Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.93K

Unrealized P&L

-$57

Hit rate

81.3%

Resolved

1,803

Trades

5,972

lifetime

Volume

$274.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-27

last 11-14 10:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 80% -$4,807

Other

2% 24% -$1,874

Politics

0% 0% -$152

Sports

0% 0% -$101

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 342 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes		+22	$58	5¢	$1	-$57	10-12 12:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	20	$2.4K	2,002	2,002	+0	Up	-$786	10-11 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	11	$2.1K	1,138	1,138	+0	Down	+$127	10-11 06:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1.9K	3,654	0	+3,654	Yes	-$1,900	09-03 10:10
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	8	$1.4K	716	716	+0	Up	-$23	10-11 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	10	$1.4K	739	739	+0	Up	+$80	10-11 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	11	$1.3K	721	721	+0	Up	+$89	10-11 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	12	$1.3K	1,522	1,365	+157	Down	-$763	09-03 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$1.3K	666	666	+0	Down	+$31	09-03 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	8	$1.2K	906	898	+8	Down	+$123	09-03 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	16	$1.1K	522	747	-225	Up	+$165	10-10 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	9	$1.1K	653	513	+140	Down	-$67	09-03 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	10	$1.1K	608	608	+0	Down	+$58	10-11 09:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:55 UTC	8	$1.0K	615	615	+0	Down	-$29	09-28 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	9	$925	658	658	+0	Down	-$25	11-11 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	13	$922	1,477	1,477	+0	Up	+$35	10-10 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	19	$911	486	486	+0	Up	+$11	08-29 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 10:55 UTC	7	$898	529	529	+0	Down	+$149	08-29 11:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 04:55 UTC	15	$894	514	514	+0	Down	+$124	08-28 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	7	$877	797	797	+0	Down	+$27	11-03 03:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 09:20 UTC	8	$841	445	445	+0	Down	+$41	08-26 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	17	$837	441	441	+0	Up	+$37	08-28 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	5	$826	430	430	+0	Up	+$26	10-11 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	19	$819	553	424	+129	Up	+$19	09-04 11:49
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	9	$819	574	540	+33	Up	-$165	10-09 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	5	$811	416	416	+0	Up	+$11	10-13 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 03:50 UTC	5	$810	414	414	+0	Up	+$10	08-26 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 03:05 UTC	15	$794	584	584	+0	Up	-$106	08-30 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	10	$794	460	460	+0	Up	+$24	10-09 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	23	$787	598	522	+76	Down	-$263	10-12 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	20	$747	430	430	+0	Up	+$87	11-03 02:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 11:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	55	83¢	$46	0x9fd0d1…
11-14 11:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x680735…
11-14 11:23:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x0f3f37…
11-14 11:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	63	99¢	$63	0xdc722e…
11-14 11:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x14cac9…
11-14 11:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x022e72…
11-14 11:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x2154df…
11-14 11:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0xd28c9d…
11-14 11:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x24248a…
11-14 11:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x2083f8…
11-14 11:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x32b53f…
11-14 11:03:38	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xa1202f…
11-14 11:03:35	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x6ce813…
11-14 11:03:35	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x1c4c1f…
11-14 11:03:35	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x0f6abc…
11-14 10:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	57	99¢	$57	0x6cd027…
11-14 10:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x2bf833…
11-14 10:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x092db1…
11-14 10:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0xfe12d9…
11-14 10:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x27d901…
11-14 10:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xe9eb69…
11-14 10:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xf9724d…
11-14 10:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x3dde43…
11-14 10:37:32	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xefd752…
11-14 10:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x696396…
11-14 10:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x902f1a…
11-14 10:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xd7335b…
11-14 10:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x55cbfa…
11-14 10:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	39	33¢	$13	0x23513c…
11-14 10:04:59	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xe3a13a…
11-14 10:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	90	99¢	$90	0xfc26dc…
11-14 10:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x9859ba…
11-14 10:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x65a5b3…
11-14 10:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x9e269d…
11-14 10:04:02	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x35ea76…
11-14 08:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xdcb40e…
11-14 08:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x1ad3ab…
11-14 08:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xfd49a8…
11-14 08:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe0cc54…
11-14 08:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xb1aef2…
11-14 08:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x67bf52…
11-14 08:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5eb89d…
11-14 08:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x037af5…
11-14 08:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xf34a2a…
11-14 08:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0xe0eb13…
11-14 08:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x8721c7…
11-14 08:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	35	30¢	$11	0x6c9f76…
11-14 08:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x3af307…
11-14 08:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x1debcd…
11-14 08:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x027150…
11-14 08:18:50	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x234baf…
11-14 08:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x3fd44a…
11-14 08:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x44861d…
11-14 08:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x309efb…
11-14 08:17:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x958608…
11-14 08:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xb420a4…
11-14 08:13:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x7e1ec0…
11-14 08:13:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x0efa58…
11-14 08:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	35	38¢	$13	0x1032c8…
11-14 08:13:14	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x53e8f1…
11-14 08:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe61f11…
11-14 08:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9c4d42…
11-14 08:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc729a4…
11-14 08:07:53	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1f84bc…
11-14 08:07:50	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8a8e35…
11-14 08:07:50	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x712405…
11-14 08:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6dfc7c…
11-14 08:03:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xd7b25a…
11-14 08:03:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x127575…
11-14 08:03:47	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x2eceea…
11-14 08:03:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xc6a03f…
11-14 08:03:44	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x1880d9…
11-14 08:03:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	77¢	$25	0xa6ba9d…
11-14 08:03:41	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x4199df…
11-14 07:54:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x27b271…
11-14 07:53:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xf22084…
11-14 07:53:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xadd9ef…
11-14 07:53:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x82d721…
11-14 07:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x66b148…
11-14 07:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x795a77…
11-14 07:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xd11533…
11-14 07:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x69b80d…
11-14 07:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xeafa90…
11-14 07:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xab529e…
11-14 07:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x01be69…
11-14 06:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0xc0e5d1…
11-14 06:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0x20e38c…
11-14 06:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xde3b82…
11-14 06:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xb98177…
11-14 06:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xb30cbd…
11-14 06:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x65dc79…
11-14 06:58:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x370b59…
11-14 06:58:23	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x6cfb86…
11-14 06:58:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xc70a59…
11-14 06:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xe097f1…
11-14 06:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x9bd8a6…
11-14 06:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x28d863…
11-14 06:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x4d9f2d…
11-14 06:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x314e17…
11-14 06:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xa75edc…