Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

120

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$128

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-07

last 11-04 05:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

84% 60% +$9

Politics

14% 61% +$1

Tech

2% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	2	$2	4	+4	No	$0	10-07 22:25
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 4?	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	11-04 05:02
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-10 19:38
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:24
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-18 18:51
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-10 08:52
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-24 03:12
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-07 14:04
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-24 11:13
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-13 15:26
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-12 06:25
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-20 10:53
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	10-16 00:23
Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-17 22:43
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of October 19 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-19 10:52
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	1	$1	3	+3	Up	+$2	10-15 09:55
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	11-03 03:12
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 16:25
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	10-18 10:51
Will Micron (MU) finish week of November 2 above $900?	1	$1	5	+5	open	—	11-02 19:12
will rklb dip to 68 by september 21 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-22 06:47
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	10-25 06:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	10-30 01:25
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-08 17:53
spx up or down on september 16 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	09-16 10:40
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 3?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	11-03 11:17
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	09-15 18:16
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	11-02 02:54
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-09 14:01
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of October 19 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-20 19:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 05:02:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfdc76c…
11-03 19:33:10	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4da05b…
11-03 11:17:55	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 3?	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbd9f79…
11-03 03:12:52	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xff9506…
11-02 19:12:45	Will Micron (MU) finish week of November 2 above $900?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfaf2ed…
11-02 10:55:06	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8d9d09…
11-02 10:55:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x04f7e6…
11-02 02:54:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0db5e2…
10-30 01:25:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x38219b…
10-29 17:14:28	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1e2007…
10-29 03:36:02	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x294965…
10-27 07:11:50	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd1692c…
10-26 07:09:35	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfd492b…
10-25 23:09:15	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5762d7…
10-25 14:47:44	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x93e710…
10-25 06:36:45	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x75e07d…
10-23 17:18:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc6e0f3…
10-23 07:24:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 23?	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x6c7252…
10-22 23:23:09	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7700d3…
10-22 13:18:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5f0cf4…
10-22 04:41:09	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4bd4ec…
10-21 19:37:05	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9ac877…
10-21 11:15:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x84a55b…
10-21 03:09:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x88cef8…
10-20 19:07:38	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8e8671…
10-20 10:53:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1befe2…
10-20 02:53:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe3c2b2…
10-19 18:53:12	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xcc223c…
10-19 10:52:03	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcce453…
10-19 02:51:53	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1103d7…
10-18 18:51:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb83b0f…
10-18 10:51:24	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6ed784…
10-17 22:43:21	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x60cdac…
10-16 23:04:21	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x786808…
10-16 08:23:58	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $207 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbcb5ec…
10-16 08:23:55	will rklb reach 58 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5c8605…
10-16 00:23:33	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc0bc86…
10-15 09:55:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf8351f…
10-15 01:19:10	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x48a33f…
10-14 17:18:54	will coin dip to 162 50 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2c8947…
10-14 09:11:23	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6413a1…
10-14 01:02:04	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x53bf26…
10-13 15:26:29	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2de27f…
10-13 07:04:34	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6176db…
10-12 23:01:50	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x156477…
10-12 15:01:14	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc7ba88…
10-12 06:25:33	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa0ea0b…
10-11 22:25:14	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $216 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb902d8…
10-11 14:18:51	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x79bae9…
10-11 04:33:32	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2d824f…
10-10 19:38:55	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8c8a77…
10-09 12:02:25	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 9?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x04a3fd…
10-09 03:59:16	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $72.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x73a458…
10-08 19:53:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfce0e4…
10-08 07:31:49	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x51b371…
10-07 23:15:07	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb52456…
10-07 22:25:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3beee2…
10-07 22:22:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x439449…
10-07 14:04:55	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $76 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7b5703…
10-07 04:16:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xff2ed2…
10-06 20:14:44	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xd35d24…
10-06 12:14:21	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x222aa8…
10-06 04:13:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x57a711…
10-05 17:54:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x297b23…
10-05 00:45:50	will nvda reach 240 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4d3046…
10-05 00:36:52	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4f7b48…
10-02 11:30:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x13fbaf…
10-02 03:06:00	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4b2b7b…
10-01 11:58:32	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xa2b568…
10-01 03:58:08	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7f3367…
09-30 18:53:02	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x12980a…
09-30 10:10:03	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x567272…
09-30 00:26:11	will xagusd reach 63 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2c260e…
09-29 16:25:29	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x6c245e…
09-29 08:23:48	will ewy reach 188 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8f9d0b…
09-29 00:21:39	will xagusd reach 62 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xf14d78…
09-28 15:37:38	will abnb dip to 154 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0e0851…
09-28 05:43:50	will nvda reach 232 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x92691c…
09-27 21:43:27	will xagusd reach 65 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x007c95…
09-27 21:17:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x74c908…
09-27 05:58:42	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x87156c…
09-26 16:25:02	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbc7c62…
09-26 07:32:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x2edbca…
09-25 21:12:53	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x98970a…
09-25 13:11:54	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4a9f15…
09-25 05:04:45	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5bd0dc…
09-24 19:42:42	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xcdf101…
09-24 11:13:15	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5b5df6…
09-24 03:12:04	Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa0c679…
09-23 17:00:19	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2e13a1…
09-23 08:00:02	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc75bc4…
09-22 23:46:44	will coin dip to 192 50 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd85acb…
09-22 15:28:24	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x441a80…
09-22 06:47:15	will rklb dip to 68 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe8735a…
09-21 22:17:13	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9c48d2…
09-21 14:16:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8b7dc8…
09-21 06:02:51	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xca2471…
09-20 21:41:35	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $930 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc22005…
09-19 23:01:30	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf90586…
09-19 07:24:33	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x52cb56…