Violet-Dissemination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$322

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-10 11:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 33% $-4

Other

3% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$21	27	0	+27	open	—	04-27 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-27 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	04-28 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$17	9	9	+0	open	—	04-30 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	04-30 15:19
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$15	19	0	+19	open	—	04-27 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-29 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$13	17	0	+17	open	—	04-27 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	04-27 07:15
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-27 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-29 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-27 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-28 06:56
btc updown 5m 1773910800	1	$9	893	0	+893	open	—	03-19 09:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$7	1,068	1,025	+42	open	—	04-25 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	04-25 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	04-28 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	04-30 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-27 07:02
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-29 15:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-25 10:56
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-27 11:59
btc updown 5m 1773910500	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	03-19 08:59
btc updown 5m 1773910200	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-19 08:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$4	43	43	+0	open	—	04-27 10:49
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	01-05 14:28
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-25 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	04-28 06:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 11:06:40	btc updown 5m 1781089500	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x173244…
05-07 03:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0b275f…
05-07 03:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1bfe0b…
05-07 03:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa59ecb…
05-06 15:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x165119…
05-06 15:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf0a239…
05-06 15:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x996cfb…
05-06 05:39:38	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xcb4be6…
05-01 07:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x58d372…
04-30 16:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdab5f0…
04-30 16:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x02a027…
04-30 15:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x975aa3…
04-30 15:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xdd742e…
04-30 15:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xcac01c…
04-30 14:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x630da7…
04-30 14:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x08c67a…
04-30 14:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x93858c…
04-30 14:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xc0a2c1…
04-30 14:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xe181ef…
04-30 14:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x3b3f82…
04-30 05:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x511326…
04-29 15:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x4211a9…
04-29 15:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc6a7f6…
04-29 15:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x2a4fdb…
04-29 15:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x503590…
04-29 15:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x41502f…
04-29 15:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x95cedc…
04-29 13:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6564c9…
04-28 06:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x937b90…
04-28 06:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x1aa415…
04-28 06:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc2d66b…
04-28 06:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0xafd6ce…
04-28 06:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x02b214…
04-27 13:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xe4b19e…
04-27 12:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x4da7df…
04-27 12:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x406070…
04-27 12:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x9613f4…
04-27 11:59:30	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x39f9b9…
04-27 11:44:04	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc37c16…
04-27 10:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xe99ef5…
04-27 10:49:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x92fed6…
04-27 09:18:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x356554…
04-27 09:18:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd17940…
04-27 09:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xcdfc56…
04-27 09:03:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x779eef…
04-27 09:03:02	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbc4ada…
04-27 08:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x190a2a…
04-27 08:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x7a7445…
04-27 08:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3d3da1…
04-27 08:00:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9f417b…
04-27 08:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xd1a008…
04-27 07:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x4d65e8…
04-27 07:59:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x3e6b3f…
04-27 07:29:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xa9be54…
04-27 07:19:32	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x6157e2…
04-27 07:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0xbc5f62…
04-27 07:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x08e194…
04-27 07:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xfb174f…
04-25 13:12:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x0825bf…
04-25 11:21:12	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x146e65…
04-25 11:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xa6ff2a…
04-25 11:10:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x196b1f…
04-25 10:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xdda9b0…
04-25 10:56:06	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xaf2357…
04-25 10:45:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	SELL	1,025	0¢	$1	0x142831…
04-25 10:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x44b673…
04-25 10:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0d6e9c…
04-25 10:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdd2a0b…
04-25 08:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe008dd…
04-21 10:23:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,068	1¢	$6	0xed84f0…
03-19 09:04:15	btc updown 5m 1773910800	Down	BUY	893	1¢	$9	0x803620…
03-19 08:59:49	btc updown 5m 1773910500	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7f59e4…
03-19 08:56:17	btc updown 5m 1773910200	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9e708a…
03-19 08:53:43	btc updown 5m 1773910200	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbfa519…
01-05 14:28:43	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcbdc0b…
01-01 11:28:45	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x172848…