Sure-Footed-Clause — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,275

lifetime

Volume

$484.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 06-19 23:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 70% $-24

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 1454 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	32	$14.5K	8,093	8,395	-302	open	—	04-12 20:53
btc updown 5m 1775984400	63	$8.7K	4,420	4,420	+0	open	—	04-12 09:06
btc updown 5m 1775969400	3	$8.0K	4,088	4,088	+0	open	—	04-12 04:57
btc updown 5m 1775979300	21	$7.6K	4,071	4,061	+10	open	—	04-12 07:41
btc updown 5m 1775894700	2	$5.6K	5,718	0	+5,718	open	—	04-11 08:09
btc updown 5m 1775893200	4	$4.5K	4,767	0	+4,767	open	—	04-11 07:44
btc updown 5m 1775971200	51	$4.4K	4,878	0	+4,878	open	—	04-12 05:24
btc updown 5m 1775984100	17	$4.4K	4,694	164	+4,530	open	—	04-12 08:59
btc updown 5m 1775975400	90	$4.3K	4,683	0	+4,683	open	—	04-12 06:33
btc updown 5m 1775970000	3	$4.1K	4,139	0	+4,139	open	—	04-12 05:05
btc updown 5m 1775926200	44	$4.1K	4,191	0	+4,191	open	—	04-11 16:54
btc updown 5m 1775932200	8	$4.0K	4,158	0	+4,158	open	—	04-11 18:34
btc updown 5m 1775974500	6	$4.0K	4,308	0	+4,308	open	—	04-12 06:19
btc updown 5m 1775847600	3	$4.0K	2,093	2,021	+72	open	—	04-10 19:05
btc updown 5m 1775982900	8	$4.0K	4,099	0	+4,099	open	—	04-12 08:39
btc updown 5m 1776091200	31	$4.0K	4,173	198	+3,975	open	—	04-13 14:44
btc updown 5m 1775925600	3	$3.9K	4,038	0	+4,038	open	—	04-11 16:43
btc updown 5m 1775892900	4	$3.9K	4,569	0	+4,569	open	—	04-11 07:39
btc updown 5m 1775924700	2	$3.8K	3,873	0	+3,873	open	—	04-11 16:29
btc updown 5m 1775836500	2	$3.8K	1,953	1,947	+6	open	—	04-10 16:01
btc updown 5m 1775890200	2	$3.8K	3,818	0	+3,818	open	—	04-11 06:54
btc updown 5m 1775967300	18	$3.7K	3,891	0	+3,891	open	—	04-12 04:19
btc updown 5m 1775922900	4	$3.7K	3,799	0	+3,799	open	—	04-11 15:59
btc updown 5m 1775923800	4	$3.7K	3,772	0	+3,772	open	—	04-11 16:14
btc updown 5m 1775889300	4	$3.7K	3,779	0	+3,779	open	—	04-11 06:39
btc updown 5m 1776088500	27	$3.7K	3,761	0	+3,761	open	—	04-13 13:58
btc updown 5m 1775888100	4	$3.7K	3,702	0	+3,702	open	—	04-11 06:19
btc updown 5m 1775898900	1	$3.7K	3,692	0	+3,692	open	—	04-11 09:18
btc updown 5m 1775892000	2	$3.5K	3,774	0	+3,774	open	—	04-11 07:24
btc updown 5m 1776088200	60	$3.5K	3,890	0	+3,890	open	—	04-13 13:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 23:44:19	btc updown 5m 1781912400	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8ec2d3…
06-07 03:19:04	btc updown 5m 1780802100	Down	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x2a6c63…
06-07 03:17:33	btc updown 5m 1780802100	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xf81d16…
06-07 02:59:10	btc updown 5m 1780800900	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe6ff08…
06-07 02:58:46	btc updown 5m 1780800900	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc3ccf9…
06-06 12:39:33	btc updown 5m 1780749300	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xaae910…
05-18 17:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xbbf6fd…
05-14 04:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xffbef8…
05-14 04:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x79ee7b…
05-11 15:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x34e6b7…
05-11 14:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x122cc0…
05-11 14:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x356415…
05-10 11:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xae052b…
05-10 02:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x998a97…
05-10 02:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0xa2681c…
05-10 01:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa2391a…
05-10 01:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xd87488…
05-07 15:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xacbdc3…
05-07 15:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	35	63¢	$22	0xccf0d7…
05-07 15:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0x514499…
05-07 15:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	49	88¢	$43	0x6319b0…
05-07 14:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x17fc48…
05-06 14:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20,000	0¢	$20	0x350190…
05-06 13:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x07158b…
05-06 13:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4a4b01…
05-06 13:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x5fed61…
05-06 13:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x159315…
05-06 13:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xde0e38…
05-06 13:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	5¢	$1	0x664857…
05-06 13:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xc242fb…
05-06 13:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe39d4f…
05-06 13:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd10404…
05-06 12:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xc6cea2…
05-06 12:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xbde7da…
05-06 11:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x661cbd…
05-06 11:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xc59bb9…
05-06 11:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x21ac4f…
05-06 11:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xa5b9e0…
05-06 11:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	55	31¢	$17	0x9dc073…
05-06 11:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xbff9ce…
05-06 11:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x39e057…
05-06 11:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x7f1740…
05-06 11:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xe165c7…
05-06 11:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x660104…
05-06 11:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$3	0x653b0e…
05-06 11:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd54602…
05-06 11:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x356531…
05-06 11:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0ff11b…
05-06 11:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0xf5999b…
05-06 11:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$5	0xbe4556…
05-06 11:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x26a0f6…
05-06 11:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2ed5e2…
05-06 11:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa99258…
05-06 11:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xbabe40…
05-06 10:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xe5e126…
05-06 10:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x50b0fa…
05-06 10:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	70	86¢	$60	0x52518b…
05-06 10:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x37a139…
05-06 10:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf457a4…
05-06 10:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1ac218…
05-06 10:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x004189…
05-06 10:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xab1952…
05-06 10:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xce9ed8…
05-06 10:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x05e3ad…
05-06 10:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd38a99…
05-06 10:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7a575c…
05-06 10:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xaddf50…
05-06 10:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x83a27b…
05-06 10:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x71f4cf…
05-06 10:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x6fefd0…
05-06 10:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0x446c96…
05-06 10:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x141ab9…
05-06 10:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xa7d506…
05-06 10:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x867ff7…
05-06 10:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7c2276…
05-06 10:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$3	0x920a5f…
05-06 10:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	57¢	$0	0x816eff…
05-06 10:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x28a4e1…
05-06 10:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x30d863…
05-03 20:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	13	77¢	$10	0xa7a03d…
05-03 20:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xe067ac…
05-03 19:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x2d5a4c…
05-03 19:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xe3eeb0…
05-03 18:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0x1304a7…
05-03 18:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x520bde…
05-03 18:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0xaf5b29…
05-03 18:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x884009…
05-03 15:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0xad00bb…
05-03 15:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4b6a75…
05-03 14:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	19	68¢	$13	0x0e07e0…
05-03 14:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb89094…
05-03 14:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0xc5636d…
05-03 14:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x5793cd…
05-03 13:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	23	68¢	$15	0x040709…
05-03 13:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x0d7db5…
05-03 13:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	49	65¢	$32	0xae336e…
05-03 13:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	65¢	$16	0x671372…
05-03 13:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x63f8b7…
05-03 13:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$9	0x2af38b…
05-03 13:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x190fc9…