Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.67K

Unrealized P&L

-$56

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

1,742

Trades

5,775

lifetime

Volume

$266.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-27

last 11-11 22:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 80% -$4,541

Other

2% 24% -$1,874

Politics

0% 0% -$152

Sports

0% 0% -$101

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 342 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes		+22	$58	10¢	$2	-$56	10-12 12:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	20	$2.4K	2,002	2,002	+0	Up	-$786	10-11 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	11	$2.1K	1,138	1,138	+0	Down	+$127	10-11 06:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1.9K	3,654	0	+3,654	Yes	-$1,900	09-03 10:10
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	8	$1.4K	716	716	+0	Up	-$23	10-11 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	10	$1.4K	739	739	+0	Up	+$80	10-11 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	11	$1.3K	721	721	+0	Up	+$89	10-11 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	12	$1.3K	1,522	1,365	+157	Down	-$763	09-03 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$1.3K	666	666	+0	Down	+$31	09-03 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	8	$1.2K	906	898	+8	Down	+$123	09-03 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	16	$1.1K	522	747	-225	Up	+$165	10-10 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	9	$1.1K	653	513	+140	Down	-$67	09-03 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	10	$1.1K	608	608	+0	Down	+$58	10-11 09:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:55 UTC	8	$1.0K	615	615	+0	Down	-$29	09-28 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	9	$925	658	658	+0	Down	-$25	11-11 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	13	$922	1,477	1,477	+0	Up	+$35	10-10 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	19	$911	486	486	+0	Up	+$11	08-29 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 10:55 UTC	7	$898	529	529	+0	Down	+$149	08-29 11:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 04:55 UTC	15	$894	514	514	+0	Down	+$124	08-28 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	7	$877	797	797	+0	Down	+$27	11-03 03:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 09:20 UTC	8	$841	445	445	+0	Down	+$41	08-26 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	17	$837	441	441	+0	Up	+$37	08-28 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	5	$826	430	430	+0	Up	+$26	10-11 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	19	$819	553	424	+129	Up	+$19	09-04 11:49
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	9	$819	574	540	+33	Up	-$165	10-09 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	5	$811	416	416	+0	Up	+$11	10-13 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 03:50 UTC	5	$810	414	414	+0	Up	+$10	08-26 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 03:05 UTC	15	$794	584	584	+0	Up	-$106	08-30 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	10	$794	460	460	+0	Up	+$24	10-09 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	23	$787	598	522	+76	Down	-$263	10-12 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	20	$747	430	430	+0	Up	+$87	11-03 02:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 22:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	303	99¢	$300	0xe414e0…
11-11 22:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0x5e2b73…
11-11 22:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x513604…
11-11 22:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x1972e5…
11-11 22:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xa3cdf8…
11-11 22:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x7325e3…
11-11 22:48:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	259	4¢	$9	0x3f089a…
11-11 22:48:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x7aaafa…
11-11 22:48:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x8f2fd7…
11-11 22:47:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x1687fb…
11-11 22:47:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x78b348…
11-11 22:47:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xaed6a8…
11-11 22:47:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x7ecfa6…
11-11 22:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x5ab182…
11-11 22:47:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xa0bc48…
11-11 22:47:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xc9a3bb…
11-11 22:47:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xbfb749…
11-11 22:46:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	41	70¢	$29	0xa39a85…
11-11 22:46:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x648eed…
11-11 22:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x7a6d84…
11-11 22:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xecaa99…
11-11 22:37:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xa39b7f…
11-11 22:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x761edf…
11-11 22:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x1aeeb6…
11-11 22:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xdc74ef…
11-11 22:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xb1c176…
11-11 22:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x2872b3…
11-11 22:08:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xe5bc38…
11-11 22:08:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x72dfb1…
11-11 22:05:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	166	99¢	$165	0xa59c89…
11-11 22:03:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xfb961e…
11-11 22:03:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xd2ee9e…
11-11 22:03:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xcfbd51…
11-11 22:03:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xacecc5…
11-11 22:03:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x7de1bf…
11-11 22:03:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x7811da…
11-11 21:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	399	99¢	$395	0x980717…
11-11 21:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xf06ff8…
11-11 21:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xeacceb…
11-11 21:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	258	21¢	$55	0x7852e7…
11-11 21:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x472802…
11-11 21:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xe0a567…
11-11 21:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x3fe1d4…
11-11 21:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x138c15…
11-11 21:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x59f3bd…
11-11 21:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	366	99¢	$362	0x5cd033…
11-11 21:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x001693…
11-11 21:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xfc296f…
11-11 21:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xf92da9…
11-11 21:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xd84921…
11-11 21:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xcd9df9…
11-11 21:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x3d9e2f…
11-11 21:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xcd81b0…
11-11 21:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xcc7da1…
11-11 21:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x47032e…
11-11 21:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xeaaac6…
11-11 21:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xa613a3…
11-11 21:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x7e7a49…
11-11 21:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x2c9339…
11-11 21:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa33517…
11-11 21:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x95bde9…
11-11 21:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x8262dc…
11-11 21:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x3ac3d4…
11-11 21:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1e6206…
11-11 21:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	44	40¢	$18	0x133687…
11-11 21:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x0f07a4…
11-11 21:51:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xd54dbe…
11-11 21:51:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9efd46…
11-11 21:51:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5133ed…
11-11 21:51:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4e6ae7…
11-11 21:51:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x33b1b3…
11-11 21:51:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1c0510…
11-11 21:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	166	99¢	$164	0x9a3fe7…
11-11 21:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	307	99¢	$304	0x00ae88…
11-11 21:49:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xc1528d…
11-11 21:49:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2cf0d7…
11-11 21:49:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x473a4d…
11-11 21:49:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x786721…
11-11 21:49:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x6f4410…
11-11 21:49:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x1c3158…
11-11 21:48:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x3a00eb…
11-11 21:48:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x8a69c4…
11-11 21:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x77c452…
11-11 21:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xec95c4…
11-11 21:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x91c0b5…
11-11 21:47:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x1cf663…
11-11 21:47:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf02a01…
11-11 21:47:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xee7c76…
11-11 21:47:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x6b88c3…
11-11 21:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x37aeb1…
11-11 21:45:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xe8ff46…
11-11 21:45:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4eb758…
11-11 21:45:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2a39eb…
11-11 21:45:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x2312f3…
11-11 21:45:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1b35bf…
11-11 21:45:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x10d789…
11-11 21:45:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x007042…
11-11 21:45:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xf815f9…
11-11 21:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	106	97¢	$103	0xa44452…
11-11 21:37:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x1a83b6…