Loose-Stencil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,519

lifetime

Volume

$8.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 07-19 19:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 40% $-15

Other

11% 25% +$11

Politics

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1771703100	2	$193	127	125	+2	open	—	02-21 19:55
eth updown 15m 1772024400	3	$175	291	0	+291	open	—	02-25 13:00
eth updown 15m 1771992900	1	$164	291	0	+291	open	—	02-25 04:14
fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	2	$162	100	100	+0	open	—	06-26 04:02
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	2	$146	100	100	+0	open	—	06-29 19:13
eth updown 15m 1771841700	15	$139	163	70	+93	open	—	02-23 10:29
btc updown 15m 1771759800	5	$91	58	58	+0	open	—	02-22 11:42
eth updown 15m 1772023500	3	$79	132	0	+132	open	—	02-25 12:45
eth updown 15m 1771992000	1	$74	132	0	+132	open	—	02-25 03:59
eth updown 15m 1781715600	18	$70	70	70	+0	open	—	06-17 17:14
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$66	45	43	+2	open	—	04-27 12:29
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$65	48	48	+0	open	—	04-26 18:26
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$62	44	42	+2	open	—	04-26 16:59
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	1	$60	100	0	+100	open	—	07-01 16:47
eth updown 15m 1781712000	7	$59	70	20	+50	open	—	06-17 16:11
eth updown 15m 1771947900	3	$59	60	54	+6	open	—	02-24 15:50
eth updown 15m 1773243000	1	$55	60	0	+60	open	—	03-11 15:33
highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 22c	2	$54	28	28	+0	open	—	03-24 09:34
highest temperature in miami on march 21 2026 80 81f	4	$51	30	30	+0	open	—	03-21 21:26
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	2	$50	50	50	+0	open	—	06-29 20:53
eth updown 15m 1772391600	4	$49	30	30	+0	open	—	03-01 19:12
highest temperature in ankara on march 24 2026 9c	2	$47	25	25	+0	open	—	03-24 08:52
eth updown 15m 1781258400	3	$47	70	20	+50	open	—	06-12 10:12
eth updown 15m 1773236700	5	$44	30	30	+0	open	—	03-11 13:51
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	9	$39	40	40	+0	open	—	06-03 07:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	4	$38	25	25	+0	open	—	05-04 12:59
eth updown 15m 1775313900	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	04-04 14:58
eth updown 15m 1774944900	3	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	03-31 08:30
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	9	$37	40	40	+0	open	—	06-03 09:12
highest temperature in wellington on march 25 2026 20c	3	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	03-25 08:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 19:29:34	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners first half total 3pt5	Over	SELL	20	62¢	$12	0x50b67a…
07-19 19:26:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners first half total 3pt5	Over	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x850b51…
07-16 18:17:11	will trump say world cup during speech to the nation 20260713200621432	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xbdbbbe…
07-16 17:55:37	eth updown 15m 1784223900	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xf48ba7…
07-16 17:47:49	eth updown 15m 1784223900	Up	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x75b28e…
07-16 17:47:47	eth updown 15m 1784223900	Up	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x3f1596…
07-16 17:47:01	eth updown 15m 1784223900	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x8c5d95…
07-15 09:39:58	eth updown 5m 1784108100	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x7ef5bc…
07-15 09:37:10	eth updown 5m 1784108100	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x1aadfd…
07-15 09:36:53	eth updown 5m 1784108100	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x91bf50…
07-13 12:29:10	eth updown 15m 1783944900	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x6149df…
07-13 11:25:13	will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xadebbd…
07-13 11:24:56	will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xc63843…
07-13 10:59:56	eth updown 15m 1783939500	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x20c407…
07-13 10:46:35	eth updown 15m 1783939500	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x07ac92…
07-13 10:38:08	eth updown 15m 1783938600	Up	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xd7ed1b…
07-13 10:38:08	eth updown 15m 1783938600	Up	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x2b699c…
07-13 10:34:35	eth updown 15m 1783938600	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x967f36…
07-13 10:25:44	eth updown 15m 1783937700	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x879131…
07-13 10:25:43	eth updown 15m 1783937700	Down	SELL	14	46¢	$7	0xe7e08f…
07-13 10:25:43	eth updown 15m 1783937700	Down	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x1f40ce…
07-13 10:18:08	eth updown 15m 1783937700	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xc18084…
07-12 19:27:28	eth updown 15m 1783883700	Down	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x6ab37b…
07-02 07:18:53	eth updown 15m 1782976500	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x58d6be…
07-02 07:12:04	eth updown 15m 1782975600	Down	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x5278c1…
07-02 07:12:04	eth updown 15m 1782975600	Down	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x37227d…
07-02 07:12:02	eth updown 15m 1782975600	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xa8dd2c…
07-02 07:09:17	eth updown 15m 1782975600	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7ae895…
07-01 16:47:38	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x71ad17…
06-29 20:53:46	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x64730f…
06-29 19:13:55	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x00e371…
06-29 19:13:17	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc3134b…
06-29 10:56:53	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xa51e2c…
06-26 04:02:16	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3c7ebb…
06-25 18:50:04	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x764041…
06-23 16:49:19	eth updown 15m 1782233100	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xf28534…
06-23 16:49:19	eth updown 15m 1782233100	Up	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0xa673e1…
