Excitable-Diaper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$111

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

160

Trades

875

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-16 07:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% +$111

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 368 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$90	90	52	+38	open	—	05-15 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$89	80	51	+30	open	—	05-15 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$87	96	49	+47	open	—	05-15 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	9	$86	59	59	+1	Down	+$27	05-11 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$86	78	48	+30	open	—	05-15 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$86	1,303	48	+1,255	open	—	05-15 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	9	$86	48	48	+1	open	—	05-14 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$84	75	46	+29	open	—	05-15 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$79	80	41	+40	open	—	05-15 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	7	$79	73	40	+33	Down	$-1	05-11 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	5	$79	77	40	+37	open	—	05-15 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	6	$78	79	40	+40	Up	$-1	05-11 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$78	79	40	+40	Up	$-2	05-10 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	5	$78	79	40	+40	Down	$-2	05-10 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$78	80	40	+41	Up	$-2	05-11 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	9	$77	61	60	+1	Up	+$38	05-11 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$77	70	39	+31	open	—	05-16 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	5	$77	80	39	+41	Up	$-2	05-11 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	6	$77	79	39	+40	Down	$-2	05-11 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	11	$77	79	39	+41	Up	$-2	05-10 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$76	78	38	+40	Up	$-3	05-11 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$76	59	58	+1	Down	+$36	05-10 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$74	63	46	+17	Up	+$15	05-10 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$74	83	36	+47	open	—	05-15 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$74	88	35	+53	open	—	05-15 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	3	$74	69	35	+33	Up	$-6	05-12 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$74	78	35	+43	Up	$-6	05-11 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$73	56	56	+1	Down	+$34	05-13 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	5	$73	62	35	+27	open	—	05-15 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$73	70	35	+35	open	—	05-15 20:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 07:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x446cd0…
05-16 07:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0x1fd905…
05-16 07:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x1643d5…
05-16 07:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xe28d5f…
05-16 07:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xdd3566…
05-16 07:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x14df09…
05-16 07:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xf3995c…
05-16 06:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x0c59cf…
05-16 06:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x2004aa…
05-16 06:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0xe36d09…
05-16 06:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x27091c…
05-16 06:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xf368e1…
05-16 06:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0xe33a4b…
05-16 06:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xf325d5…
05-16 06:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xadf471…
05-16 06:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xad7466…
05-16 06:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xfa8c91…
05-16 05:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x51f9e2…
05-16 05:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x08ea0a…
05-16 05:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x93196f…
05-16 05:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xe3d206…
05-16 05:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x72de3a…
05-16 05:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	37	96¢	$35	0x8a73d4…
05-16 05:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x4468e9…
05-16 05:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	18	96¢	$18	0x78008b…
05-16 05:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb9dd51…
05-16 05:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf36649…
05-16 05:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x7ae038…
05-16 05:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc6bb97…
05-16 00:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xf7a888…
05-16 00:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x003c98…
05-16 00:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x442e9c…
05-16 00:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xa90f91…
05-15 23:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf942a9…
05-15 23:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x8cbd24…
05-15 23:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xb25144…
05-15 23:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xad5310…
05-15 23:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	36	96¢	$34	0x754d85…
05-15 23:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x440a5b…
05-15 23:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xa85444…
05-15 23:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0xfc5026…
05-15 23:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x5de292…
05-15 23:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x0a7721…
05-15 23:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	46	40¢	$18	0x8d41dd…
05-15 23:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xa407a6…
05-15 23:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x37efde…
05-15 23:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x7c4009…
05-15 23:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,240	1¢	$12	0xc68b9d…
05-15 23:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	53¢	$8	0x3c0d3a…
05-15 23:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x21bc6b…
05-15 23:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xeec5bd…
05-15 23:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x2793b4…
05-15 23:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0x9b6363…
05-15 23:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x65c774…
05-15 23:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	35	96¢	$33	0xd7ad66…
05-15 23:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xcf2a9e…
05-15 23:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x4ebda2…
05-15 23:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x773993…
05-15 23:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0xbccd7a…
05-15 23:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x322eb0…
05-15 23:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x367677…
05-15 23:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	34	55¢	$19	0x8442aa…
05-15 23:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x240fa0…
05-15 22:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xb64a24…
05-15 22:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$4	0xb4f8ee…
05-15 22:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0x5c7727…
05-15 22:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x328baf…
05-15 22:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xee2549…
05-15 22:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x4a1674…
05-15 22:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x594a6b…
05-15 22:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x5698a9…
05-15 22:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x5b8592…
05-15 22:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x262b48…
05-15 22:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xe1cde0…
05-15 22:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x3ecaec…
05-15 22:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x3ba8b9…
05-15 22:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xa09f39…
05-15 22:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xfe9620…
05-15 22:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x14fc04…
05-15 22:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xbacacd…
05-15 21:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0x797220…
05-15 21:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x5967aa…
05-15 21:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x4dc08b…
05-15 21:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x3abaac…
05-15 21:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x0d1821…
05-15 21:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0xc8abb0…
05-15 21:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1d23ae…
05-15 21:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0xed875c…
05-15 21:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0x55e3fc…
05-15 21:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xb9e6da…
05-15 21:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	111	14¢	$15	0x155259…
05-15 21:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0xeb4ae3…
05-15 21:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x6c2079…
05-15 21:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x2cf9a4…
05-15 21:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x4b540c…
05-15 21:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xa201b5…
05-15 21:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x980de2…
05-15 21:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xd11021…
05-15 21:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc28c8c…
05-15 21:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	37	96¢	$35	0x083aa5…