Talkative-Gumshoe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved

349

Trades

772

lifetime

Volume

$9.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 09-01 14:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Other

70% 71% +$0

Crypto

23% 81% +$0

Politics

5% 88% +$0

Sports

1% 67% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	6	$95	47	47	+0	No	$0	08-25 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 25?	6	$88	44	44	+0	No	$0	07-25 02:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 1?	3	$84	42	42	+0	No	+$0	09-01 14:13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 81°F or below on July 30?	3	$74	37	37	+0	No	+$0	07-30 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on August 30?	5	$72	36	36	+0	No	$0	08-30 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 6?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-06 07:45
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 11?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-10 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on July 20?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-19 06:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-25 14:08
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C or below on July 23?	4	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-22 15:08
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on July 27?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-27 19:55
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$57	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	08-31 13:41
ethereum above 2100 on july 21 2026	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-21 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on August 7?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-06 13:39
Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-31 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 26?	2	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	08-26 15:53
bitcoin above 68k on august 7 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-07 01:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 7?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-06 11:11
ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	08-11 11:55
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	02-02 23:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 28?	7	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-28 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on July 26?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-25 19:12
bitcoin above 68k on august 11 2026	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-11 00:36
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-31 00:58
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	07-28 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 18?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-17 14:27
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 28?	3	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-28 05:29
ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	Yes	+$0	07-26 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on July 18?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-17 10:49
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 11?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	$0	08-10 13:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 14:13:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 1?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xe2a581…
09-01 10:57:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8256b5…
09-01 10:00:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x831260…
09-01 04:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 1?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9de664…
09-01 04:12:03	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x48dc65…
08-31 23:11:04	Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa1afe5…
08-31 23:04:18	Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x85558c…
08-31 20:15:03	will ethereum dip to 2000 in august 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x171827…
08-31 16:33:54	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2df285…
08-31 15:28:45	Will Meta have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x4cdde8…
08-31 14:52:55	will ethereum dip to 2000 in august 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x728d6e…
08-31 13:41:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$28	0x362db1…
08-31 13:35:04	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa1cde1…
08-31 13:35:04	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x86fdd3…
08-31 13:35:04	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1a148a…
08-31 06:22:24	Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa53b54…
08-31 04:14:36	Will Meta have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3078c6…
08-31 01:34:01	bitcoin above 86k on august 31 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x10a198…
08-30 20:21:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x8f2786…
08-30 20:02:28	bitcoin above 86k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2cf403…
08-30 17:08:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x06c594…
08-30 15:20:25	bitcoin above 80k on august 30 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x6b0f80…
08-30 12:01:07	ethereum above 2600 on august 30 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf000ac…
08-30 11:22:58	bitcoin above 80k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xba3a47…
08-30 03:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x19e7db…
08-30 02:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x38f7da…
08-30 01:56:51	ethereum above 2600 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x078105…
08-29 19:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd60859…
08-29 19:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x12c780…
08-29 17:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xafff18…
08-29 17:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa7b6e3…
08-29 16:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1e695d…
08-29 08:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 29?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x69771b…
08-28 20:02:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa389ef…
08-28 15:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C or higher on August 28?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3fd4fe…
08-28 13:05:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7e58c0…
08-28 09:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C or higher on August 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x035d10…
08-28 01:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0038d3…
08-28 01:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf2f6e7…
08-28 01:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x27bc7f…
08-28 01:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 28?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa7ee87…
08-28 00:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 28?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfe16e3…
08-28 00:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 28?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x453c5d…
08-27 20:15:39	Will Yash Patel be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 7)?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x28f78b…
08-27 13:50:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 28?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x3a70ce…
08-27 08:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or below on August 27?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x6c6385…
08-27 07:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 27?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x559bc2…
08-27 06:23:52	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 27?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x543f8a…
08-27 03:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x589c96…
08-26 20:16:13	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x83040d…
08-26 18:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2945bc…
08-26 15:55:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x2f2bf3…
08-26 15:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 26?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x52cf94…
08-26 12:51:31	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc57f3e…
08-26 03:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 26?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x86bdd4…
08-25 14:58:25	bitcoin above 76k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x620ca8…
08-25 14:08:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x7fcde5…
08-25 11:51:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfc408c…
08-25 05:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C or higher on August 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9e6606…
08-25 05:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$19	0x389e4d…
08-25 03:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8f21e1…
08-25 03:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xdc46c0…
08-25 03:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcc7681…
08-25 02:21:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0x72c888…
08-24 21:55:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf11bf1…
08-24 19:46:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x2776c4…
08-24 19:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcb6cb6…
08-24 16:47:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2484c5…
08-23 22:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 24?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x08e2a4…
08-23 21:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on August 24?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1d0e92…
08-23 21:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on August 24?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x385b89…
08-23 19:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x15c873…
08-23 19:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on August 24?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x794654…
08-23 19:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on August 24?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9362d1…
08-23 17:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on August 24?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd6732a…
08-14 20:54:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 15?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xda705d…
08-14 20:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 15?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x3a44dc…
08-14 20:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 15?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x968b33…
08-14 20:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 15?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4a73da…
08-14 15:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 15?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x9b5e11…
08-14 13:17:57	iran leadership change by august 15	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xffe3f1…
08-14 11:47:21	iran leadership change by august 15	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe8deb1…
08-14 07:13:52	solana above 80 on august 14 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8c1c40…
08-14 07:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on August 14?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x15a15f…
08-14 06:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1e0572…
08-14 04:41:43	will dee valladares be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432962	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x42e4d5…
08-14 03:42:00	solana above 80 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x58ef31…
08-14 01:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on August 14?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x553757…
08-14 01:59:10	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x379ba8…
08-14 00:38:36	will ng dip to 2 10 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xaa869b…
08-13 23:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6cfaaf…
08-13 21:53:07	ethereum above 1700 on august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x1c91f6…
08-13 18:40:12	Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be between 240k and 280k?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xca4854…
08-13 15:49:24	Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be between 240k and 280k?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfbbab0…
08-13 14:05:16	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x3c29b1…
08-13 09:18:31	ethereum above 1700 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0b07d3…
08-13 05:14:39	Will Francesca Hong win Dane County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x04cede…
08-13 05:06:13	will dee valladares be evicted in big brother season 28 week 5 20260806195432962	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x12fa0d…
08-13 00:52:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xd48563…
08-13 00:25:30	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4ede3f…