06-23 16:49:19	eth updown 15m 1782233100	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x41af3f…
06-23 16:49:19	eth updown 15m 1782233100	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x40cffd…
06-23 16:49:19	eth updown 15m 1782233100	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x232bcb…
06-23 16:40:56	eth updown 15m 1782232200	Up	SELL	14	44¢	$6	0x9be0dc…
06-23 16:40:13	eth updown 15m 1782232200	Up	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x565bb1…
06-23 16:40:11	eth updown 15m 1782232200	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x6786ae…
06-23 16:40:11	eth updown 15m 1782232200	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$3	0x0f76d3…
06-23 16:38:53	eth updown 15m 1782232200	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x7b1eb1…
06-23 16:38:53	eth updown 15m 1782232200	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x504e00…
06-23 16:38:52	eth updown 15m 1782232200	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x5911fa…
06-23 16:38:52	eth updown 15m 1782232200	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x467708…
06-23 16:38:52	eth updown 15m 1782232200	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x00da74…
06-18 16:41:29	eth updown 15m 1781800200	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xcfe34c…
06-18 16:41:29	eth updown 15m 1781800200	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x00db53…
06-18 16:38:32	eth updown 15m 1781800200	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x30b45e…
06-17 17:23:02	eth updown 15m 1781716500	Down	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x44026d…
06-17 17:16:32	eth updown 15m 1781716500	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x998c92…
06-17 17:16:29	eth updown 15m 1781716500	Up	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x88e668…
06-17 17:16:29	eth updown 15m 1781716500	Up	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0x3c5596…
06-17 17:15:40	eth updown 15m 1781716500	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xafb828…
06-17 17:14:38	eth updown 15m 1781715600	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x4af351…
06-17 17:11:40	eth updown 15m 1781715600	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x150ee2…
06-17 17:10:02	eth updown 15m 1781715600	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x2e9e93…
06-17 17:08:17	eth updown 15m 1781715600	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xa18279…
06-17 17:05:08	eth updown 15m 1781715600	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xf9c675…
06-17 17:05:08	eth updown 15m 1781715600	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xdf79c7…
06-17 17:05:08	eth updown 15m 1781715600	Down	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xc541b3…
06-17 17:05:08	eth updown 15m 1781715600	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x90dcd3…
06-17 17:05:08	eth updown 15m 1781715600	Down	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x87e970…
06-17 17:05:08	eth updown 15m 1781715600	Down	SELL	7	51¢	$3	0x7acf75…
06-17 17:05:08	eth updown 15m 1781715600	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x1da4da…
06-17 17:05:08	eth updown 15m 1781715600	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x1da322…
06-17 17:05:08	eth updown 15m 1781715600	Down	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x036aa7…
06-17 17:05:08	eth updown 15m 1781715600	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x016336…
06-17 17:05:05	eth updown 15m 1781715600	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x39eff9…
06-17 17:05:04	eth updown 15m 1781715600	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x1ba1f0…
06-17 17:04:25	eth updown 15m 1781715600	Down	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0xc9bd37…
06-17 17:04:23	eth updown 15m 1781715600	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xd1fd4a…
06-17 16:11:19	eth updown 15m 1781712000	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc70703…
06-17 16:11:19	eth updown 15m 1781712000	Down	BUY	45	77¢	$35	0x80f9c0…
06-17 16:10:22	eth updown 15m 1781712000	Down	SELL	17	61¢	$10	0xdf4560…
06-17 16:10:19	eth updown 15m 1781712000	Down	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0xefe3bb…
06-17 16:10:19	eth updown 15m 1781712000	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xe82685…
06-17 16:05:07	eth updown 15m 1781712000	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x37e00b…
06-17 15:59:56	eth updown 15m 1781712000	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x06778f…
06-15 20:05:10	eth updown 15m 1781553600	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xbf5c8a…
06-15 20:05:10	eth updown 15m 1781553600	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x94ba06…
06-15 20:04:58	eth updown 15m 1781553600	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x7def58…
06-12 10:30:30	eth updown 15m 1781260200	Down	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x1eb730…
06-12 10:20:39	eth updown 15m 1781259300	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x9a5e07…
06-12 10:20:39	eth updown 15m 1781259300	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x0dc5bc…
06-12 10:12:55	eth updown 15m 1781258400	Down	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x68ecbc…
06-12 10:08:03	eth updown 15m 1781258400	Down	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x7b76b9…
06-12 10:00:42	eth updown 15m 1781258400	Up	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x0506c5…
06-08 08:17:19	eth updown 15m 1780906500	Up	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x46b607…
06-04 17:15:55	eth updown 15m 1780593300	Up	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xd1eade…
06-04 17:15:55	eth updown 15m 1780593300	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1d18d7…
06-04 17:14:49	eth updown 15m 1780592400	Down	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x14a94f…
06-04 17:11:15	eth updown 15m 1780592400	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xc26bb0…
06-04 17:09:48	eth updown 15m 1780592400	Up	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xb5c5f1…
06-04 17:08:21	eth updown 15m 1780592400	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xbbce07…
06-04 13:13:03	eth updown 15m 1780578000	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x508fae…
06-04 13:11:09	eth updown 15m 1780578000	Down	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0xcf4d18…