Flowery-Extension — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$452

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

876

Trades

2,845

lifetime

Volume

$22.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 165 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 32% -$633

Other

45% 29% +$128

Politics

7% 38% +$168

Sports

1% 0% -$113

Tech

0% 25% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	-10	-$7	96¢	$-10	-$2	07-18 13:07
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	-20	-$2	12¢	$-2	-$1	10-20 12:58
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	-18	-$9	12¢	$-2	+$7	05-05 11:40
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	-4	-$2	7¢	$-0	+$2	06-09 21:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	6	$843	500	500	+0	No	-$13	03-06 09:36
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$804	400	445	-45	Yes	-$1	01-16 10:07
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	6	$547	556	356	+200	No	+$77	02-03 11:21
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?	8	$482	1,000	653	+347	No	-$8	06-24 18:26
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by May 31?	4	$397	200	200	+0	No	+$3	06-01 10:06
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	3	$342	200	200	+0	No	+$2	01-09 22:08
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	1	$312	0	439	-439	Gold	-$127	01-05 15:36
Over $6M committed to the Trove public sale?	4	$279	344	44	+300	Yes	+$35	01-11 09:23
si settle above 85 jan 2026	5	$259	150	150	+0	No	+$9	01-24 20:16
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 65 89	3	$202	125	100	+25	No	-$4	02-10 13:13
will mrbeasts next video get between 20 and 24 million views on day 2	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-23 10:19
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 18-24?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-24 14:35
crint ind nld 2026 02 18	2	$200	100	100	+0	India	+$0	02-18 16:50
will mrbeasts next video get less than 30 million views on day 3	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	02-24 08:18
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 90 114	5	$191	125	125	+0	No	+$6	02-10 14:00
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?	4	$191	100	100	+0	Yes	+$7	03-07 19:09
donald trump of truth social posts february 10 february 17 120 139	3	$179	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	02-17 12:08
donald trump of truth social posts february 17 february 24 120 139	3	$176	100	100	+0	Yes	+$12	02-24 15:52
infinex fdv above 400m one day after launch 564 812 111	4	$172	110	110	+0	No	-$2	01-29 14:13
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	4	$172	100	100	+0	Silver	+$28	01-23 20:49
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 871	3	$171	110	110	+0	No	+$40	03-11 05:28
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?	3	$170	500	500	+0	No	-$50	06-16 13:02
bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 12pm et	11	$169	100	100	+0	Down	+$21	06-20 16:32
val rdl fl1 2026 06 26	3	$167	101	101	+0	Riddle	+$34	06-26 14:47
will 01xyz reach 5b in total volume by march 31 2026	10	$166	155	155	+0	No	+$82	02-23 06:59
andrew tate posts february 17 february 24 0 99	16	$165	194	194	+0	No	-$48	02-24 15:53
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	16	$158	600	338	+262	Yes	-$38	02-28 06:22
mlb pit phi 2026 07 02	5	$152	170	85	+85	Pittsburgh Pirates	-$59	07-02 18:14
bitcoin up or down on june 5 2026	3	$152	80	80	+0	Down	+$1	06-05 12:56
xauusd up or down on june 5 2026	16	$147	136	136	+0	Down	+$2	06-05 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 15:25:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x221706…
11-01 14:55:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x27dbd0…
11-01 13:51:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x129b31…
11-01 13:51:27	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x01ad33…
11-01 13:09:10	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x432c0f…
10-30 14:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa747e6…
10-30 14:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xc6be30…
10-27 16:34:06	Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x3ff541…
10-27 16:31:48	Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x47e526…
10-27 15:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x4e91b5…
10-27 15:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xfdd828…
10-27 15:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc000ee…
10-27 15:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xac0cfc…
10-27 15:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x963695…
10-27 15:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x1d6aa6…
10-27 15:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6c1681…
10-27 15:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	272	0¢	$0	0x30a3f2…
10-27 15:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0xa6a20a…
10-27 15:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0xbed028…
10-27 15:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xb12da8…
10-27 15:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xdceda2…
10-27 15:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x392568…
10-27 15:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x42e562…
10-27 15:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x8dd080…
10-27 15:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0x028286…
10-27 15:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x75cf2f…
10-27 14:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xcf07e0…
10-27 14:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x7ca166…
10-24 21:21:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x1bd852…
10-24 18:27:38	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x6dbe81…
10-23 18:11:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x6c8fc1…
10-22 14:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xd0c084…
10-22 14:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x14f475…
10-22 14:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x6294b8…
