French-Alarm-Alb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.15K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

Trades

266

lifetime

Volume

$7.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-11 09:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 39% $-1,050

Politics

2% 0% $-97

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 260 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	9	$809	673	673	+0	Up	+$370	05-09 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$649	617	617	+0	Down	+$49	05-09 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	16	$481	415	415	+0	Down	+$151	05-09 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	5	$469	418	418	+0	Up	+$19	05-09 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	6	$433	1,627	1,627	+0	Up	$-267	05-09 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$383	612	612	+0	Down	$-28	05-09 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$300	559	0	+559	Down	+$259	05-09 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	9	$297	486	119	+367	Down	$-213	05-09 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	20	$288	1,771	576	+1,195	Up	$-172	05-09 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	11	$273	2,250	0	+2,250	Up	$-273	05-09 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	5	$255	269	269	+0	Up	+$55	05-09 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	9	$252	458	361	+98	Up	$-88	05-09 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	5	$192	307	0	+307	Up	$-192	05-09 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	7	$175	1,006	0	+1,006	Up	$-175	05-09 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	6	$173	244	100	+144	Down	+$67	05-09 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	7	$169	899	132	+767	Up	$-11	05-09 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	5	$164	428	428	+0	Up	$-36	05-09 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	24	$160	1,092	0	+1,092	Down	$-160	05-09 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	6	$150	284	0	+284	Down	+$134	05-09 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	5	$133	133	133	+0	Up	+$13	05-09 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	13	$122	344	344	+0	Up	$-28	05-09 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	4	$107	218	218	+0	Down	+$7	05-09 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	8	$103	790	790	+0	Down	$-87	05-09 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$102	119	119	+0	Down	+$52	05-09 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	4	$100	161	0	+161	Up	+$61	05-09 09:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	3	$87	555	0	+555	Yes	$-87	05-09 11:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	5	$82	82,000	0	+82,000	Yes	$-82	05-09 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	12	$80	1,110	0	+1,110	Down	$-80	05-09 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$74	66	66	+0	Down	+$14	05-09 08:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	2	$70	8,724	0	+8,724	Yes	$-70	05-09 11:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 09:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xbcb38c…
05-11 09:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x69ebb6…
05-11 09:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0x016816…
05-11 09:00:24	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	714	1¢	$5	0xe31a83…
05-11 09:00:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	769	2¢	$15	0x176e59…
05-11 08:59:54	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	408	5¢	$22	0x5cbc30…
05-09 12:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x2d3532…
05-09 12:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x55ef97…
05-09 12:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x39ac4c…
05-09 12:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x3dabf5…
05-09 12:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x7b9a34…
05-09 12:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	186	63¢	$118	0x125532…
05-09 12:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x5972e9…
05-09 12:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	232	54¢	$126	0x0e05a8…
05-09 12:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xcb4ec0…
05-09 12:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x92fd97…
05-09 12:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	612	29¢	$177	0xebddd2…
05-09 12:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	23¢	$5	0xa54fd3…
05-09 12:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	446	22¢	$100	0x89c8af…
05-09 12:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xc404e6…
05-09 12:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1,627	5¢	$83	0xcf7f53…
05-09 12:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	613	16¢	$100	0x89ca54…
05-09 12:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	483	21¢	$100	0x2e3732…
05-09 12:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xe746c4…
05-09 12:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xc5472e…
05-09 12:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	326	31¢	$100	0xf89794…
05-09 11:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x075d4c…
05-09 11:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x7ae6a5…
05-09 11:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x9eb03c…
05-09 11:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xeb665f…
05-09 11:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xa722ab…
05-09 11:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x4c39b1…
05-09 11:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	119	35¢	$42	0x6eb398…
05-09 11:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	59	42¢	$25	0x00551b…
05-09 11:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	59	42¢	$25	0x6c82f8…
05-09 11:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	428	15¢	$64	0xa0338d…
05-09 11:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x838966…
05-09 11:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x228478…
05-09 11:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	87	29¢	$25	0x0e1f1c…
05-09 11:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	117	21¢	$25	0xdc6c0a…
05-09 11:49:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x02236c…
05-09 11:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	269	58¢	$155	0xc6271b…
05-09 11:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xecdf70…
05-09 11:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xdd8ecf…
05-09 11:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x855fe0…
05-09 11:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x616a8c…
05-09 11:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	119	65¢	$77	0x625cef…
05-09 11:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0xa60e92…
05-09 11:35:00	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	769	3¢	$20	0xcffc3d…
05-09 11:34:50	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	408	5¢	$20	0x764298…
05-09 11:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	71	46¢	$33	0x3b5f13…
05-09 11:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x3f46b0…
05-09 11:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	133	55¢	$73	0x0757e3…
05-09 11:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc717c6…
05-09 11:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x6022ab…
05-09 11:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xb7a07f…
05-09 11:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x459107…
05-09 11:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	673	88¢	$589	0x2b0320…
05-09 11:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	259	33¢	$84	0x18880f…
05-09 11:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	97	26¢	$25	0x6a4e71…
05-09 11:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xecd517…
05-09 11:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xc5f70f…
05-09 11:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x9f9001…
05-09 11:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xa6a51e…
05-09 11:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf21c05…
05-09 11:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3945fb…
05-09 11:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xc73d22…
05-09 11:10:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	4,616	1¢	$25	0x3c8238…
05-09 11:10:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	276	17¢	$47	0x6ae9dc…
05-09 11:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	52	51¢	$26	0xb8b324…
05-09 11:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xb2872a…
05-09 11:01:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	5,075	1¢	$50	0x33054b…
05-09 11:01:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x4f5b5f…
05-09 11:00:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	4,045	1¢	$30	0x316126…
05-09 11:00:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	26,553	0¢	$40	0xe2a59f…
05-09 10:59:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	3,649	1¢	$20	0x10b657…
05-09 10:59:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	6,766	0¢	$20	0xf89370…
05-09 10:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	170	17¢	$29	0xca7b3b…
05-09 10:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	170	15¢	$25	0x500799…
05-09 10:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	47	60¢	$28	0xd7aeed…
05-09 10:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x38e9b6…
05-09 10:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x549c2e…
05-09 10:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x5a0f53…
05-09 10:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	338	23¢	$76	0x4e8b9b…
05-09 10:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0xc08949…
05-09 10:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x883e4c…
05-09 10:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xb85b88…
05-09 10:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x5b7a50…
05-09 10:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x6e1e47…
05-09 10:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5e9dbf…
05-09 10:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xae4ae2…
05-09 10:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	183	55¢	$100	0xbfb8f0…
05-09 10:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	187	54¢	$100	0x48bace…
05-09 10:46:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2ece50…
05-09 10:44:50	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0xefa061…
05-09 10:44:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x617494…
05-09 10:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	617	57¢	$349	0x5b25b5…
05-09 10:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x911cae…
05-09 10:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xfd597f…
05-09 10:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xe2b075…