Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.16K

Unrealized P&L

-$56

Hit rate

82.2%

Resolved

1,721

Trades

5,576

lifetime

Volume

$256.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-27

last 11-11 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 81% -$4,031

Other

2% 24% -$1,874

Politics

0% 0% -$152

Sports

0% 0% -$101

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 342 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes		+22	$58	10¢	$2	-$56	10-12 12:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	20	$2.4K	2,002	2,002	+0	Up	-$786	10-11 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	11	$2.1K	1,138	1,138	+0	Down	+$127	10-11 06:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1.9K	3,654	0	+3,654	Yes	-$1,900	09-03 10:10
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	8	$1.4K	716	716	+0	Up	-$23	10-11 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	10	$1.4K	739	739	+0	Up	+$80	10-11 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	11	$1.3K	721	721	+0	Up	+$89	10-11 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	12	$1.3K	1,522	1,365	+157	Down	-$763	09-03 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$1.3K	666	666	+0	Down	+$31	09-03 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	8	$1.2K	906	898	+8	Down	+$123	09-03 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	16	$1.1K	522	747	-225	Up	+$165	10-10 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	9	$1.1K	653	513	+140	Down	-$67	09-03 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	10	$1.1K	608	608	+0	Down	+$58	10-11 09:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:55 UTC	8	$1.0K	615	615	+0	Down	-$29	09-28 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	13	$922	1,477	1,477	+0	Up	+$35	10-10 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	19	$911	486	486	+0	Up	+$11	08-29 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 10:55 UTC	7	$898	529	529	+0	Down	+$149	08-29 11:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 04:55 UTC	15	$894	514	514	+0	Down	+$124	08-28 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	7	$877	797	797	+0	Down	+$27	11-03 03:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 09:20 UTC	8	$841	445	445	+0	Down	+$41	08-26 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	17	$837	441	441	+0	Up	+$37	08-28 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	5	$826	430	430	+0	Up	+$26	10-11 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	19	$819	553	424	+129	Up	+$19	09-04 11:49
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	9	$819	574	540	+33	Up	-$165	10-09 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	5	$811	416	416	+0	Up	+$11	10-13 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 03:50 UTC	5	$810	414	414	+0	Up	+$10	08-26 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 03:05 UTC	15	$794	584	584	+0	Up	-$106	08-30 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	10	$794	460	460	+0	Up	+$24	10-09 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	23	$787	598	522	+76	Down	-$263	10-12 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	20	$747	430	430	+0	Up	+$87	11-03 02:29
Solana Up or Down - October 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	6	$712	366	366	+0	Down	+$12	10-10 06:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 14:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	183	99¢	$181	0xea4aaa…
11-11 14:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x52b171…
11-11 14:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x175bb0…
11-11 14:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xba21ff…
11-11 14:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x1ac53e…
11-11 14:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x00dc72…
11-11 14:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	178	99¢	$177	0x959d01…
11-11 14:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x8d9f96…
11-11 14:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x42ecd4…
11-11 14:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x3445cf…
11-11 14:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x118496…
11-11 14:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x564f76…
11-11 14:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xae0aee…
11-11 14:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	331	99¢	$328	0x7cac79…
11-11 14:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x4c8253…
11-11 14:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x362935…
11-11 14:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x1e1486…
11-11 14:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xbfaf9a…
11-11 14:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x717440…
11-11 14:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x0595e8…
11-11 14:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xf8db50…
11-11 14:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x5bd633…
11-11 14:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	86¢	$15	0xb77842…
11-11 14:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x7684cc…
11-11 14:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x583e19…
11-11 14:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x05c3c8…
11-11 14:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	137	99¢	$136	0xb34e75…
11-11 14:34:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	355	99¢	$352	0x126df6…
11-11 14:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x888d77…
11-11 14:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x7f33ed…
11-11 14:34:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xa1cf86…
11-11 14:34:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xf4b89e…
11-11 14:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xd3f519…
11-11 14:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	77¢	$25	0xe04875…
11-11 14:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x917655…
11-11 14:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x757861…
11-11 14:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0x91bdae…
11-11 14:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xcfd8f2…
11-11 14:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x64df22…
11-11 14:29:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x91a44f…
11-11 14:29:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x7e9300…
11-11 14:29:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xf719d9…
11-11 14:29:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x55c80c…
11-11 14:29:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x25747a…
11-11 14:29:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x02e974…
11-11 14:29:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xecab80…
11-11 14:23:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x2d10b0…
11-11 14:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x406a0c…
11-11 14:23:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xf48a41…
11-11 14:23:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xa09bee…
11-11 14:23:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xf8da11…
11-11 14:23:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x51b543…
11-11 14:23:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xd4a5d6…
11-11 14:23:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xd903ff…
11-11 14:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xbfdd8d…
11-11 14:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xd9918d…
11-11 14:19:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x0b075e…
11-11 14:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	151	99¢	$149	0x294761…
11-11 14:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x7bebce…
11-11 14:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xf6f637…
11-11 14:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x67d6f6…
11-11 14:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x1bef34…
11-11 14:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x74d6b6…
11-11 14:18:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xfef11f…
11-11 14:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	108	99¢	$106	0xe9ce4b…
11-11 14:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x45c74d…
11-11 14:00:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	217	99¢	$215	0x100e60…
11-11 13:59:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x0e6b2d…
11-11 13:59:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x606c2b…
11-11 13:59:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x801289…
11-11 13:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x8d49d6…
11-11 13:59:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x866315…
11-11 13:58:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x41009a…
11-11 13:25:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x9edea4…
11-11 13:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	260	99¢	$257	0x012c27…
11-11 13:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xef9861…
11-11 13:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x452ac6…
11-11 13:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x78b1e7…
11-11 13:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xffb852…
11-11 13:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x2a58d4…
11-11 13:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x1a8beb…
11-11 13:23:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xa827f2…
11-11 13:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xbed68c…
11-11 12:58:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x5a97ca…
11-11 12:56:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x4ffd11…
11-11 12:51:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x51f9f2…
11-11 12:50:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x6cd825…
11-11 12:46:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x52ae75…
11-11 12:41:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	79¢	$25	0x817c7a…
11-11 12:33:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0x055f3c…
11-11 12:32:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x3aaf26…
11-11 12:31:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x719b73…
11-11 12:28:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$30	0x454718…
11-11 12:26:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x270864…
11-11 12:23:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xba8ee1…
11-11 12:22:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xb8814b…
11-11 12:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	196	99¢	$194	0x35cd43…
11-11 12:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x91e19e…
11-11 12:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xe655c6…
11-11 12:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xfba0dc…