Sophisticated-Hotel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$243

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved

13,564

Trades

48,066

lifetime

Volume

$91.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-02-07

last 10-27 07:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 34% -$243

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 2115 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	—	+20	$8	57¢	$12	+$4	10-27 07:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	45	$218	275	260	+15	Down	-$2	10-27 02:44
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	30	$214	246	156	+90	Down	+$6	10-26 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	32	$204	197	174	+23	Up	+$16	10-27 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	41	$177	219	212	+7	Up	+$36	10-27 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	33	$174	210	200	+10	Down	-$1	10-27 00:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:00 UTC	58	$172	150	149	+1	Down	-$2	07-03 23:04
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	21	$168	140	96	+44	Down	-$11	10-26 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	34	$161	203	126	+77	Up	+$16	10-27 00:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 06:15 UTC	41	$161	107	108	-0	Up	+$2	07-03 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	24	$148	142	134	+8	Up	+$10	10-27 03:28
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	24	$145	113	85	+28	Up	+$3	10-27 05:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 23:50 UTC	44	$145	112	112	+0	Up	+$1	07-09 23:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:10 UTC	41	$144	107	107	+0	Up	+$1	07-03 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	125	$144	162	150	+12	Up	$0	10-25 21:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:35 UTC	48	$139	113	116	-3	Down	-$12	07-03 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	20	$132	139	77	+62	Down	-$1	10-27 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	52	$128	130	105	+25	Down	-$5	10-25 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	34	$122	211	133	+78	Down	-$10	10-27 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 06:30 UTC	39	$121	91	90	+2	Down	-$4	07-03 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	23	$117	114	95	+19	Up	-$3	10-26 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	26	$115	136	136	+0	Up	+$8	10-27 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	56	$112	134	125	+9	Up	-$5	10-26 03:58
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	18	$110	112	80	+32	Down	+$19	10-27 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 21:20 UTC	28	$109	68	63	+5	Up	+$2	07-03 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	39	$109	98	84	+14	Up	$0	10-25 11:10
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	24	$109	124	84	+40	Up	-$6	10-26 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	20	$105	110	101	+9	Down	+$1	10-27 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	16	$104	98	65	+33	Down	-$4	10-27 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	26	$103	125	114	+11	Up	+$3	10-27 04:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 02:35 UTC	38	$101	81	77	+4	Up	+$2	06-30 02:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xcef7dc…
10-27 07:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x38714d…
10-27 07:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0xbd7ecf…
10-27 07:22:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x9839fa…
10-27 07:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xd6ec0e…
10-27 07:22:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xcf3aba…
10-27 07:21:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x33e598…
10-27 07:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x62f486…
10-27 07:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xed57b2…
10-27 07:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xf27dc2…
10-27 07:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x342441…
10-27 07:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x810dcc…
10-27 07:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xd5e5b9…
10-27 07:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x48b683…
10-27 07:13:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xdc54be…
10-27 07:13:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xfd82bf…
10-27 07:13:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xe9eaf2…
10-27 07:13:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$3	0xe9eaf2…
10-27 07:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x99fa79…
10-27 07:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x429bb6…
10-27 07:12:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xaee4bc…
10-27 07:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x921d59…
10-27 07:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x781346…
10-27 07:12:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x2a997c…
10-27 07:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x7481d3…
10-27 07:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x3f0e25…
10-27 07:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xcbe614…
10-27 07:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x4e6744…
10-27 07:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x47fb1b…
10-27 07:03:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xb76380…
10-27 07:02:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x5ddd05…
10-27 07:02:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x4137d8…
10-27 07:02:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x160d84…
10-27 07:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x4f8df8…
10-27 07:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x30b6c6…
10-27 07:01:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x78b79a…
10-27 07:01:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x5038b9…
10-27 07:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x05ef66…
10-27 07:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0xcd4f8a…
10-27 07:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xb6eb40…
10-27 07:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xaf2e5c…
10-27 07:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x50e2f5…
10-27 07:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x1c1aed…
10-27 07:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x11002f…
10-27 06:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xa45f6a…
10-27 06:52:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x04a1b1…
10-27 06:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xbc2e9f…
10-27 06:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xd1dc90…
10-27 06:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x5a2c19…
10-27 06:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x138055…
10-27 06:51:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xbaa28c…
10-27 06:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x1c1fa2…
10-27 06:51:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xf26200…
10-27 06:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xd8b8c3…
10-27 06:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x7bc84c…
10-27 06:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7203f5…
10-27 06:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x11649d…
10-27 06:47:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0xeea4e0…
10-27 06:46:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1d59cf…
10-27 06:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x228eeb…
10-27 06:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x3d2a26…
10-27 06:44:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x5833ab…
10-27 06:44:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0xf98378…
10-27 06:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x57e3fc…
10-27 06:44:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x0d8279…
10-27 06:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x54d091…
10-27 06:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0xc5dc7d…
10-27 06:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x32fca7…
10-27 06:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xdd93ed…
10-27 06:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xe4e35b…
10-27 06:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xb9ea75…
10-27 06:42:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xb25a15…
10-27 06:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xd8d757…
10-27 06:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x0a76c2…
10-27 06:41:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xdbb9aa…
10-27 06:41:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x91b6cb…
10-27 06:41:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x743391…
10-27 06:41:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xb64b3a…
10-27 06:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0xe43ae9…
10-27 06:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x078d05…
10-27 06:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	26¢	$1	0x174633…
10-27 06:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd0dfa8…
10-27 06:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x066c6e…
10-27 06:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$7	0xf4cef5…
10-27 06:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x03ed2a…
10-27 06:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x7d6336…
10-27 06:31:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x4d6361…
10-27 06:30:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x45e83b…
10-27 06:25:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xcf774d…
10-27 06:25:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xb7083e…
10-27 06:25:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x991310…
10-27 06:25:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x37bc51…
10-27 06:25:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x287103…
10-27 06:25:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x0606de…
10-27 06:25:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x0096ae…
10-27 06:24:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb04af2…
10-27 06:24:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x034418…
10-27 06:22:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x66b2b5…
10-27 06:22:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xd8e1ad…
10-27 06:22:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xd8e1ad…