Needy-Pearl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$294

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.6%

Resolved

165

Trades

697

lifetime

Volume

$8.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 08-07 13:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

80% 3% -$190

Politics

13% 0% -$72

Tech

5% 0% -$21

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$2

Crypto

1% 0% —

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	16	$2.3K	1,145	1,145	+0	open	—	05-19 11:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	11	$159	138	138	+0	Yes	-$1	08-03 14:39
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	12	$144	140	140	+0	No	-$2	08-04 15:17
Will Team Liquid Win the Shortest Game in LCS 2026 Summer Split?	9	$139	120	120	+0	No	-$8	08-05 12:26
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?	11	$133	120	120	+0	Yes	-$3	08-04 20:09
iran successfully targets shipping by august 16 2026	9	$132	120	120	+0	Yes	-$4	08-04 18:52
Will Bradley Barcola join Liverpool?	12	$132	120	120	+0	Yes	-$2	08-05 03:13
will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	9	$130	120	120	+0	No	-$2	08-04 21:48
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	10	$117	120	120	+0	No	-$5	08-05 05:17
will aapl dip to 300 by august 3 2026	10	$108	114	114	+0	No	-$4	08-04 13:30
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?	8	$99	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	08-05 01:01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?	8	$99	80	80	+0	Yes	-$3	08-05 03:16
will xauusd dip to 3900 in august 2026	8	$84	85	85	+0	No	-$1	08-05 01:42
will wti dip to 75 by august 3 2026	7	$80	80	80	+0	Yes	-$1	08-03 23:51
Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?	6	$80	80	80	+0	No	-$3	08-05 05:04
will the first eaglet hatch on april 13 2026 664 831	3	$77	40	40	+0	No	+$0	04-03 13:10
will ng reach 3 00 in august 2026	7	$74	80	80	+0	No	-$3	08-04 22:00
will spy reach 770 in august 2026	6	$72	61	61	+0	Yes	$0	08-04 00:31
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	5	$69	60	60	+0	No	-$5	08-05 12:26
will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	8	$66	80	80	+0	No	-$2	08-04 23:01
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	7	$65	60	60	+0	No	$0	08-04 00:42
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?	6	$64	60	60	+0	Yes	-$4	08-05 12:29
will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260804194832576	5	$62	60	60	+0	No	-$2	08-05 11:47
will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	5	$61	60	60	+0	No	-$3	08-05 12:25
Will LEVIATÁN Win VCT AMER Stage 2 2026?	6	$56	80	80	+0	No	$0	08-04 15:57
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?	7	$56	45	45	+0	Yes	-$1	08-05 01:30
will spy reach 770 by august 3 2026	3	$54	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	08-04 15:03
Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	5	$53	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	08-03 15:18
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	3	$53	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	08-03 05:10
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?	3	$52	40	40	+0	No	$0	08-03 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 13:34:06	Will GEN be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xb6a1f9…
08-06 10:01:41	will nongshim redforce be a 2027 vct pacific partner team 20260803201204225	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x3b1154…
08-05 12:32:14	Will Luke Herdegen win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xc55404…
08-05 12:31:42	will ukraine target moscow by august 7 2026 20260801211847596	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xb8ab4f…
08-05 12:30:03	will ariana grandes monthly listeners figure hit 105m by august 31 20260804004427307	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x2bb616…
08-05 12:29:56	will uefa end its fifa boycott by august 10 2026 20260731024630661	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x40b820…
08-05 12:29:38	Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x35f7db…
08-05 12:29:29	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7?	No	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x586757…
08-05 12:29:15	Will BBL Esports Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x51775a…
08-05 12:29:08	beezie fdv above 100m one day after launch 20260804180933885	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xe193db…
08-05 12:29:00	Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?	No	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0x05c971…
08-05 12:28:27	Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?	No	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0x062d2e…
08-05 12:28:20	Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament	No	SELL	12	61¢	$7	0x53a41d…
08-05 12:28:12	will mark kelly announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241621	No	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x6a1169…
08-05 12:27:59	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0xfb470d…
08-05 12:27:51	will wes moore announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241609	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x680fce…
08-05 12:27:42	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0xaefac2…
08-05 12:27:35	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xc626c1…
08-05 12:27:26	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	No	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0xa3be65…
08-05 12:27:18	Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0xdad7c4…
08-05 12:27:09	will marco rubio announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241646	Yes	SELL	27	43¢	$12	0x1b88f4…
08-05 12:26:56	Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?	Yes	SELL	40	33¢	$13	0x6bc79f…
08-05 12:26:42	Will Team Liquid Win the Shortest Game in LCS 2026 Summer Split?	No	SELL	40	39¢	$16	0xaf6994…
08-05 12:26:33	Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	40	44¢	$18	0x5b0184…
08-05 12:26:23	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	SELL	40	49¢	$20	0xcff6d3…
08-05 12:26:14	Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x085cf9…
08-05 12:26:05	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	SELL	40	54¢	$22	0x934d6c…
08-05 12:25:53	will joao felix attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803204947260	No	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0xd871b0…
08-05 12:25:35	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0x1a1eeb…
08-05 12:25:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	40	59¢	$24	0x7b40ef…
08-05 12:14:17	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x426a0d…
08-05 12:14:14	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x3e4de3…
08-05 12:02:27	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0x0650d2…
08-05 11:47:02	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260804194832576	No	SELL	40	58¢	$23	0x584574…