10-22 12:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa186d4…
10-22 11:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xe9c0fe…
10-20 12:58:47	Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x44c118…
10-20 12:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcf392e…
10-20 11:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xb9acf9…
10-19 10:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x2f11e4…
10-19 10:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$6	0xfac572…
10-19 10:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x0f6990…
10-17 13:57:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xefc92b…
10-16 18:24:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xf128f6…
10-16 18:15:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9f9a50…
10-16 18:07:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x094cc9…
10-14 13:31:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xd62c02…
10-12 14:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x66912d…
10-12 13:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x4d5690…
10-12 12:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	33¢	$3	0x10414f…
10-12 12:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x7ea9eb…
10-12 10:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x41ca4b…
10-04 13:08:32	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x1bd074…
09-24 07:30:44	Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x94f562…
08-19 13:33:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:30 UTC	Down	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0x517901…
08-19 13:30:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	43¢	$5	0x7bf48b…
08-19 12:01:00	atp maxted brady 2026 08 19	Lui Maxted	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x03aceb…
08-19 11:59:40	atp maxted brady 2026 08 19	Lui Maxted	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x0bfc74…
08-19 11:58:48	atp maxted brady 2026 08 19	Lui Maxted	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x483683…
08-19 11:53:04	atp torres tseng 2026 08 19	Chun-Hsin Tseng	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xde9a83…
08-18 19:11:34	atp johns santos 2026 08 18	Garrett Johns	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x613226…
08-18 19:09:28	atp nakashi medvede 2026 08 18	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xbc3ea8…
08-17 15:21:37	atp radulov monday 2026 08 17	Johannus Monday	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xa82907…
08-17 13:50:51	atp ribeiro nagal 2026 08 17	Sumit Nagal	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x3769e0…
08-16 17:12:25	atp ilagan harri 2026 08 16	Lloyd Harris	BUY	41	67¢	$27	0x0a49b5…
08-16 17:12:22	atp ilagan harri 2026 08 16	Lloyd Harris	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xce7f0a…
08-16 17:11:52	atp ilagan harri 2026 08 16	Lloyd Harris	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb596ab…
08-13 18:52:25	Will Australia win?	Yes	BUY	101	71¢	$72	0x519935…
08-08 15:41:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x3603c5…
08-08 15:38:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x4acff6…
08-08 15:20:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x4dd562…
08-08 14:42:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x0615d7…
08-08 14:34:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xe17d63…
08-04 14:42:44	solana up or down august 4 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x442897…
08-04 14:39:47	solana up or down august 4 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x2b9f44…
08-04 12:39:17	solana up or down august 4 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x2d42ca…
08-04 12:05:39	solana up or down august 4 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x8ee57b…
08-04 11:24:50	solana up or down august 4 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	25	59¢	$15	0xac1434…
08-03 00:19:35	Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0xbb7723…
08-01 13:06:56	solana up or down august 1 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x24fbcf…
08-01 11:47:30	solana up or down august 1 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	40	24¢	$9	0xce3085…
08-01 11:46:47	solana up or down august 1 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x605f88…
08-01 11:07:44	solana up or down august 1 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x239e1e…
07-23 12:36:19	Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	22	19¢	$4	0xc05a0d…
07-22 02:10:36	Huddle FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x202d3b…
07-20 17:49:34	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 1pm et	Down	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x59c906…
07-20 17:45:25	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xf0b833…
07-20 15:13:31	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Down	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xef093b…
07-20 15:06:48	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x8a40d5…
07-20 14:56:51	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x8c3902…
07-20 14:56:46	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x8de554…
07-20 14:05:33	ethereum up or down july 20 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xc313ab…
07-20 11:54:22	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 20	No	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0x6ebc68…
07-20 11:54:15	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 20	No	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0xb67ccd…
07-19 18:27:30	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xcbe555…
07-19 18:10:42	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x8f8940…
07-19 18:10:42	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$0	0x55f828…
07-19 18:10:42	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x37b4e0…
07-19 18:10:06	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x23fcad…
07-19 18:06:46	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x1e48ff…