Melodic-Bitten — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$250

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

1,995

Trades

2,382

lifetime

Volume

$167.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-26 15:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 243 days

Categories

Other

99% 87% +$1

Crypto

0% 59% -$88

Tech

0% 57% -$51

Politics

0% 0% -$113

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on July 19?	1	$800	808	0	+808	No	+$8	07-19 09:25
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 28?	2	$750	757	0	+757	No	+$7	06-28 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 30?	2	$650	660	0	+660	No	+$10	06-30 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 27?	1	$600	604	0	+604	No	+$4	06-27 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 1?	1	$600	610	0	+610	No	+$10	06-30 17:13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 10?	2	$500	509	0	+509	No	+$9	07-10 12:21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 29?	1	$500	505	0	+505	No	+$5	06-29 06:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 22?	1	$450	455	0	+455	No	+$5	06-22 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 26?	2	$450	457	0	+457	No	+$7	08-26 15:24
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	3	$450	456	0	+456	No	+$6	10-13 07:08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 2?	2	$430	434	0	+434	No	+$4	07-02 06:03
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 1?	1	$400	406	0	+406	No	+$6	07-01 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 18?	2	$400	407	0	+407	No	+$7	07-18 07:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 27?	2	$393	204	204	+0	No	-$7	08-26 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 100-101°F on June 30?	2	$393	203	202	+1	No	-$6	06-29 06:55
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	6	$368	408	0	+408	No	+$40	04-27 07:08
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 2?	1	$350	353	0	+353	No	+$3	07-02 06:04
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	4	$345	400	0	+400	No	+$55	04-30 17:17
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	7	$308	354	0	+354	Yes	-$308	05-04 06:42
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 11?	2	$302	153	153	+0	No	+$2	09-11 17:32
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 25?	1	$300	301	0	+301	Yes	+$1	10-25 15:37
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 29?	1	$300	302	0	+302	No	+$2	07-29 10:40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 20?	1	$300	303	0	+303	No	+$3	06-20 06:44
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on August 3?	2	$300	303	0	+303	No	+$3	08-03 10:49
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 25?	1	$300	303	0	+303	No	+$3	06-24 12:46
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 17?	2	$300	305	0	+305	No	+$5	07-17 15:45
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	2	$300	304	0	+304	No	+$4	09-28 10:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on July 20?	2	$300	306	0	+306	No	+$6	07-20 09:52
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 25?	2	$300	306	0	+306	No	+$6	06-25 04:38
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on July 3?	1	$300	303	0	+303	Yes	-$300	07-03 07:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:56:36	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x7b0b37…
10-26 15:56:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x71de11…
10-25 15:39:30	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x902211…
10-25 15:37:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xa61dc5…
10-25 15:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 25?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x5d485e…
10-25 15:33:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x02e1a1…
10-25 15:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x2aefbe…
10-25 05:03:32	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 25?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0xb8c274…
10-25 05:01:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 25?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x0e3c6c…
10-25 05:00:26	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 25?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xfc5932…
10-25 04:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 25?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x080913…
10-25 04:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x409a8c…
10-24 15:30:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 24?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0xb4930b…
10-24 15:30:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on October 24?	No	BUY	152	98¢	$150	0x0b0433…
10-24 10:51:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 24?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0xcf9580…
10-24 10:50:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 24?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1d8f27…
10-24 04:21:30	Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on October 24?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x44ec71…
10-24 04:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on October 24?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xa43c6e…
10-24 04:19:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0x69257c…
10-24 04:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 24?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xd566f8…
10-24 04:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 24?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xc3af15…
10-23 18:58:27	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x90cabf…
10-23 18:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 23?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x912834…
10-13 07:09:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	154	97¢	$150	0x30f2ea…
10-13 07:08:37	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x541fe8…
10-13 07:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 13?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0xb468e0…
10-13 07:06:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 13?	No	BUY	152	98¢	$150	0x0f90ee…
10-13 07:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 13?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xf17c51…
10-13 07:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x4b7745…
10-13 07:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 13?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xf8ccf3…
10-12 19:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x0ff4cd…
10-12 19:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on October 12?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe0a3c8…
10-12 19:40:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 12?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xa882ad…
10-12 15:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 12?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7f1791…
10-12 15:18:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xda5c6b…
10-12 09:13:41	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x0abeea…
10-12 09:13:17	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0ce90f…
10-12 09:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 12?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x90b1ab…
10-12 09:11:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 12?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0xb755c8…
10-12 09:10:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 12?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x33c921…
10-12 09:09:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x395709…
10-12 09:09:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x184901…
10-12 06:17:24	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xf13344…
10-12 06:17:14	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x378dfc…
10-12 06:13:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 12?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x53853c…
10-12 06:12:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 12?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x57871a…
10-12 06:12:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 12?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xac6795…
10-12 06:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 12?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xd3b7a3…
10-12 06:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xbf0026…
10-12 06:09:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 12?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xfeff98…
10-11 19:06:13	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 11?	No	BUY	69	98¢	$67	0x1dbed7…
10-11 13:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 11?	No	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0xf806d9…
10-11 13:00:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0xfad818…
10-11 13:00:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 11?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc5a92b…
10-11 12:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x7fbf56…
10-11 12:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 11?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xbc2f2a…
10-11 12:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 11?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x9f1cdd…
10-11 11:14:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 11?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc7ee70…
10-11 11:14:26	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 11?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xaf5020…
10-11 11:12:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 11?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x78d0ab…
10-11 11:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 11?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8178ca…
10-11 07:13:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	156	96¢	$150	0x40eae2…
10-11 07:12:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 66-67°F on October 11?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x3acc48…
10-11 07:11:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 11?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xdf2316…
10-11 07:10:09	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on October 11?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x952b0f…
10-11 07:08:29	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 11?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x1fb781…
10-11 07:07:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 11?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x440e7e…
10-11 07:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 11?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe2d52b…
10-11 07:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 11?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x293bab…
10-11 07:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 11?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x0487b9…
10-10 18:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 10?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x812309…
10-10 18:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 10?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd7f3d0…
10-10 15:59:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 10?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x5a3293…
10-10 15:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 10?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x29d131…
10-10 15:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x52220b…
10-10 09:24:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x17e99b…
10-10 09:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on October 10?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x26e2ca…
10-10 09:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 10?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x49560f…
10-10 09:19:55	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 10?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xd7e051…
10-10 09:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 10?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xaab428…
10-10 09:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 10?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x687463…
10-10 09:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 10?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x656232…
10-09 23:46:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 10?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x5cd144…
10-09 23:45:59	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xe93812…
10-09 23:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 10?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc7a8a6…
10-09 23:43:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x52ffe3…
10-09 23:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 10?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x10823c…
10-09 23:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 10?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x4f7964…
10-09 15:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 9?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xa925f8…
10-09 15:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 9?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xf2782c…
10-09 15:58:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 9?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x0f612b…
10-09 11:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x1b4167…
10-09 10:59:54	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	152	98¢	$150	0x00bfe5…
10-09 10:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on October 9?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3350e0…
10-09 10:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on October 9?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x4b45d4…
10-09 10:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 9?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x5328a9…
10-09 10:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 9?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa4b173…
10-08 22:08:38	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0x19132d…
10-08 22:07:38	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x9dba10…
10-08 22:06:24	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xafb18e…