…
05-11 16:48:54	Parma: Lois Boisson vs Dominika Salkova	Dominika Salkova	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x714463…
05-11 12:36:03	Parma: Lois Boisson vs Dominika Salkova	Dominika Salkova	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x246894…
05-10 20:07:08	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x93c457…
05-10 19:56:12	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	18	81¢	$14	0x6de02f…
04-26 17:58:40	Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	SELL	161	98¢	$158	0xead049…
04-26 16:32:22	Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	162	75¢	$121	0x635085…
04-26 15:25:38	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x47798e…
04-26 15:25:26	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x7dc466…
04-26 15:25:14	Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1d2607…
04-26 15:25:10	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x966761…
04-26 15:24:14	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	47	73¢	$34	0x0e1b38…
04-26 15:24:08	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	47	73¢	$34	0xec1dc3…
04-26 15:23:16	Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	Leeds United FC	SELL	62	68¢	$42	0x2c36d9…
04-26 15:17:48	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$6	0x474738…
04-26 15:17:30	Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	14	40¢	$6	0x68c540…
04-26 15:11:52	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	102	73¢	$74	0xff83ab…
04-26 15:10:02	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x39d835…
04-26 14:51:32	Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x01b317…
04-26 14:49:54	Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)	Leeds United FC	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0xe04f41…
04-26 14:07:50	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	110	94¢	$103	0x1287dd…
04-26 14:06:28	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xbcd530…
04-26 11:57:20	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	138	29¢	$40	0xa2cc18…
04-26 11:57:08	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	147	37¢	$54	0x30a163…
04-26 00:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0xf0ee15…
04-25 23:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	99	43¢	$43	0x55374c…
04-25 16:47:20	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	125	58¢	$72	0x6a87f7…
03-14 19:14:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	86	50¢	$43	0x451f21…
03-14 19:13:51	epl ars eve 2026 03 14 ars	Yes	SELL	160	27¢	$43	0x17da24…
03-14 16:56:31	epl ars eve 2026 03 14 ars	Yes	BUY	160	71¢	$113	0xc01c95…
03-14 16:54:33	epl sun bri 2026 03 14 bri	Yes	SELL	29	94¢	$27	0x944fe4…
03-14 16:43:39	epl sun bri 2026 03 14 bri	Yes	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x875ec5…
03-14 16:38:43	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	761	84¢	$636	0x25abd6…
03-14 16:33:53	bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 draw	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x6e583c…
03-14 16:33:43	bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	FC Bayern München	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0xc016c2…
03-14 14:44:05	bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	FC Bayern München	BUY	210	86¢	$181	0x361ae7…
03-14 14:42:57	bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 draw	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xd551c4…
03-14 14:40:53	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	219	87¢	$191	0xe01d43…
03-13 05:06:21	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	980	74¢	$728	0x603189…
03-13 05:04:31	highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 62 63f	Yes	SELL	203	100¢	$202	0x712246…
03-13 05:01:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0x603057…
03-13 05:00:09	highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 62 63f	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf9e409…
03-13 04:59:37	highest temperature in chicago on march 12 2026 44 45f	Yes	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xb9c931…
03-13 04:56:51	highest temperature in seattle on march 12 2026 46 47f	Yes	SELL	283	99¢	$281	0x27b930…
03-13 04:49:55	highest temperature in chicago on march 12 2026 44 45f	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x31d945…
03-13 04:43:35	highest temperature in seattle on march 12 2026 46 47f	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x70e537…
03-13 04:42:17	highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 62 63f	Yes	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0xd6583a…
03-13 04:35:31	highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x60f451…
03-13 04:35:19	highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x95d1f9…
03-13 04:35:11	highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x379041…
03-13 04:35:05	highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xac654c…
03-13 04:33:31	highest temperature in toronto on march 12 2026 2c	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x40f7e7…
03-13 04:33:17	highest temperature in miami on march 12 2026 84 85f	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7d8f45…
03-13 04:32:39	highest temperature in toronto on march 12 2026 1c	Yes	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x100af7…
03-13 00:19:11	highest temperature in seattle on march 12 2026 46 47f	Yes	BUY	313	100¢	$312	0xd0e02d…
03-13 00:18:51	highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x29745e…
03-13 00:17:55	highest temperature in toronto on march 12 2026 1c	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf8ff0f…
03-13 00:15:45	highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xcffd95…
03-13 00:14:43	highest temperature in chicago on march 12 2026 44 45f	Yes	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0xbd15cd…
03-13 00:12:51	highest temperature in toronto on march 12 2026 2c	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x88e4c1…
03-13 00:12:31	highest temperature in toronto on march 12 2026 1c	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa15777…
03-13 00:08:43	highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xc2d6f8…
03-13 00:08:25	highest temperature in dallas on march 12 2026 62 63f	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x7a31dd…
03-12 23:53:29	highest temperature in miami on march 12 2026 84 85f	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x888653…
02-20 06:07:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 06:05 UTC	Up	SELL	71	85¢	$60	0xbbfc64…
02-20 06:05:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	72	60¢	$44	0x05084c…
02-20 06:01:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xe9a12c…
02-20 06:00:30	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	225	60¢	$135	0x1db5f2…
02-20 05:58:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 05:55 UTC	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x34bf35…
02-20 05:52:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x402677…
02-20 05:51:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 05:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf9e89e…
02-20 05:43:26	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x271515…
02-20 05:43:10	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x5a7aff…
02-20 05:20:00	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	61¢	$140	0xc82e87…
02-20 05:15:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-20 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x4591ef…
02-09 02:26:35	ethereum up or down february 8 9pm et	Down	BUY	73	45¢	$33	0x4fd18e…
02-09 01:52:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	74¢	$24	0xe57cab…
02-09 01:50:41	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 spread away 5pt5	Patriots	SELL	133	18¢	$24	0x60d9cc…
02-08 23:15:31	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 spread away 5pt5	Patriots	BUY	133	53¢	$71	0x295409…
02-08 23:14:13	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 spread away 4pt5	Seahawks	SELL	141	50¢	$71	0xd02a14…
02-08 18:49:51	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 spread away 4pt5	Seahawks	BUY	141	51¢	$72	0x95a4e2…
02-08 18:09:17	epl liv mac 2026 02 08 liv	Yes	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x2974f1…
02-08 18:09:15	epl liv mac 2026 02 08 liv	Yes	SELL	96	76¢	$73	0xb6edce…
02-08 15:31:39	epl liv mac 2026 02 08 liv	Yes	BUY	97	44¢	$43	0xa8b418…
02-08 15:28:05	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	SELL	63	68¢	$43	0x9b6251…
02-08 15:16:17	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	63	69¢	$43	0x76a1ee…
02-08 15:12:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0x5d8a39…
02-08 15:02:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	44	70¢	$31	0x5f8b83…
02-07 17:37:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-07 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0xce6731…
02-05 20:45:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x1eaf02…
02-05 20:23:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	72	44¢	$32	0xe439ed…
02-05 20:22:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	26	98¢	$26	0xb0586a…