Poor-Rule — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$39

1 position

First seen

2026-02-25

last 06-27 14:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 100% +$0

Politics

24% 100% +$1

Other

15% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	No		+39	$39	100¢	$39	+$0	06-27 14:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$291	146	146	+0	open	—	03-29 07:41
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$162	171	171	+0	open	—	05-14 12:16
will solana dip to 55 on april 3	1	$146	147	0	+147	open	—	04-03 04:51
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	1	$146	146	0	+146	open	—	03-29 07:42
will solana reach 100 on april 7	1	$146	146	0	+146	open	—	04-07 06:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$144	145	0	+145	open	—	03-15 06:19
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	2	$143	133	133	+0	open	—	05-27 21:44
will solana reach 110 on april 18	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	04-18 13:16
highest temperature in beijing on april 6 2026 11c	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	04-04 17:05
ethereum above 1700 on april 16	1	$132	132	0	+132	open	—	04-14 15:42
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	1	$132	132	0	+132	open	—	04-26 04:46
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	1	$131	132	0	+132	open	—	03-03 10:45
btc updown 5m 1773551700	1	$122	123	0	+123	open	—	03-15 05:18
ethereum above 2400 on april 9	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	04-09 13:15
btc updown 5m 1773553800	1	$113	124	0	+124	open	—	03-15 05:54
btc updown 5m 1773550800	1	$112	114	0	+114	open	—	03-15 05:04
will bitcoin dip to 58k april 6 12	1	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	04-11 06:27
btc updown 5m 1773554400	1	$104	106	0	+106	open	—	03-15 06:04
will the price of solana be greater than 130 on april 21	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	04-19 15:43
will solana reach 130 february 23 march 1	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	02-25 06:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	1	$68	68	0	+68	No	+$0	05-04 03:41
Will the price of Solana be above $50 on May 13?	1	$66	66	0	+66	Yes	+$0	05-10 14:27
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	1	$57	58	0	+58	No	+$1	05-06 07:03
will bitcoin reach 80k june 1 7 2026	1	$53	53	0	+53	open	—	06-04 12:41
btc updown 5m 1773553200	1	$45	47	0	+47	open	—	03-15 05:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	05-29 16:21
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	06-27 14:12
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$38	119	0	+119	open	—	05-14 12:17
btc updown 5m 1773552000	1	$32	39	0	+39	open	—	03-15 05:24
btc updown 5m 1773552900	1	$30	38	0	+38	open	—	03-15 05:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 14:12:55	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x0231f5…
06-04 12:41:01	will bitcoin reach 80k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x762758…
05-29 16:21:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x575a1e…
05-27 21:44:28	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	133	49¢	$65	0x7cc8a0…
05-23 14:21:19	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	133	58¢	$77	0x313932…
05-14 12:17:53	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	119	32¢	$38	0x7c5f0b…
05-14 12:16:25	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	171	24¢	$40	0xa1065e…
05-14 01:16:10	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	171	71¢	$121	0x5e04a5…
05-10 14:27:48	Will the price of Solana be above $50 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x40e75a…
05-06 07:03:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0xa34a96…
05-04 03:41:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x58b0dd…
04-26 04:46:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 20-26?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xa32153…
04-26 04:45:54	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x045926…
04-24 16:39:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x157c03…
04-19 15:44:34	highest temperature in ankara on april 19 2026 12c	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x74f5b7…
04-19 15:43:58	highest temperature in jeddah on april 19 2026 38c	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed6539…
04-19 15:43:18	will the price of solana be greater than 130 on april 21	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xa08e3f…
04-18 13:16:48	will solana reach 110 on april 18	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x545f3c…
04-16 07:53:26	highest temperature in denver on april 17 2026 35forbelow	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x8fea59…
04-14 15:42:39	ethereum above 1700 on april 16	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xbf0c03…
04-13 14:36:21	highest temperature in jakarta on april 14 2026 27corbelow	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa4a8b0…
04-12 13:51:51	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc0fcea…
04-11 06:27:31	will bitcoin dip to 58k april 6 12	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x5e787a…
04-09 13:15:51	ethereum above 2400 on april 9	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xd3aba3…
04-09 13:14:49	highest temperature in beijing on april 9 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x6cf6d2…
04-07 06:00:23	will solana reach 100 on april 7	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x99cf26…
04-04 17:05:11	highest temperature in beijing on april 6 2026 11c	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x77faef…
04-04 17:04:25	highest temperature in chongqing on april 5 2026 27corhigher	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb45e1e…
04-04 16:57:43	btc updown 5m 1775321700	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc7d61c…
04-03 04:51:37	will solana dip to 55 on april 3	No	BUY	147	100¢	$146	0x81fb44…
03-29 07:42:04	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0xad0df8…
03-29 07:41:14	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x8a29fb…
03-18 08:55:17	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0x2287eb…
03-15 06:19:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	145	100¢	$144	0xe4c750…
03-15 06:14:21	btc updown 5m 1773555000	Down	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0x411854…
03-15 06:04:23	btc updown 5m 1773554400	Up	BUY	106	98¢	$104	0x6e58b9…
03-15 05:59:15	btc updown 5m 1773554100	Down	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xd98826…
03-15 05:54:27	btc updown 5m 1773553800	Down	BUY	124	91¢	$113	0xc8afc1…
03-15 05:48:49	btc updown 5m 1773553500	Up	BUY	51	56¢	$29	0x93b512…
03-15 05:44:39	btc updown 5m 1773553200	Down	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x16d981…
03-15 05:39:41	btc updown 5m 1773552900	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x1f5bf8…
03-15 05:34:13	btc updown 5m 1773552600	Up	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x757031…
03-15 05:29:51	btc updown 5m 1773552300	Down	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x2e4dec…
03-15 05:24:39	btc updown 5m 1773552000	Up	BUY	39	80¢	$32	0x21e4ed…
03-15 05:18:03	btc updown 5m 1773551700	Up	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0xefb137…
03-15 05:14:29	btc updown 5m 1773551400	Up	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x17cf65…
03-15 05:09:59	btc updown 5m 1773551100	Down	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xa4d2cd…
03-15 05:04:51	btc updown 5m 1773550800	Down	BUY	114	98¢	$112	0xdddf48…
03-15 04:59:23	btc updown 5m 1773550500	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xcda8a9…
03-03 10:45:15	will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0x1e2997…
02-25 06:50:30	will solana reach 130 february 23 march 1	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xcb2b00…
02-25 06:50:14	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in february 2026	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x4bfb58…
02-25 06:49:00	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in february 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x76804f…