Clear-Thorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$384

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved (90d)

514

Trades (90d)

1,015

2,942 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$83.2K

$107.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 10-30 15:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 201 days

Categories

Other

100% 95% +$436

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?	2	$209	109	109	+0	Yes	+$9	10-04 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	2	$207	107	107	+0	Yes	+$7	10-14 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 1?	2	$207	107	107	+0	Yes	+$7	10-01 19:31
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 19?	2	$207	107	107	+0	Yes	+$7	09-19 12:59
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on October 5?	2	$206	107	107	+0	Yes	+$7	10-05 19:21
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 14?	2	$206	106	106	+0	Yes	+$6	10-14 22:14
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on September 15?	2	$206	106	106	+0	Yes	+$6	09-15 13:32
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 11?	2	$205	105	105	+0	Yes	+$5	10-11 23:57
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 19?	2	$205	105	105	+0	Yes	+$5	09-19 17:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 30?	2	$205	105	105	+0	Yes	+$5	10-30 06:45
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 9?	2	$205	105	105	+0	Yes	+$5	10-10 00:13
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 22?	2	$205	105	105	+0	Yes	+$5	09-22 12:37
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on September 16?	2	$205	105	105	+0	Yes	+$5	09-16 17:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 24?	2	$205	105	105	+0	Yes	+$5	09-24 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 25?	2	$205	105	105	+0	Yes	+$5	09-25 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	2	$204	104	104	+0	Yes	+$4	10-22 07:21
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 21?	2	$204	104	104	+0	Yes	+$4	09-21 16:28
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 28?	2	$204	104	104	+0	Yes	+$4	09-28 08:28
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 15?	2	$204	104	104	+0	Yes	+$4	09-15 21:44
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 27?	2	$204	104	104	+0	Yes	+$4	09-27 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 4?	2	$204	104	104	+0	Yes	+$4	10-04 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 19?	2	$204	104	104	+0	Yes	+$4	10-19 22:40
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22?	2	$204	104	104	+0	Yes	+$4	10-24 04:17
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 11?	2	$204	104	104	+0	Yes	+$4	10-11 18:09
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on September 21?	2	$203	104	104	+0	Yes	+$4	09-21 21:07
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	2	$203	104	104	+0	Yes	+$3	09-22 01:10
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 22?	2	$203	103	103	+0	Yes	+$3	09-22 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 30?	2	$203	103	103	+0	Yes	+$3	09-30 05:45
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9?	2	$203	103	103	+0	Yes	+$3	10-09 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 8?	2	$203	103	103	+0	Yes	+$3	10-08 22:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 15:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd55045…
10-30 14:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc744ee…
10-30 10:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x3ed9df…
10-30 07:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe9c823…
10-30 06:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x8ec802…
10-30 03:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xbdc1c3…
10-29 23:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x20965c…
10-29 22:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xe60dc8…
10-29 22:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 29?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x6595d7…
10-29 20:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xe676fb…
10-29 15:56:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xe0e9d7…
10-29 11:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xbc9c8a…
10-29 09:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x23bda3…
10-29 07:10:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x60c1bf…
10-29 06:24:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xa486d3…
10-29 03:34:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x870d21…
10-29 00:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x5a3f16…
10-28 23:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x861b23…
10-28 22:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x22bfd6…
10-28 20:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x8d1e35…
10-28 18:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xeac4dd…
10-28 17:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x5b2f12…
10-28 07:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x79c91d…
10-28 04:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x64dce9…
10-27 15:07:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xcae5b0…
10-27 10:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3f78ad…
10-26 23:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x767969…
10-26 23:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x87c03a…
10-26 22:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x1a8a54…
10-26 14:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9a2e4b…
10-26 10:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xb55b0d…
10-26 08:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x63cf74…
10-24 04:23:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x8807f9…
10-24 04:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xe3a24d…
10-24 04:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x9794c6…
10-23 09:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x8d81dd…
10-22 14:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x01d600…
10-22 09:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x6680c4…
10-22 08:17:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1edca3…
10-22 07:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x653738…
10-22 07:32:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x3135dc…
10-22 07:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x9ce317…
10-22 07:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xe947f4…
10-22 06:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x8ca881…
10-22 06:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xaa7873…
10-20 12:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x3b57d0…
10-20 08:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa9ade2…
10-20 06:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x33d09f…
10-20 06:07:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x448175…
10-20 04:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xf19739…
10-19 22:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 19?	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x268a39…
10-19 20:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 19?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xed9c41…
10-19 16:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x667132…
10-19 12:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9c60de…
10-19 11:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x970b94…
10-19 09:31:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x497a98…
10-19 08:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	98	99¢	$97	0xd000d8…
10-19 07:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xae0614…
10-19 07:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xa9f07d…
10-19 05:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xd5bcf3…
10-18 22:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xe81cfe…
10-18 21:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0xe8d39c…
10-18 18:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x8ed083…
10-18 14:00:39	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x042e77…
10-18 12:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x3f9632…
10-18 09:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4d02dd…
10-18 09:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xad35c5…
10-18 09:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb41f2f…
10-18 08:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 18?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x434eb4…
10-18 07:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x0786c2…
10-18 05:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x00c8c9…
10-18 04:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe84ab0…
10-18 00:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 17?	Yes	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x608338…
10-18 00:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x1536dd…
10-17 22:56:14	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 17?	Yes	BUY	93	99¢	$92	0x0f77ac…
10-17 22:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0x718998…
10-17 15:51:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xef74a0…
10-17 15:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x1b3fe1…
10-17 14:04:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb82047…
10-17 11:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x1a0c9b…
10-17 10:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x4f7129…
10-17 07:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x7b1949…
10-16 23:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 16?	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x876b27…
10-16 21:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 16?	Yes	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xb42b6a…
10-16 16:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x1fd50d…
10-16 15:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xef1410…
10-16 03:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 15?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x901359…
10-16 02:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 15?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf470bb…
10-15 17:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xe03b75…
10-15 14:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$102	0x04808e…
10-15 14:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xfe1f7d…
10-15 10:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x1ef636…
10-15 05:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x8c8985…
10-15 04:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x33c895…
10-14 22:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 14?	Yes	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x48ff46…
10-14 19:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 14?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xc8ae0d…
10-14 19:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x3f410c…
10-14 18:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x9ad244…
10-14 09:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x1f39b7…
10-14 06:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xd48c4c…