Multicolored-Trust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.69K

Unrealized P&L

+$53

Hit rate

70.3%

Resolved

599

Trades

6,098

lifetime

Volume

$4.45M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$730

Open exposure

$363

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-28 23:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 226 days

Categories

Other

85% 75% -$15,367

Politics

12% 88% +$5,774

Sports

4% 63% +$5,907

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes		+835	$310	44¢	$363	+$53	10-28 23:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	103	$293.3K	256,520	256,520	+0	Yes	-$12,339	08-30 18:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	17	$88.2K	71,467	43,673	+27,793	Yes	+$6,699	07-29 17:12
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	44	$76.9K	43,703	43,703	+0	No	+$3	08-07 21:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	12	$75.5K	66,874	66,874	+0	No	-$796	08-10 19:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	74	$73.4K	51,406	26,261	+25,146	No	+$2,445	05-23 00:00
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	20	$66.2K	38,574	38,574	+0	Yes	+$525	08-02 00:47
atp munar atmane 2026 08 30	71	$52.1K	51,561	51,561	+0	Jaume Munar	-$8,566	08-30 20:17
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	80	$41.7K	22,785	22,786	-2	No	-$69	04-23 15:06
atp alcaraz rinderk 2026 03 09	5	$40.7K	22,998	22,998	+0	Carlos Alcaraz	-$3,021	03-10 03:30
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	19	$40.5K	23,134	23,134	+0	Flavio Cobolli	+$576	06-01 11:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	42	$39.2K	20,076	20,076	+0	Yes	+$885	03-01 08:15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	36	$38.3K	20,780	20,780	+0	No	-$1,925	05-01 01:15
atp fucsovi tien 2026 07 01	7	$37.9K	25,549	12,774	+12,774	Marton Fucsovics	+$438	07-01 14:09
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	16	$37.2K	20,432	20,432	+0	Jannik Sinner	-$305	05-15 19:27
atp cerund medjedo 2026 08 03	24	$32.7K	25,776	25,776	+0	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	+$2,835	08-04 19:40
atp sinner mochizu 2026 07 04	15	$32.7K	27,791	6,258	+21,533	Jannik Sinner	+$859	07-05 19:26
atp alcaraz etcheve 2026 04 09	12	$32.2K	16,271	16,270	+0	Carlos Alcaraz	+$342	04-09 18:14
US Open ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Flavio Cobolli	11	$28.2K	18,617	18,617	+0	Flavio Cobolli	-$1,894	09-01 18:28
atp sinner struff 2026 07 07	6	$27.9K	15,000	15,000	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$344	07-07 13:14
atp rocha sanchis 2026 03 29	14	$27.9K	14,030	14,030	-0	Henrique Rocha	+$145	03-29 19:18
atp dellien feldbau 2026 04 09	36	$27.8K	17,861	17,859	+2	Hugo Dellien	-$4,699	04-09 19:26
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	1	$27.6K	27,645	0	+27,645	Jannik Sinner	+$28	05-17 17:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$26.9K	15,000	15,000	+0	No	+$450	05-28 04:44
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Botic van de Zandschulp	2	$26.8K	15,004	15,004	+0	Alexander Zverev	+$122	09-10 01:16
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	35	$26.8K	20,152	8,511	+11,642	No	+$836	04-22 02:33
atp broom zhang 2026 07 22	6	$25.8K	17,270	17,270	+0	Charles Broom	-$5,630	07-22 20:18
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	36	$25.7K	25,842	0	+25,842	No	+$179	06-07 23:30
atp sinner brooksb 2026 07 03	18	$25.4K	26,537	0	+26,537	Jannik Sinner	+$1,172	07-03 13:42
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Tabilo	4	$25.0K	13,094	13,094	-0	Alexander Zverev	+$144	09-06 04:59
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	2	$24.9K	25,000	0	+25,000	No	+$55	06-10 03:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 23:13:46	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x908ea6…
10-28 17:30:26	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	140	47¢	$66	0xefdb40…
10-28 14:44:34	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x0dc38f…
10-28 11:56:52	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	194	47¢	$91	0xa07476…
10-25 18:41:56	Guayaquil: Ryan Nijboer vs Mariano Kestelboim	Ryan Nijboer	BUY	412	93¢	$383	0x25258b…
10-25 18:41:21	Guayaquil: Ryan Nijboer vs Mariano Kestelboim	Ryan Nijboer	BUY	116	93¢	$108	0x60626a…
10-25 18:41:20	Guayaquil: Ryan Nijboer vs Mariano Kestelboim	Ryan Nijboer	BUY	101	93¢	$94	0xadbadb…
10-25 18:41:20	Guayaquil: Ryan Nijboer vs Mariano Kestelboim	Ryan Nijboer	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x04ba17…
10-25 18:41:17	Guayaquil: Ryan Nijboer vs Mariano Kestelboim	Ryan Nijboer	BUY	190	93¢	$177	0xd580c5…
10-25 18:40:14	Guayaquil: Ryan Nijboer vs Mariano Kestelboim	Ryan Nijboer	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x071500…
10-25 18:40:02	Guayaquil: Ryan Nijboer vs Mariano Kestelboim	Ryan Nijboer	BUY	647	93¢	$601	0x83ec85…
10-25 17:09:41	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	104	48¢	$50	0x4dc718…
10-25 17:09:41	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	63	48¢	$30	0x3a95eb…
10-25 17:09:41	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	86	48¢	$41	0x2fb431…
10-25 17:09:41	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,152	47¢	$542	0x07371c…
10-25 03:06:29	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	37	48¢	$18	0xc84fa5…
10-25 02:34:03	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	49	48¢	$24	0x94abc2…
10-25 02:31:35	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	38	48¢	$18	0xfe5030…
10-25 02:29:45	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	34	48¢	$16	0x2b484f…
10-24 20:22:53	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,125	48¢	$1,500	0x5df84a…
10-24 18:24:30	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	247	48¢	$119	0x28912f…
10-24 15:57:48	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0x006b57…
10-24 14:51:35	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x71f861…
10-24 13:54:41	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x12b328…
10-24 13:54:24	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x4a4d28…
10-24 13:47:51	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xb7c1ea…
10-24 13:45:15	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	47¢	$28	0x612565…
