Sorrowful-Finance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$325

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

180

Trades

421

lifetime

Volume

$2.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-02

last 11-12 09:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

64% 36% +$359

Crypto

35% 56% -$35

Politics

1% 33% +$2

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	Yes		+23	$5	9¢	$2	-$3	11-12 09:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	2	$624	524	524	+0	Yes	+$424	09-04 17:09
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	2	$293	799	799	+0	No	-$89	09-07 14:51
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	3	$75	60	60	+0	No	+$14	11-10 11:45
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	4	$57	49	49	+0	Yes	+$41	11-10 17:07
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$56	67	67	+0	No	+$17	10-29 22:10
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$46	95	95	+0	No	+$7	10-29 22:10
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	7	$37	50	42	+8	No	+$3	04-03 14:57
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	7	$32	54	50	+4	Yes	+$11	04-03 14:57
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	2	$25	231	0	+231	No	-$25	10-30 18:33
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	2	$24	174	0	+174	No	-$24	10-30 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 17:05 UTC	5	$22	23	22	+1	Up	+$2	04-04 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 15:00 UTC	7	$20	36	34	+2	Down	-$5	04-05 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 16:00 UTC	2	$18	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	03-28 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 16:50 UTC	7	$18	19	18	+1	Up	+$0	04-03 16:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 14:40 UTC	4	$17	14	14	+0	Up	-$1	04-05 14:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 17:30 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	04-04 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 17:25 UTC	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	04-04 17:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 17:00 UTC	4	$13	59	10	+49	Down	-$3	04-04 17:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 14:55 UTC	5	$13	14	6	+8	Down	-$1	04-05 15:00
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	2	$13	12	12	+0	No	+$3	03-29 10:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 10:30 UTC	8	$13	12	10	+2	Down	+$1	08-08 10:35
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	2	$13	9	9	+0	Yes	+$5	04-04 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	6	$12	16	0	+16	Down	+$4	11-09 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 13:35 UTC	8	$12	19	18	+1	Down	+$2	04-01 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:50 UTC	3	$12	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	03-28 18:54
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	6	$11	196	196	+0	No	+$1	04-02 17:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:55 UTC	4	$11	10	10	+0	Up	-$1	03-28 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 17:25 UTC	3	$11	26	6	+20	Down	-$1	03-28 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	4	$11	11	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 19:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 17:10 UTC	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	03-28 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 09:17:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xb22b46…
11-12 09:16:57	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0xd6d3c9…
11-12 09:15:22	Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x3ba92b…
11-11 13:21:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 11?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x6a9579…
11-10 17:07:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x28dcc1…
11-10 12:42:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x94e800…
11-10 11:48:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xd0d923…
11-10 11:45:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xc9e1a9…
11-10 11:45:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	75¢	$44	0x2d9245…
11-09 21:51:43	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x8be917…
11-09 21:47:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x4bbdc6…
11-09 21:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x679783…
11-09 21:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x99b4d2…
11-09 21:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x8348f6…
11-09 21:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x3e4097…
11-09 21:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x32681e…
11-09 21:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x29111d…
11-09 21:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xdef80a…
10-30 18:33:30	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0x11e70a…
10-30 18:33:13	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0xccc458…
10-30 18:29:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x7501c0…
10-29 22:20:37	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	16¢	$19	0xb0db27…
10-29 22:17:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	22¢	$20	0xf52749…
10-29 22:10:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	55¢	$37	0xb426c1…
10-29 22:10:43	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	28¢	$27	0x4207e9…
10-27 21:42:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	20¢	$19	0xcaa4a5…
10-27 21:42:42	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	29¢	$19	0x8ffeec…
09-07 14:51:43	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	799	13¢	$102	0x58cf15…
09-04 18:34:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	799	24¢	$191	0xe8e581…
09-04 17:09:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	524	100¢	$524	0x03d005…
09-02 00:29:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	524	19¢	$100	0x9a6ba7…
08-08 19:35:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$1	0x643067…
08-08 19:34:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd3bb04…
08-08 19:32:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4f0eaa…
08-08 19:31:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x57faf0…
08-08 10:39:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1da1e1…
08-08 10:37:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6eaae8…
08-08 10:36:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5d4c1d…
08-08 10:36:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x56cdf8…
08-08 10:36:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4f82f7…
08-08 10:35:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xde877b…
08-08 10:33:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfba31a…
08-08 10:33:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xe15ae4…
08-08 10:33:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfc9d99…
08-08 10:33:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb4058c…
08-08 10:33:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x207bd6…
08-08 10:32:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4bc742…
08-08 10:30:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4f8b49…
08-08 10:26:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 10:25 UTC	Down	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xd6e08e…
08-08 10:26:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x78f78e…
08-08 10:26:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5d3a67…
08-06 18:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa35b3a…
08-06 10:42:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 10:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbbf06c…
08-06 10:38:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcba928…
05-22 09:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x726cf0…
05-22 09:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x80ec1e…
05-22 09:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x22feb7…
05-22 09:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4e6002…
05-22 09:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xed44ec…
05-22 09:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0d32b0…
05-22 09:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcbc400…
05-22 09:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x98ea9b…
05-22 09:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x20dfc4…
05-17 12:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4e01b9…
05-17 12:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xc3bd9b…
05-17 12:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xa644cf…
05-17 12:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xb764e4…
05-17 12:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x84dfde…
05-17 12:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x7187cd…
05-17 12:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x647fe3…
05-17 12:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x96ea8b…
05-14 19:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x6f2a07…
05-14 19:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xba59de…
05-14 19:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xcc8b0f…
05-14 19:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xa08140…
05-14 19:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0x90188c…
05-14 19:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x89763d…
05-14 19:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x9ef622…
05-14 19:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x433f76…
05-14 19:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x45543a…
05-14 18:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x8cede0…
05-14 18:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x351d9d…
05-14 18:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x15f05c…
05-13 22:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x768c83…
05-13 22:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x39cc08…
05-13 21:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb0e6c8…
05-13 21:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc974c0…
05-13 21:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x515f43…
05-13 21:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfa8abe…
05-13 21:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6c0561…
05-13 21:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xcbc272…
05-13 21:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xa16daa…
05-11 21:35:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x470616…
05-11 21:35:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x2552fa…
05-11 21:35:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x194b0e…
05-11 21:35:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x3380a5…
05-11 21:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xf23fc4…
05-11 21:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3e04dc…
05-11 21:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x868e39…
05-11 21:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x25475a…