Old-Fashioned-Med — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$889

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

124

Trades

316

lifetime

Volume

$3.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-26 10:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 31% -$747

Politics

5% 0% -$125

Other

2% 0% -$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$204	257	257	+0	Up	+$33	05-08 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	14	$202	270	246	+24	Down	+$19	05-08 20:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$145	23,214	6,000	+17,214	Yes	-$97	04-08 18:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 14:20 UTC	4	$125	214	203	+12	Up	+$16	04-08 14:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 15:55 UTC	8	$120	345	244	+101	Down	+$16	03-20 16:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:00 UTC	6	$113	519	206	+313	Up	-$54	03-20 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$109	426	0	+426	Down	-$109	05-08 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 15:05 UTC	4	$99	146	60	+86	Up	-$3	03-22 15:09
ethereum up or down april 11 2026 3am et	45	$95	3,145	2,360	+785	Down	-$89	04-11 07:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:45 UTC	2	$94	78	75	+3	Down	+$13	04-13 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 15:10 UTC	3	$88	83	77	+6	Up	+$4	03-22 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 09:25 UTC	2	$87	64	62	+3	Up	+$38	04-11 09:30
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	2	$84	1,013	1,013	+0	No	-$16	03-20 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 15:30 UTC	3	$80	487	163	+323	Down	-$46	03-22 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:55 UTC	3	$65	120	66	+54	Up	-$36	03-15 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:25 UTC	3	$63	125	95	+30	Down	+$7	03-15 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 09:40 UTC	4	$62	57	56	+2	Down	-$4	04-11 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 09:30 UTC	1	$61	234	0	+234	Down	-$61	04-11 09:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:50 UTC	2	$59	394	0	+394	Down	-$59	03-20 13:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:50 UTC	2	$58	50	49	+1	Down	+$16	03-15 07:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 14:30 UTC	1	$57	683	0	+683	Down	-$57	04-08 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 08:00 UTC	1	$57	589	0	+589	Up	-$57	03-15 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 08:25 UTC	1	$56	408	0	+408	Down	-$56	03-15 08:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:35 UTC	2	$54	89	85	+5	Down	+$4	04-13 18:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 07:45 UTC	2	$49	111	110	+1	Down	-$6	03-15 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 16:25 UTC	2	$46	100	94	+6	Up	+$11	04-07 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 16:25 UTC	5	$43	189	21	+168	Down	-$8	03-23 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 05:30 UTC	5	$42	65	24	+42	Down	+$27	04-14 05:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 14:45 UTC	6	$41	226	0	+226	Down	-$41	03-22 14:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 16:35 UTC	4	$40	57	54	+2	Down	-$13	04-07 16:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 10:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xdb01ab…
10-26 10:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	46	1¢	$0	0x345270…
10-26 10:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf3f076…
10-26 10:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x05493e…
10-26 10:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6b0a5d…
10-26 10:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x483997…
10-26 10:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x284c02…
10-26 10:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	58	1¢	$1	0xbd3bea…
10-26 10:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x1dc7de…
10-26 10:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xd997a0…
10-26 10:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5fa47c…
10-26 10:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb93ddf…
10-26 10:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbedc8c…
10-26 10:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd6fc58…
10-26 10:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdf7bea…
10-26 09:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	237	0¢	$1	0x8c33d1…
10-26 09:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa82430…
10-26 09:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbfa5f7…
10-26 09:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xb13c91…
10-26 09:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x932598…
10-26 09:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfbd652…
10-26 09:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbb97ee…
10-26 09:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xbf3b48…
10-26 09:14:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x7882ea…
10-26 09:12:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-26 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7dd6e7…
05-09 10:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xdb86aa…
05-09 10:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa1e2a4…
05-09 10:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xa57b69…
05-09 10:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x5747ce…
05-09 10:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xf9fda7…
05-09 10:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	42	13¢	$5	0x8ed165…
05-09 10:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xee87a5…
05-09 09:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0xb81c79…
05-09 09:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x02a6e9…
05-09 09:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x03afdb…
05-09 09:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xcbb0b1…
05-09 09:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xce86ad…
05-08 20:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x86a590…
05-08 20:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	416	26¢	$108	0x855d6e…
05-08 20:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	257	46¢	$118	0xf9d349…
05-08 20:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	257	33¢	$86	0xc8d2f4…
05-08 20:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x494597…
05-08 20:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x114fa3…
05-08 20:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x45adbb…
05-08 20:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0xa3e645…
05-08 20:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x92534c…
05-08 20:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x7a4f5d…
05-08 20:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x73dae7…
05-08 20:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x1be7b4…
05-08 20:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	26	45¢	$12	0x024a80…
05-08 20:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	31	45¢	$14	0x0239ff…
05-08 20:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x19f338…
05-08 20:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x813d28…
05-08 20:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0xbfb9e0…
05-08 20:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	134	45¢	$60	0x60ce78…
05-08 20:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	246	33¢	$81	0x298fa5…
05-08 19:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x5e28e8…
05-07 13:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7a0ff1…
05-07 13:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	59	48¢	$28	0x099afa…
05-07 13:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x6f3bfa…
05-07 13:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe4164e…
05-07 13:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x67ad6e…
05-07 13:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x26535d…
05-07 13:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x66f31d…
05-07 13:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x83a441…
05-07 13:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xa67c8f…
05-07 13:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf951a5…
05-07 13:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xca5aac…
04-14 05:59:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	302	6¢	$19	0x7f1f79…
04-14 05:55:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-14 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xd8c3ff…
04-14 05:53:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0xab1bf0…
04-14 05:31:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	41	35¢	$14	0x37354e…
04-14 05:31:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xa1b400…
04-14 05:31:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xc38877…
04-14 05:31:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x126f15…
04-14 05:30:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x48e4eb…
04-14 05:30:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x699668…
04-13 22:04:03	bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf0e585…
04-13 21:58:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:55 UTC	Up	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0x535dab…
04-13 21:56:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x46325d…
04-13 21:48:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5ac257…
04-13 21:47:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x3fa9b1…
04-13 21:33:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe70851…
04-13 21:33:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xfc2abd…
04-13 21:31:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	11	69¢	$8	0x0fa5a7…
04-13 21:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x34261d…
04-13 21:30:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x867367…
04-13 19:47:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xe428c8…
04-13 18:55:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	93	16¢	$15	0xaff70d…
04-13 18:49:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	75	72¢	$54	0x565ee1…
04-13 18:49:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	78	52¢	$41	0x07a0b9…
04-13 18:42:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x2729a3…
04-13 18:41:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8ad358…
04-13 18:40:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	333	8¢	$25	0x6ad6ea…
04-13 18:37:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:35 UTC	Up	SELL	85	34¢	$29	0xfc6c40…
04-13 18:37:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xe611fc…
04-11 09:45:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	54	32¢	$17	0xfdd932…
04-11 09:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 09:40 UTC	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0xd7dfae…
04-11 09:44:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x4e0963…
04-11 09:43:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 09:40 UTC	Up	SELL	38	30¢	$11	0x1a6145…