Made-Up-Renaissance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.81K

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

1,713

Trades

4,561

lifetime

Volume

$85.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 10-19 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 53% -$4,736

Other

0% 0% -$79

Sports

0% 100% +$2

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-400	-$5	1¢	$-5	$0	06-02 03:22
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-381	-$3	0¢	$-1	+$2	06-02 03:22
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-400	-$4	0¢	$-1	+$3	06-02 03:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:25 UTC	1	$874	971	0	+971	Down	-$874	07-13 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$867	897	897	+0	Down	+$67	05-30 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	4	$852	1,601	878	+724	Down	-$348	05-31 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$820	3,504	0	+3,504	Up	-$820	05-29 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:50 UTC	1	$774	880	0	+880	Down	+$106	07-12 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:20 UTC	1	$742	898	0	+898	Up	+$155	07-13 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	6	$660	1,485	0	+1,485	Up	-$660	05-29 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	9	$639	974	690	+284	Down	+$107	05-30 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$600	1,322	0	+1,322	Down	-$600	05-31 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$600	1,111	0	+1,111	Down	-$600	05-31 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$589	636	636	+0	Up	-$11	05-31 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$551	1,025	0	+1,025	Up	+$474	05-29 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	5	$532	684	684	+0	Up	+$52	05-30 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	2	$500	764	0	+764	Down	+$264	05-29 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	5	$460	1,058	0	+1,058	Down	-$460	05-29 17:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:25 UTC	1	$458	580	0	+580	Up	+$122	07-12 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	5	$450	1,827	0	+1,827	Down	-$450	05-29 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 15:55 UTC	1	$425	473	0	+473	Up	+$47	07-11 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	5	$425	1,253	0	+1,253	Down	-$425	05-29 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$423	455	455	+0	Down	+$23	05-31 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$420	840	0	+840	Down	-$420	05-29 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$420	932	0	+932	Down	-$420	05-29 20:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 19:15 UTC	1	$405	485	0	+485	Up	+$81	07-12 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$400	649	0	+649	Up	+$249	05-29 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$400	738	0	+738	Down	+$338	05-29 17:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$400	696	0	+696	Down	+$296	05-29 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$400	819	0	+819	Down	-$400	05-29 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$400	776	0	+776	Up	-$400	05-29 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$400	915	0	+915	Down	-$400	05-29 22:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$400	775	0	+775	Down	-$400	05-31 04:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 09:30:30	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	1¢	$1	0x74756a…
10-19 09:30:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x669f9e…
10-19 09:27:20	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	3¢	$3	0xced479…
10-19 09:27:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0xf19ebf…
10-19 09:27:18	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	214	1¢	$1	0xdd732d…
10-19 09:27:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	5¢	$4	0x6d8a08…
10-19 09:27:17	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	4¢	$4	0x322cca…
10-19 09:27:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	249	1¢	$3	0x2f0859…
10-19 09:27:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0xe9d226…
10-19 09:27:14	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	3¢	$4	0xdf514a…
10-19 09:27:14	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	10¢	$8	0xab2070…
10-19 09:27:14	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x975752…
10-19 09:27:12	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	27¢	$11	0xb7fb24…
10-19 09:27:12	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0x57d183…
10-19 09:27:11	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x484fca…
10-19 09:27:11	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	1¢	$2	0x10053e…
10-17 12:55:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x9680dd…
10-17 06:57:50	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3670af…
10-17 05:46:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x25137b…
10-17 05:36:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xc4d4a8…
10-17 05:31:08	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xa34dcd…
10-17 05:25:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x797095…
10-17 05:23:35	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xcf34fe…
10-17 04:48:07	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6b8afc…
10-17 04:31:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbcf108…
10-17 04:18:11	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x008832…
10-17 04:05:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x47f316…
10-17 01:05:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:05 UTC	Up	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x7fd50c…
10-17 01:05:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x18bc98…
10-17 01:02:09	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9bf5d0…
10-17 00:21:08	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x853037…
10-17 00:20:59	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc97561…
10-17 00:15:50	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x81c8b1…
10-17 00:12:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6e206b…
10-16 22:58:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0x767419…
10-16 22:41:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	13	57¢	$8	0xcfa1d9…
10-16 22:12:59	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0xb4ffcc…
10-16 21:58:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x53ab60…
10-16 12:43:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x00002e…
10-16 12:31:03	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x837150…
10-16 12:30:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf600d3…
10-16 12:21:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0x7babe4…
10-16 12:20:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xcaff54…
10-16 12:20:31	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x76ff32…
10-16 12:20:18	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x237217…
10-16 12:17:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	7	36¢	$3	0x100c50…
10-16 12:17:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x0ba710…
10-16 12:06:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xbf0072…
10-16 12:05:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbcf9e9…
10-16 11:52:27	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x1ca5d6…
10-16 11:51:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x45d6a0…
10-16 11:46:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x799e09…
10-16 11:46:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x325f2d…
10-16 11:20:28	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:20 UTC	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xd79761…
10-16 11:20:21	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x151d08…
10-16 11:16:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0xc13804…
10-16 11:15:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x77235a…
10-16 11:15:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	8	65¢	$5	0x98c27c…
10-16 11:15:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x6f9648…
10-16 11:11:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x3d6ec5…
10-16 11:10:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x8171ec…
10-16 11:10:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0xdc412e…
10-16 11:10:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x1c2bc3…
10-16 11:07:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x5af974…
10-16 11:07:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2f8e06…
10-16 11:02:40	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x8f451d…
10-16 11:02:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x854553…
10-16 11:02:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x855484…
10-16 11:01:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x05c524…
10-16 10:52:03	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x4d37cb…
10-16 10:51:55	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x876d52…
10-16 10:47:21	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 10:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x437ca5…
10-16 10:46:21	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1d675c…
10-16 10:38:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xa00a7d…
10-16 10:38:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xaa69b4…
10-16 10:37:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xd86c7f…
10-16 10:37:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7edda1…
10-16 10:11:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:10 UTC	Down	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x5ea599…
10-16 10:10:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb9fdea…
10-16 10:07:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	Down	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0xe39d52…
10-16 10:05:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa4be04…
10-16 09:57:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:55 UTC	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xb7d9a5…
10-16 09:57:18	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0xdf450b…
10-16 09:53:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:50 UTC	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x60afa3…
10-16 09:53:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x397f42…
10-16 09:47:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x084a4c…
10-16 09:46:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7d18d6…
10-16 09:12:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x734ce6…
10-16 09:06:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xd1aede…
10-16 09:06:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe9f72e…
10-16 08:57:22	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xdd3c48…
10-16 08:56:48	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x85ef3d…
10-16 08:56:06	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x390b5f…
10-16 08:52:25	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x24bde4…
10-16 08:52:10	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0xcd0b21…
10-16 08:46:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xe63e0c…
10-16 08:46:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0xd3cda2…
10-16 08:43:55	XRP Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x914fa9…
10-16 08:34:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x8abe09…
10-16 08:34:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xddf30a…