Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.87K

Unrealized P&L

-$57

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved

1,780

Trades

5,902

lifetime

Volume

$272.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-06-27

last 11-14 06:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 80% -$4,744

Other

2% 24% -$1,874

Politics

0% 0% -$152

Sports

0% 0% -$101

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 342 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes		+22	$58	4¢	$1	-$57	10-12 12:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	20	$2.4K	2,002	2,002	+0	Up	-$786	10-11 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	11	$2.1K	1,138	1,138	+0	Down	+$127	10-11 06:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1.9K	3,654	0	+3,654	Yes	-$1,900	09-03 10:10
Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	8	$1.4K	716	716	+0	Up	-$23	10-11 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	10	$1.4K	739	739	+0	Up	+$80	10-11 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	11	$1.3K	721	721	+0	Up	+$89	10-11 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	12	$1.3K	1,522	1,365	+157	Down	-$763	09-03 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$1.3K	666	666	+0	Down	+$31	09-03 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	8	$1.2K	906	898	+8	Down	+$123	09-03 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	16	$1.1K	522	747	-225	Up	+$165	10-10 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	9	$1.1K	653	513	+140	Down	-$67	09-03 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	10	$1.1K	608	608	+0	Down	+$58	10-11 09:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 02:55 UTC	8	$1.0K	615	615	+0	Down	-$29	09-28 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	9	$925	658	658	+0	Down	-$25	11-11 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	13	$922	1,477	1,477	+0	Up	+$35	10-10 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	19	$911	486	486	+0	Up	+$11	08-29 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 10:55 UTC	7	$898	529	529	+0	Down	+$149	08-29 11:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 04:55 UTC	15	$894	514	514	+0	Down	+$124	08-28 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	7	$877	797	797	+0	Down	+$27	11-03 03:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 09:20 UTC	8	$841	445	445	+0	Down	+$41	08-26 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	17	$837	441	441	+0	Up	+$37	08-28 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	5	$826	430	430	+0	Up	+$26	10-11 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	19	$819	553	424	+129	Up	+$19	09-04 11:49
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	9	$819	574	540	+33	Up	-$165	10-09 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	5	$811	416	416	+0	Up	+$11	10-13 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 03:50 UTC	5	$810	414	414	+0	Up	+$10	08-26 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 03:05 UTC	15	$794	584	584	+0	Up	-$106	08-30 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	10	$794	460	460	+0	Up	+$24	10-09 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	23	$787	598	522	+76	Down	-$263	10-12 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	20	$747	430	430	+0	Up	+$87	11-03 02:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 07:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x69b80d…
11-14 07:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xeafa90…
11-14 07:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xab529e…
11-14 07:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x01be69…
11-14 06:59:56	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0xc0e5d1…
11-14 06:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0x20e38c…
11-14 06:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xde3b82…
11-14 06:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xb98177…
11-14 06:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xb30cbd…
11-14 06:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x65dc79…
11-14 06:58:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x370b59…
11-14 06:58:23	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x6cfb86…
11-14 06:58:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xc70a59…
11-14 06:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xe097f1…
11-14 06:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x9bd8a6…
11-14 06:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x28d863…
11-14 06:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x4d9f2d…
11-14 06:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x314e17…
11-14 06:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xa75edc…
11-14 06:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x136acd…
11-14 06:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x7d68c9…
11-14 06:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	226	99¢	$224	0xeec9bd…
11-14 06:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0xdeab8f…
11-14 06:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x7c97b8…
11-14 06:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xf4f9c4…
11-14 06:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xad195c…
11-14 06:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xd6a863…
11-14 06:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x5c134f…
11-14 06:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xd68862…
11-14 06:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0x577f7c…
11-14 06:14:02	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0x3a3070…
11-14 06:13:44	Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x7fdc59…
11-14 06:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x8ce833…
11-14 05:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	108	92¢	$100	0xbdbaff…
11-14 05:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x2630b2…
11-14 05:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0x736247…
11-14 05:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xdd623b…
11-14 05:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x6911f8…
11-14 05:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xbe1844…
11-14 04:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x032419…
11-14 04:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x375123…
11-14 04:32:26	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xaa660e…
11-14 04:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xc72917…
11-14 04:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xb5297a…
11-14 04:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	117	99¢	$115	0xde889d…
11-14 04:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xebf19d…
11-14 04:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x95a87c…
11-14 04:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x09ace3…
11-14 04:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xa57e84…
11-14 04:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xfa4351…
11-14 04:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6be903…
11-14 04:12:59	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd7a5dc…
11-14 04:12:59	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x46f167…
11-14 03:52:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xd86442…
11-14 03:52:50	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7eb303…
11-14 03:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5092a9…
11-14 03:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x3d11c4…
11-14 03:44:11	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe3347a…
11-14 03:43:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x747cfc…
11-14 03:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xca0606…
11-14 03:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xaf7831…
11-14 03:28:50	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x772030…
11-14 03:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	126	34¢	$43	0xc5af21…
11-14 03:28:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x46ac60…
11-14 03:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	126	79¢	$100	0x0f7f5c…
11-14 03:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0xb1bab3…
11-14 03:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xa824a5…
11-14 03:24:14	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	497	20¢	$100	0x6d4f89…
11-14 03:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x51ed68…
11-14 03:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xeba925…
11-14 03:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x7a212b…
11-14 03:23:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0xaec8ef…
11-14 03:23:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	80	31¢	$25	0x0e4e26…
11-14 03:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x538616…
11-14 03:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x48d6e1…
11-14 03:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xfd3977…
11-14 03:14:50	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	330	99¢	$327	0xd6f41f…
11-14 03:13:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0xa1f139…
11-14 03:13:02	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x31a612…
11-14 03:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	216	99¢	$214	0xdb29a5…
11-14 03:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x8adfdf…
11-14 03:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x74e364…
11-14 03:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	311	32¢	$100	0x3b03f2…
11-14 03:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0xbc74c0…
11-14 02:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	138	99¢	$136	0xc1f9ec…
11-14 02:59:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	124	99¢	$123	0xf9cb6c…
11-14 02:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0x5b44dd…
11-14 02:58:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x78bf3b…
11-14 02:58:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x6fb755…
11-14 02:54:53	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	118	99¢	$116	0xe974ef…
11-14 02:54:41	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xff8e94…
11-14 02:53:56	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	98	26¢	$25	0x6e06ae…
11-14 02:45:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	119	99¢	$118	0x811fb2…
11-14 02:44:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xd5c13f…
11-14 02:44:26	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xa7b44d…
11-14 02:44:26	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x9f80d0…
11-14 02:44:26	Ethereum Up or Down - November 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x49427a…
11-14 02:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	128	99¢	$126	0x9f7d87…
11-14 02:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xfb130d…
11-14 02:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xdca254…