Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

176

Trades

878

lifetime

Volume

$3.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-18

last 10-11 12:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

59% 71% +$6

Other

22% 81% +$9

Crypto

8% 83% +$3

Tech

6% 64% -$2

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	51	$238	298	152	+146	Yes	+$12	09-22 19:02
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	37	$223	158	158	+0	No	-$10	09-22 17:58
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	13	$175	215	0	+215	No	+$41	09-18 19:33
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	13	$171	114	114	+0	Yes	+$31	10-11 11:36
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	33	$170	442	435	+7	Yes	-$19	09-20 19:19
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	14	$170	171	0	+171	No	+$2	09-19 18:59
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	7	$166	167	0	+167	No	+$2	09-20 17:56
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	13	$96	95	5	+90	Yes	+$3	09-22 20:27
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	13	$92	60	60	+0	open	—	10-11 11:36
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	9	$88	48	48	+0	No	-$1	10-11 11:37
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	6	$88	44	44	+0	No	+$0	10-11 11:37
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	15	$72	38	38	+0	No	+$1	10-11 11:37
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?	6	$55	57	0	+57	No	+$2	09-21 18:41
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	9	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	10-11 11:37
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	12	$54	106	106	+0	No	-$29	10-11 11:37
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	6	$52	53	0	+53	No	+$1	09-22 21:29
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	8	$50	48	48	+0	Yes	+$5	10-11 12:41
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	13	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	10-11 11:37
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	8	$47	24	24	+0	No	+$0	10-11 11:45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	6	$44	32	32	+0	No	$0	10-11 11:46
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	10	$44	29	24	+5	No	+$3	10-04 22:10
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	8	$42	25	22	+3	Yes	-$2	09-22 15:56
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	4	$39	21	21	+0	No	$0	10-11 11:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$38	31	31	-0	No	+$14	10-11 11:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	10-11 11:47
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	12	$33	31	31	+0	Yes	-$5	09-22 15:22
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	09-21 19:11
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	4	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	10-11 11:46
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	5	$31	42	42	+0	Yes	+$1	10-11 11:46
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?	4	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	09-18 21:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 12:46:54	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x206234…
10-11 12:46:51	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x98effc…
10-11 12:46:45	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd01eaf…
10-11 12:46:39	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4946af…
10-11 12:46:34	Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?	No	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x1f9012…
10-11 12:46:30	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 30%-35%?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xeee5fc…
10-11 12:46:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x67f48e…
10-11 12:46:19	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xe0ea89…
10-11 12:46:13	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0x254f59…
10-11 12:45:49	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xb1cc00…
10-11 12:45:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 35%-40%?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa4142f…
10-11 12:45:37	Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc4920f…
10-11 12:45:34	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x995d5b…
10-11 12:45:30	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iraq by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd1956a…
10-11 12:45:24	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb5c541…
10-11 12:45:16	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Kazakhstan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4a8693…
10-11 12:45:12	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x50a19a…
10-11 12:45:07	Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xc05ed7…
10-11 12:45:04	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Oman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa3c774…
10-11 12:45:00	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x8d35e9…
10-11 12:44:54	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Qatar by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x97ce78…
10-11 12:44:49	Will Sebastian Stan win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x51615c…
10-11 12:44:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0xf6b89d…
10-11 12:44:36	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in September?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf26000…
10-11 12:44:27	Will annual inflation be 3.9% in September?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf0e186…
10-11 12:44:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x5ef03d…
10-11 12:44:18	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7f2e5b…
10-11 12:44:13	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 15%-25%?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0b50b9…
10-11 12:44:07	Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x344a37…
10-11 12:44:01	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x503c4f…
10-11 12:43:55	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0xb25709…
10-11 12:43:48	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another Middle East/North Africa country by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbd77b1…
