Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

19.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$84

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 08-01 14:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

61% 7% -$44

Politics

28% 30% +$35

Crypto

11% 50% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
iran coup attempt by december 31	Yes	+8	$1	11¢	$1	$0	08-01 14:37
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	+8	$2	10¢	$1	-$1	08-01 14:38
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Yes	+12	$1	3¢	$0	-$1	08-01 14:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$15	750	0	+750	No	-$15	03-19 22:50
Netanyahu out by April 30?	1	$10	143	0	+143	No	-$10	03-19 22:59
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$9	290	0	+290	No	-$9	03-19 23:32
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$8	47	0	+47	Yes	+$39	02-22 01:35
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	1	$3	42	0	+42	No	-$3	02-09 20:22
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$3	375	0	+375	No	-$3	03-10 21:29
will iran strike the united kingdom by march 31	1	$2	97	0	+97	No	-$2	03-21 21:07
will trump say epic fury during kentucky visit	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	-$2	03-10 21:36
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	1	$2	42	0	+42	No	-$2	03-05 11:28
will trump say kennedy this week march 15	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	+$3	03-10 21:32
will trump say radical left this week march 15	1	$2	10	0	+10	Yes	-$2	03-10 21:32
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	08-01 14:38
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	03-05 11:32
us evacuates beirut embassy by december 31	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	08-01 14:38
will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	2	$1	26	26	+0	No	-$1	02-01 02:16
will tran cam tu be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	1	$1	140	0	+140	No	-$1	01-23 01:12
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	1	$1	37	0	+37	No	-$1	01-23 01:19
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	08-01 14:37
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$1	50	0	+50	Yes	-$1	01-23 01:12
bitcoin above 84k on january 23	1	$1	333	0	+333	Yes	-$1	01-23 01:15
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	01-23 01:10
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?	1	$1	67	0	+67	Yes	-$1	08-01 14:36
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	+$3	02-09 20:21
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	-$1	03-10 21:31
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	+$2	01-23 00:19
tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 28 2026 0pt45	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	-$1	01-23 01:14
will the us next strike iran on february 7 2026 et	1	$1	24	0	+24	No	-$1	02-01 03:59
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	34	0	+34	Yes	-$1	01-23 01:13
miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	1	$1	8	0	+8	No	-$1	03-10 21:33
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	+$3	02-22 01:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 14:38:45	us evacuates beirut embassy by december 31	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x98c0d3…
08-01 14:38:14	Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xcd45ba…
08-01 14:37:51	iran coup attempt by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x101360…
08-01 14:37:38	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcc7f7b…
08-01 14:36:14	Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x8c9542…
03-21 21:07:01	will iran strike the united kingdom by march 31	Yes	BUY	97	2¢	$2	0x3ffe1e…
03-19 23:32:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	290	3¢	$9	0x083da4…
03-19 22:59:53	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xad89a0…
03-19 22:50:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	750	2¢	$15	0x119b8c…
03-10 21:36:01	will trump say epic fury during kentucky visit	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x85c689…
03-10 21:33:29	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xadce2a…
03-10 21:32:53	will trump say kennedy this week march 15	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7c9584…
03-10 21:32:19	will trump say radical left this week march 15	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x4c9119…
03-10 21:31:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4e0823…
03-10 21:29:13	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	375	1¢	$3	0xf9e91b…
03-05 11:32:33	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xd4866f…
03-05 11:28:25	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x4a930d…
02-22 01:36:02	US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe2d44a…
02-22 01:35:44	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	47	17¢	$8	0x24b2ea…
02-09 20:22:51	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0xdc9798…
02-09 20:21:33	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5606c2…
02-01 03:59:46	will the us next strike iran on february 7 2026 et	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x15bb96…
02-01 02:16:44	will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x2eb430…
01-23 01:19:10	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xaa5a2d…
01-23 01:17:02	will solana dip to 110 in january 2026	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5e3326…
01-23 01:15:30	bitcoin above 84k on january 23	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x07b597…
01-23 01:14:08	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 28 2026 0pt45	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4f7790…
01-23 01:13:28	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x0cb475…
01-23 01:12:58	will tran cam tu be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	Yes	BUY	140	1¢	$1	0x6ad6dd…
01-23 01:12:24	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5294bb…
01-23 01:10:12	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xeae0af…
01-23 01:09:10	us strike on somalia by january 31 338	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x261df4…
01-23 01:08:36	will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x537d71…
01-23 00:39:52	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x11b6cc…
01-23 00:19:18	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x803977…