Responsible-Stock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$277

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

88.7%

Resolved

729

Trades

1,009

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 08-19 00:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 85% -$120

Sports

4% 25% -$157

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		-10	-$8	82¢	$-8	$0	05-27 22:08
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-10	-$2	18¢	$-2	+$0	05-27 22:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	2	$280	160	160	+0	Modestas Bukauskas	+$40	05-17 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	16	$169	163	163	+0	Up	-$3	05-04 16:32
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)	1	$160	235	0	+235	Juan Diaz	-$160	05-17 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$99	93	93	+0	Down	-$1	05-02 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$95	105	105	+0	Down	-$1	05-02 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	7	$62	44	42	+1	Down	+$2	04-25 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	5	$57	98	91	+7	Up	-$24	04-27 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$55	33	33	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	8	$40	31	30	+1	Down	+$1	04-26 20:20
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$35	83	0	+83	No	-$35	07-15 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$32	31	31	+0	Down	+$2	05-03 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$32	30	30	+0	Down	+$2	05-03 01:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$31	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	05-03 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 14:55 UTC	1	$30	183	0	+183	Down	-$30	04-05 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$30	37	37	+0	Down	$0	05-03 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$30	36	19	+17	Up	-$10	04-29 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$30	33	33	+0	Down	$0	05-03 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$28	36	36	+0	Down	-$2	05-03 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	4	$24	14	14	+0	Down	$0	04-29 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$21	14	13	+0	Up	+$1	04-26 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$20	17	17	+0	Down	+$0	04-29 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$20	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	04-29 21:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 08:45 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	03-16 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 19:15 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	02-18 19:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 01:30 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	03-17 01:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 13:45 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	03-15 13:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-27 08:30 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	02-27 08:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 02:00 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	02-24 02:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 15:45 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	03-18 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-18 02:30 UTC	1	$20	20	0	+20	Up	+$0	02-18 02:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-19 00:15:01	ufc lpaxto cri4 2026 08 18	Logan Paxton	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb893bb…
07-21 03:02:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x3cd955…
07-21 03:02:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x32b30e…
07-21 02:02:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xec48ed…
07-21 02:02:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x7e11eb…
07-21 01:48:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 01:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x99bdeb…
07-21 01:45:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xfd91e1…
07-15 23:32:38	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	83	42¢	$35	0x610695…
05-27 22:08:14	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x685393…
05-27 22:08:05	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x12c0bd…
05-21 02:44:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x313682…
05-21 02:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x65cbf6…
05-21 02:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x06e32d…
05-20 18:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x9288a8…
05-20 18:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5f49e5…
05-20 18:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0x7dd7b7…
05-20 18:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x59612b…
05-20 18:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xdfc8e7…
05-20 18:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8b8fca…
05-20 17:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x4561a7…
05-20 17:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x0d0786…
05-20 15:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x395554…
05-20 15:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd27fe0…
05-20 12:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xbaefba…
05-20 12:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xfad05b…
05-20 11:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xc091a2…
05-20 11:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x575550…
05-20 02:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x34671e…
05-20 02:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xeb6a9f…
05-20 01:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xe84a07…
05-20 01:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x75b43d…
05-20 00:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0xfc6cb9…
05-20 00:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8f878f…
05-20 00:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0xa39c9b…
05-20 00:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x9142df…
05-20 00:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe7f349…
05-20 00:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x24e265…
05-19 22:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	53¢	$1	0x608a9f…
05-19 22:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x933ba2…
05-19 22:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x22966f…
05-19 22:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf4f1a4…
05-19 22:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xecda28…
05-19 22:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xde4bf5…
05-19 19:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xfc4c83…
05-19 19:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0611ca…
05-19 18:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x5a5d4f…
05-19 18:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x4c4062…
05-19 18:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x9d5af8…
05-19 18:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2766e4…
05-19 18:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xabe54d…
05-19 18:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x08a141…
05-19 17:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x4f8aeb…
05-19 17:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfc0b7e…
05-19 16:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xfebc15…
05-19 16:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x08a8de…
05-19 16:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x5ee955…
05-19 16:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x357b13…
05-19 13:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xeaabbf…
05-19 13:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa4149e…
05-19 13:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x2077fc…
05-19 13:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xce2153…
05-19 13:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x035143…
05-19 13:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3ce0fb…
05-19 13:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x02188f…
05-19 13:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xb96f8d…
05-19 12:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf61e3c…
05-19 12:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x461337…
05-19 02:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xd89e94…
05-19 02:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x17178f…
05-19 01:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x09e935…
05-19 01:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2c2cc4…
05-19 01:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0xff1b61…
05-19 01:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb3df9c…
05-19 01:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x845097…
05-19 01:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4f4e5c…
05-19 00:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x9b7b02…
05-19 00:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa9c3d8…
05-19 00:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x419204…
05-19 00:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7f5512…
05-19 00:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x916b54…
05-19 00:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x736395…
05-19 00:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xd27482…
05-19 00:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x08e1e0…
05-19 00:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xcd760c…
05-19 00:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x397631…
05-19 00:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x785089…
05-19 00:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd896dc…
05-18 23:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xf8ea68…
05-18 23:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb89ff4…
05-18 23:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xa540cc…
05-18 23:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf653f1…
05-18 23:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x243d56…
05-18 23:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x773bf8…
05-18 23:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xfc2984…
05-18 23:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc7a898…
05-18 23:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xaee370…
05-18 23:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x12019e…
05-18 21:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x6c1ec7…
05-18 21:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x77757a…
05-18 19:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xd8d0df…