10-11 12:43:40	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x002a68…
10-11 12:43:34	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	No	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x104a47…
10-11 12:43:24	Will Denmark win the UEFA EURO 2028?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x423c9a…
10-11 12:43:21	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0x2d57b4…
10-11 12:43:09	Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	43¢	$1	0x3ee7cc…
10-11 12:43:03	Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x17befc…
10-11 12:42:58	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in September?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb03bf0…
10-11 12:42:55	Will Ryan Gosling win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd0110c…
10-11 12:42:51	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xb7b04d…
10-11 12:42:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x093afa…
10-11 12:42:43	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6aef6e…
10-11 12:42:39	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 VA-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x315bec…
10-11 12:42:30	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe1beaa…
10-11 12:42:18	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x54a3fd…
10-11 12:42:12	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x88fe84…
10-11 12:42:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xe09337…
10-11 12:42:03	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Egypt by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x07a8b0…
10-11 12:41:58	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xce36c1…
10-11 12:41:51	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Iran by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe5f3d6…
10-11 12:41:46	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0xbdac53…
10-11 12:41:43	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x98b9e6…
10-11 12:41:40	Will Norway win the UEFA EURO 2028?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x332650…
10-11 12:41:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x065cbc…
10-11 12:41:31	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.3% in September?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x733239…
10-11 12:41:25	Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xadec90…
10-11 12:41:22	Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x3c32db…
10-11 12:41:10	Will the Carolina Hurricanes be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x547af0…
10-11 12:41:06	Will the Tampa Bay Lightning be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x97e830…
10-11 12:41:01	Will the San Jose Sharks be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xa99923…
10-11 12:35:03	Will the St. Louis Blues be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcb4bff…
10-11 12:21:58	Will the Dallas Stars be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x9396b6…
10-11 12:21:46	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0x7ac123…
10-11 12:21:37	Will England win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x6e0aeb…
10-11 12:08:55	Will Germany win the UEFA EURO 2028?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x478330…
10-11 12:08:51	Will the Colorado Avalanche be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xeaf657…
10-11 12:08:45	Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x6a0fa6…
10-11 12:08:40	Will the Ottawa Senators be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x1b950f…
10-11 12:08:36	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xa8e9b9…
10-11 12:08:30	Will the New Jersey Devils be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb69e4e…
10-11 12:08:24	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd7c3b7…
10-11 12:08:00	Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xbdb836…
10-11 12:07:55	Will Belgium win the UEFA EURO 2028?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0xa2cc4e…
10-11 12:07:51	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$3	0x7debd4…
10-11 12:07:45	Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x07819c…
10-11 12:07:40	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x22f05f…
10-11 12:07:31	Will Netherlands win the UEFA EURO 2028?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0x2e3a82…
10-11 12:07:22	Will Greece win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0xb027a6…
10-11 12:07:18	Will Croatia win the UEFA EURO 2028?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0x43d811…
10-11 12:07:12	Will Germany win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xc65b29…
10-11 12:07:06	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x7d7ded…
10-11 12:07:01	Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xedd4af…
10-11 12:06:57	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x930e32…
10-11 11:50:01	Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in October 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfcb9ae…
10-11 11:49:58	Will England win the UEFA EURO 2028?	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0xd86f3e…
10-11 11:49:52	Will Portugal win the UEFA EURO 2028?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xee94fe…
10-11 11:49:46	Will Switzerland win the UEFA EURO 2028?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$3	0x1b74a3…
10-11 11:49:40	Will Norway win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xc5130b…
10-11 11:49:36	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x2893ef…
10-11 11:49:30	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xb10866…
10-11 11:49:25	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0ee3eb…
10-11 11:49:18	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xc16f85…
10-11 11:49:15	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xf49a05…
10-11 11:47:45	Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$8	0x11d1cf…
10-11 11:47:30	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	Yes	SELL	70	19¢	$13	0x34560e…
10-11 11:47:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x6eaa04…
10-11 11:46:26	Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x3d49b2…
10-11 11:46:21	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0xf56baf…
10-11 11:46:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xcc5b21…