08-05 11:41:56	will titan esports club be a 2027 vct cn partner team 20260803201808475	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xdf335b…
08-05 11:40:06	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260804194832576	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x35a0b6…
08-05 11:20:35	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xbc3aef…
08-05 11:20:32	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $800B and $900B at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x7ff407…
08-05 11:14:42	will alexandria ocasio cortez announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241606	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x02b093…
08-05 11:11:56	Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x0d9e6c…
08-05 11:11:53	Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x48bf7f…
08-05 11:01:27	will nvidia nvda q2 data center revenue be above 85b 20260803225408746	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x46e3a1…
08-05 10:46:47	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?	Yes	SELL	19	32¢	$6	0xc71b3c…
08-05 10:33:26	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xf0c27d…
08-05 10:33:24	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xf5eb29…
08-05 10:10:24	Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x4929a5…
08-05 10:10:20	Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x454c91…
08-05 10:07:27	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0xe7e232…
08-05 10:07:23	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x43d7d2…
08-05 10:07:21	Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x1f8ec1…
08-05 09:52:18	Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xa022cc…
08-05 09:52:15	Will Jay Schroeder be the Wisconsin Secretary of State Republican nominee?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd2c219…
08-05 09:37:05	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0xc4610d…
08-05 09:25:38	will xauusd reach 4300 in august 2026	No	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x382529…
08-05 09:25:35	will xauusd reach 4300 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xef18bb…
08-05 09:21:29	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xfa39d4…
08-05 09:21:29	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?	Yes	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0xe9b23e…
08-05 09:21:26	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in August?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x4c8ea1…
08-05 09:18:48	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0xa569e4…
08-05 09:18:44	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x865fcf…
08-05 09:18:42	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0x3c326a…
08-05 09:03:38	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260804194832575	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xd88575…
08-05 08:59:42	will marco rubio announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241646	Yes	SELL	13	60¢	$8	0x3c742e…
08-05 08:59:38	will marco rubio announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241646	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x69a817…
08-05 08:53:47	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x700359…
08-05 08:53:44	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x92c2b8…
08-05 08:45:39	will aapl reach 320 by august 3 2026	Yes	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x284df4…
08-05 08:45:36	will aapl reach 320 by august 3 2026	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe93fbb…
08-05 08:24:23	Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0x404cde…
08-05 08:18:11	Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0xe98f34…
08-05 08:18:05	Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0x351fb4…
08-05 08:18:03	Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x97d18e…
08-05 08:17:59	Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xf041e4…
08-05 08:17:59	Will Kevin Steele be the FL-14 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x129c4a…
08-05 07:57:51	Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x876041…
08-05 07:57:50	Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xe9ebab…
08-05 07:55:30	Will Nasim Nuñez lead the MLB in stolen bases for the 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xfcc83b…
08-05 07:47:56	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	No	SELL	8	56¢	$4	0x851a0f…
08-05 07:47:54	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?	No	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x0de2aa…
08-05 07:32:24	Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x596703…
08-05 07:26:45	Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament	No	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0x8f74b9…
08-05 07:25:50	Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xcf2513…
08-05 07:21:54	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260804194832576	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xe57eba…
08-05 07:15:15	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 16b 20260804003708906	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x79e203…
08-05 07:13:54	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1470 by december 31 2026 20260804194832576	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x2e1d94…
08-05 06:38:41	will the next grok model 4pt6 debut at a score of at least 1460 by december 31 2026 20260804194832575	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa4221f…
08-05 06:36:18	Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?	Yes	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0xc92730…
08-05 06:36:15	Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0xc6fed8…
08-05 06:09:51	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xb65c74…
08-05 06:09:48	Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x25c10b…
08-05 05:49:03	Will Team Liquid Win the Shortest Game in LCS 2026 Summer Split?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb18db9…
08-05 05:39:24	will brian kemp announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241655	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xf79bdb…
08-05 05:39:21	will brian kemp announce a presidential run before 2028 20260803143241655	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xddbbf6…
08-05 05:38:57	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0x756e5e…
08-05 05:38:53	us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xa6e44f…
08-05 05:33:08	Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament	No	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0x635b76…
08-05 05:31:17	Will Javokhir Sindarov Win the 2026 Saint Louis Rapid & Blitz Tournament	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xed0cde…
08-05 05:17:45	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	SELL	40	26¢	$10	0x65c5d0…
08-05 05:17:42	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x9d88af…
08-05 05:04:24	Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?	Yes	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0x044ee7…