10-24 13:45:08	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x24b732…
10-22 13:31:03	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x009380…
10-22 13:30:48	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xdf250c…
10-21 22:06:36	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x079427…
10-21 21:21:23	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	126	49¢	$62	0xa50ccc…
10-21 21:21:00	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	490	48¢	$235	0x6ee8dd…
10-21 21:16:56	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,133	47¢	$533	0x87c239…
10-20 19:15:48	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	138	49¢	$68	0xd8eec1…
10-20 02:38:08	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xf58a2a…
10-20 02:38:06	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xe4e246…
10-20 02:38:06	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xa51ff2…
10-19 19:05:57	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	60	49¢	$29	0xa113f7…
10-19 19:05:56	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x92cbdf…
10-19 16:09:18	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	246	49¢	$120	0x9c7928…
10-19 12:21:51	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	40	49¢	$20	0x292c21…
10-19 09:40:51	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	28	49¢	$14	0x338cc5…
10-19 08:27:26	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0xcd5c41…
10-19 02:59:29	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x376443…
10-19 01:10:59	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	404	49¢	$198	0xc27fc3…
10-18 21:29:33	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x188677…
10-18 19:44:44	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	37	49¢	$18	0x1a8069…
10-18 18:52:53	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	41	49¢	$20	0x6e3d01…
10-18 18:52:32	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	27	49¢	$13	0x8aae82…
10-18 18:52:21	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	27	49¢	$13	0x1a5d6b…
10-18 18:52:11	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	47	49¢	$23	0x75ef9c…
10-18 18:47:35	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	19	49¢	$9	0xe56a81…
10-18 18:38:39	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	18	49¢	$9	0x9f369d…
10-18 18:36:56	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	19	49¢	$9	0x525bc0…
10-18 12:06:48	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	85	49¢	$42	0x461870…
10-18 12:06:48	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x28154c…
10-18 12:06:14	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	19	49¢	$9	0x43883d…
10-18 12:06:06	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	28	49¢	$14	0x30d811…
10-18 12:06:03	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0x1309da…
10-18 04:35:47	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,020	49¢	$500	0xd4cf25…
10-17 23:53:29	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	39	49¢	$19	0xda3015…
10-17 23:51:08	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x5c4495…
10-17 23:46:36	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	44	49¢	$22	0x5bbe03…
10-17 23:46:26	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	18	49¢	$9	0x7995c0…
10-17 23:45:15	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	44	49¢	$22	0x9a514c…
10-17 23:43:53	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	63	49¢	$31	0xcac5cc…
10-17 23:43:50	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	100	49¢	$49	0x89ebdc…
10-17 21:06:56	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x657632…
10-17 20:15:35	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x611570…
10-17 14:53:02	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	112	48¢	$54	0x56c94a…
10-17 14:03:35	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	218	48¢	$105	0xcc5d9c…
10-17 01:09:08	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x2d886b…
10-17 01:03:45	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x266abb…
10-17 00:38:00	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	SELL	346	48¢	$166	0xfa1549…
10-17 00:23:33	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	146	47¢	$69	0x81ef1c…
10-17 00:21:56	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	69	48¢	$33	0xeac477…
10-17 00:21:45	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,506	48¢	$723	0x097b6c…
10-17 00:21:24	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xf7f9b2…
10-17 00:21:17	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	404	47¢	$190	0x0c8de4…
10-16 21:45:51	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	302	49¢	$148	0x6f8063…
10-16 14:35:21	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	181	48¢	$87	0x8511b4…
10-16 12:41:27	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xc048f1…
10-16 12:40:58	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x16bd56…
10-16 12:39:51	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x49a31d…
10-16 07:49:12	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x774c4d…
10-16 07:49:12	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x24de0b…
10-16 07:49:12	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x112302…
10-16 07:41:09	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd8b978…
10-16 07:41:09	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x774e9f…
10-16 07:41:09	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x0deccc…
10-16 07:28:52	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x2a86fa…
10-16 06:47:04	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa106d4…
10-16 06:40:42	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x40812f…
10-16 06:28:18	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x8fa739…
10-16 05:47:51	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x721728…
10-16 05:03:58	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9b951e…
10-16 04:52:39	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x348577…
10-16 04:49:52	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,801	46¢	$828	0xbccdc5…
10-15 23:24:49	Santa Cruz 2: Nicolas Kicker vs Facundo Mena	Facundo Mena	BUY	3,562	65¢	$2,316	0x72835d…