Ringed-Timbale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

112

Trades

245

lifetime

Volume

$1.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-29 08:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

95% 57% -$16

Politics

5% 100% +$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-19 20:39
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	05-20 21:34
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	05-16 22:59
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-31 16:07
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	2	$26	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	06-24 01:45
Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	06-29 02:32
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-14 15:09
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	2	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	06-15 13:45
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	05-31 13:05
Will Nicole Kidman be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 02:35
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 02:10
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	06-25 12:44
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 19?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-19 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 3?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-03 06:58
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or higher on May 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-02 00:25
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 30?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-30 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 29?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-29 08:01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 30?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-29 20:36
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 27?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-27 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 29?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-29 06:25
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 5?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-05 06:57
highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 24c	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	04-24 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 2?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-02 07:06
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 25?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-25 11:39
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 23?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-23 05:16
highest temperature in tokyo on april 20 2026 24corhigher	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-20 06:50
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 21 2026 20c	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-20 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 23?	3	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	06-23 05:52
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 4?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-04 14:32
highest temperature in helsinki on april 22 2026 11c	2	$14	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	04-21 21:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 08:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x1e583c…
06-29 07:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 29?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xe03572…
06-29 02:32:55	Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdd716d…
06-28 20:40:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x05aabb…
06-28 19:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe71e11…
06-28 18:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xd258fc…
06-28 18:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 29?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xaed619…
06-28 06:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x09edd2…
06-28 02:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 28?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x8bf9b6…
06-27 11:28:17	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x2c48d6…
06-27 09:38:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 27?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd33810…
06-26 14:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xb4c273…
06-26 14:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x5f8298…
06-26 12:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x887744…
06-26 12:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 27?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x353355…
06-25 15:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x612645…
06-25 12:44:04	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x88f430…
06-25 12:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6e1b67…
06-25 11:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x99ee6e…
06-24 12:47:05	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x97d435…
06-24 12:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 25?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdb3b6c…
06-24 01:45:20	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x6ee8ce…
06-23 05:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x42629a…
06-23 05:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa3a07e…
06-23 05:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 23?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xfe0d73…
06-23 05:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 23?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x65e651…
06-22 00:08:14	Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?	Yes	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xcd277d…
06-20 16:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x4c591c…
06-20 14:40:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xae11d8…
06-20 12:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xc5dffe…
06-20 12:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xe2ce12…
06-20 12:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C on June 21?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd5d114…
06-19 20:39:59	Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdf7bf3…
06-19 07:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xc88230…
06-19 07:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7f31da…
06-19 07:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 19?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa86214…
06-17 03:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x48c294…
06-16 21:53:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 17?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd9ad08…
06-15 15:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 16?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x68701c…
06-15 15:36:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 16?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x258903…
06-15 13:45:16	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x2a1745…
06-15 13:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on June 16?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x8d9958…
06-15 12:36:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 16?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x04bc89…
06-14 15:09:30	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb1411a…
06-14 12:03:57	Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x23e09b…
06-13 18:31:37	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x1070a8…
06-13 02:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x90df9c…
06-13 00:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 13?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xa86f81…
06-12 04:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x2bc7dc…
06-12 04:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x6cad04…
06-12 01:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 12?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x035c9f…
06-11 03:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x400ff1…
06-11 03:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbc1c75…
06-11 03:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x66c325…
06-11 03:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 11?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x21f5b0…
06-09 09:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 9?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xeaa94a…
06-09 08:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 9?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xf9b102…
06-09 05:51:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5c09f0…
06-08 12:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on June 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6e1d93…
06-08 06:57:15	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x3d8f31…
06-08 06:57:12	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 8?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x466ae1…
06-07 20:48:10	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on June 8?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2214a8…
06-07 07:39:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x969ddb…
06-07 07:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x65a712…
06-06 15:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xc01046…
06-06 15:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x6c571a…
06-06 15:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 7?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xe961ec…
06-06 08:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb316e4…
06-06 06:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x961c70…
06-05 12:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfbc770…
06-05 12:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcbe7d8…
06-05 03:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe3a8bf…
06-05 03:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 5?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2cab6a…
06-04 04:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x7ff634…
06-04 02:10:49	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4b3910…
06-03 16:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 4?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x5f2368…
06-03 14:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 3?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x975f30…
06-02 18:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 3?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xcd4f46…
06-02 10:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc1728e…
06-02 09:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x45917c…
06-02 00:00:56	Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x13404d…
06-01 12:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x1ac11b…
06-01 12:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 2?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xaf38af…
06-01 01:03:15	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5a05a8…
05-31 22:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x8f68dc…
05-31 22:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x53b612…
05-31 21:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 1?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x9aec08…
05-31 19:37:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xce17e6…
05-31 16:07:13	Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,800,000 and 2,100,000 voters?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x07480f…
05-31 13:05:50	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x583a56…
05-31 08:30:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 31?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x467399…
05-31 01:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x13b4e4…
05-30 17:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on May 31?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf6b629…
05-30 08:14:18	Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2233cc…
05-30 06:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x783333…
05-29 18:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc51c5d…
05-29 06:25:41	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xfee994…
05-29 06:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 29?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x2d327b…
05-28 15:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 68°F or higher on May 29?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x248ee8…
05-28 12:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 68°F or higher on May 29?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x5cf645…