Educated-Form — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$190

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$30

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 06-24 12:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

72% — —

Crypto

23% 50% $-0

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes		+148	$40	20¢	$30	$-10	06-16 03:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	1	$40	148	0	+148	open	—	06-16 03:23
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	2	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	05-02 22:45
val gx fnc1 2026 04 23	2	$13	16	16	+0	open	—	04-23 16:33
Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	7	$11	86	59	+27	open	—	04-25 00:27
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	2	$9	417	417	+0	open	—	06-24 12:25
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	7	$9	51	16	+35	open	—	04-24 21:53
val 9z mk 2026 04 23	4	$7	9	9	+0	open	—	04-23 21:27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$7	650	650	+0	open	—	04-24 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$7	6	3	+3	open	—	04-25 05:20
btc updown 5m 1776900300	2	$6	200	0	+200	open	—	04-22 23:29
btc updown 5m 1776901500	2	$6	38	0	+38	open	—	04-22 23:48
btc updown 5m 1776900600	1	$5	100	0	+100	open	—	04-22 23:32
btc updown 5m 1776900000	1	$5	83	0	+83	open	—	04-22 23:22
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$4	24	24	+0	open	—	04-25 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	04-24 21:38
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	2	$3	32	0	+32	open	—	04-23 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$2	5	5	+0	Down	$-2	05-07 07:44
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?	2	$2	18	17	+1	open	—	04-27 16:49
btc updown 5m 1776958500	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-23 15:39
btc updown 5m 1776901800	2	$1	17	16	+1	open	—	04-22 23:54
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?	2	$1	30	30	+0	open	—	06-24 06:44
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	2	$1	94	90	+4	open	—	04-27 16:49
btc updown 5m 1776901200	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	04-22 23:44
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-03 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-30 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-25 05:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 12:25:14	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	417	1¢	$4	0xbdb588…
06-24 06:44:23	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xb49f60…
06-16 03:23:31	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	Yes	BUY	148	27¢	$40	0xdd4d9b…
06-10 05:01:01	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	417	1¢	$5	0x0d7f11…
06-09 23:18:34	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x04a6d5…
05-07 07:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xa40a4f…
05-07 07:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xe38d2d…
05-05 11:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xfbf536…
05-05 11:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x22c455…
05-03 02:11:52	Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	Sentinels	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x19910e…
05-02 22:45:32	Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	KRÜ Esports	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0x71f9b3…
05-02 21:55:46	Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	KRÜ Esports	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x220b11…
04-30 19:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc39e71…
04-27 16:49:06	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0xdfd738…
04-27 16:49:06	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x52cd43…
04-25 20:58:56	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	8¢	$2	0xbfdcd4…
04-25 05:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7e3ade…
04-25 05:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9641d3…
04-25 05:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0x479126…
04-25 05:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x8b2d65…
04-25 00:27:06	Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	LOUD	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9e4436…
04-25 00:22:16	Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	LOUD	SELL	34	8¢	$3	0x37a8d6…
04-24 23:37:24	Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	LOUD	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0x75cc02…
04-24 23:36:46	Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	LOUD	SELL	26	6¢	$2	0x27a2b3…
04-24 23:29:20	Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	LOUD	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x67ea66…
04-24 23:15:52	Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	LOUD	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0b00a4…
04-24 21:53:30	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb94d98…
04-24 21:39:02	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6c0b4c…
04-24 21:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x7a0eab…
04-24 21:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x385854…
04-24 21:32:16	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x199739…
04-24 21:25:58	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	SELL	16	13¢	$2	0x2236b8…
04-24 21:22:52	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdde9bc…
04-24 21:18:52	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb21477…
04-24 19:22:18	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	650	1¢	$5	0x84cf1f…
04-24 13:03:28	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xe6e96a…
04-24 12:48:04	Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	LOUD	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdf99b3…
04-24 05:00:08	Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	Team Envy	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0xcac4d5…
04-24 04:55:56	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	Yes	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0xcbd450…
04-23 22:21:44	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xae71a3…
04-23 21:27:42	val 9z mk 2026 04 23	9z Team	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x9e0706…
04-23 21:19:40	val 9z mk 2026 04 23	9z Team	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfd5abc…
04-23 20:45:04	val 9z mk 2026 04 23	Melser Kindergarten	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xcbe973…
04-23 20:26:28	val 9z mk 2026 04 23	Melser Kindergarten	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc37049…
04-23 16:34:24	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	317	0¢	$1	0x1b87a6…
04-23 16:33:10	val gx fnc1 2026 04 23	Fnatic	SELL	16	54¢	$8	0x4e7463…
04-23 15:54:50	val gx fnc1 2026 04 23	Fnatic	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0x5339f5…
04-23 15:51:44	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x093ac1…
04-23 15:45:08	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x776c13…
04-23 15:43:24	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x4ab4b0…
04-23 15:39:12	btc updown 5m 1776958500	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x808d02…
04-23 15:38:22	btc updown 5m 1776958500	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x41294d…
04-22 23:54:38	btc updown 5m 1776901800	Up	SELL	16	3¢	$0	0xbeec3c…
04-22 23:53:40	btc updown 5m 1776901800	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x38c7ad…
04-22 23:48:56	btc updown 5m 1776901500	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf9c635…
04-22 23:46:14	btc updown 5m 1776901500	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x3211e4…
04-22 23:44:58	btc updown 5m 1776901200	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf091ef…
04-22 23:32:30	btc updown 5m 1776900600	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xaff639…
04-22 23:29:36	btc updown 5m 1776900300	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xddd1dc…
04-22 23:28:26	btc updown 5m 1776900300	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x24eca1…
04-22 23:22:44	btc updown 5m 1776900000	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x41554c…