Incredible-Fax — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

416

lifetime

Volume

$106.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$255

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-08 04:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

58% 100% +$1

Other

22% 100% +$2

Crypto

20% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	56	$20.2K	10,250	10,250	+0	open	—	02-23 15:34
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	38	$15.1K	7,711	7,655	+56	open	—	02-24 12:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	35	$8.3K	3,757	4,680	-923	open	—	03-15 07:25
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	25	$6.7K	3,429	3,429	+0	open	—	02-26 07:23
will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	3	$4.6K	2,300	2,300	+0	open	—	02-21 08:42
bitcoin above 76k on march 11	7	$4.2K	2,870	1,326	+1,544	open	—	03-11 12:44
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	15	$3.6K	2,123	1,538	+585	open	—	03-16 02:34
lol al ig1 2026 03 03	12	$2.6K	1,352	1,352	+0	open	—	03-03 12:10
lol jdg al 2026 02 26	13	$2.6K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	02-26 12:33
spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	11	$2.4K	2,390	2,390	+0	open	—	02-22 08:24
bitcoin above 60k on february 20	3	$2.4K	2,390	0	+2,390	open	—	02-20 16:59
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	17	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	02-27 05:46
bitcoin above 58k on february 27	3	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	02-26 20:35
bitcoin above 58k on february 24	4	$2.0K	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	02-24 03:08
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	open	—	02-23 05:37
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	1	$1.5K	1,544	0	+1,544	open	—	03-06 08:55
bitcoin above 76k on march 7	1	$1.5K	1,544	0	+1,544	open	—	03-07 11:11
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	1	$1.5K	1,540	0	+1,540	open	—	03-09 14:47
bitcoin above 60k on march 4	27	$1.5K	1,540	0	+1,540	open	—	03-04 11:07
lol fox1 tsw 2026 03 18	2	$1.5K	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	03-18 15:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	1	$1.4K	1,420	0	+1,420	open	—	03-02 15:27
Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$1.4K	1,383	0	+1,383	open	—	02-28 14:45
lol t1 dk 2026 02 22	5	$1.3K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	02-22 11:25
lol wb blg 2026 02 27	8	$1.1K	706	706	+0	open	—	02-27 11:26
lol gen g2 2026 03 21 total games 3pt5	6	$1.1K	3,120	0	+3,120	open	—	03-21 15:28
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$1.0K	1,020	0	+1,020	open	—	03-16 02:44
bitcoin above 76k on march 10	4	$923	925	0	+925	open	—	03-10 13:28
lol ly jdg 2026 03 20	1	$920	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-20 18:17
ethereum above 1500 on march 1	3	$646	647	0	+647	open	—	03-01 16:59
lol tes we 2026 02 28	4	$629	700	0	+700	open	—	02-28 10:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 04:31:39	lol al blg 2026 06 08	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xbe71a6…
06-01 10:48:51	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	SELL	59	32¢	$19	0x4cf612…
06-01 03:52:11	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x11f7f3…
05-24 15:07:27	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	LGD Gaming	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x8da7b1…
05-24 12:44:23	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x26eea7…
05-24 10:05:55	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x3efe7b…
05-24 09:03:11	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner	EDward Gaming	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xa57944…
05-24 08:31:34	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner	EDward Gaming	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x4152f8…
05-24 08:30:40	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner	EDward Gaming	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0xb3a767…
05-24 08:30:40	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner	EDward Gaming	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x8147fb…
05-24 08:27:52	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Ninjas in Pyjamas	SELL	78	37¢	$29	0xbaeadb…
05-24 04:09:18	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	78	77¢	$60	0x00a0dd…
05-23 12:15:01	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Invictus Gaming	SELL	124	27¢	$34	0xd66138…
05-23 10:30:03	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Invictus Gaming	BUY	124	85¢	$105	0xd341b5…
05-15 11:02:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x42fe3e…
05-15 09:01:27	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xbc06f4…
05-11 09:14:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xfa1eb0…
05-09 01:06:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xa884f8…
05-05 08:42:26	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0x466c37…
05-05 08:41:30	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc06b6d…
05-05 08:41:12	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x877dbb…
04-30 06:52:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$129	0xd018af…
04-30 03:52:52	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1688f3…
04-24 06:12:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xb9fe60…
04-22 07:29:20	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x4cafd4…
04-15 14:01:38	bitcoin above 76k on april 15	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0xf452b1…
04-05 13:23:25	lol tes al 2026 04 05 game2	Anyone's Legend	BUY	32	68¢	$22	0x093862…
04-01 10:11:35	lol t1 kt 2026 04 01	T1	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x7e882c…
03-21 18:12:49	lol blg jdg 2026 03 21	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	300	92¢	$278	0xc09322…
03-21 15:28:49	lol gen g2 2026 03 21 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0xf2a11a…
03-21 14:09:23	lol gen g2 2026 03 21 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	182	97¢	$176	0x063f7c…
03-21 14:05:49	lol gen g2 2026 03 21 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	443	97¢	$428	0x5d7ff8…
03-21 14:05:31	lol gen g2 2026 03 21 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	294	97¢	$284	0x90dd90…
03-21 14:05:29	lol gen g2 2026 03 21 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0xed3258…
03-21 14:05:05	lol gen g2 2026 03 21 total games 3pt5	Over	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x3424fc…
03-20 18:17:51	lol ly jdg 2026 03 20	JD Gaming	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0x954f44…
03-19 14:48:43	lol gen ly 2026 03 19 game3	Gen.G	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0x51c6c8…
03-19 14:46:53	lol gen ly 2026 03 19 game3	Gen.G	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0xf89a1f…
03-18 15:54:27	lol fox1 tsw 2026 03 18	BNK FEARX	BUY	1,385	96¢	$1,330	0x7d5f7e…
03-18 15:53:13	lol fox1 tsw 2026 03 18	BNK FEARX	BUY	215	96¢	$206	0x9428a1…
03-17 13:16:49	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	Gen.G	BUY	245	88¢	$215	0x40b059…
03-17 13:16:49	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	Gen.G	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x09c0bf…
03-17 13:16:45	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	Gen.G	BUY	99	88¢	$87	0x4ec910…
03-17 13:16:45	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	Gen.G	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x4ab7ad…
03-17 13:16:43	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	Gen.G	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x57d50c…
03-17 13:16:41	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	Gen.G	BUY	55	88¢	$49	0xa99c50…
03-16 02:44:05	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x13e0b0…
03-16 02:43:53	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x16eb16…
03-16 02:43:43	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x665efe…
03-16 02:43:37	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,001	0x5abff5…
03-16 02:34:29	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0x7353c9…
03-16 02:34:27	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xf9c69e…
03-16 02:30:47	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0xc6964f…
03-16 02:27:37	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	1,110	100¢	$1,109	0x4c28b5…
03-16 02:27:23	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x196b33…
03-16 02:27:17	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa8adbc…
03-16 02:26:47	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd5e13d…
03-16 02:26:47	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc6e60e…
03-16 02:26:45	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0xc4cc58…
03-16 02:26:45	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc4731c…
03-16 02:26:45	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xb65bfa…
03-16 02:26:43	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x813d20…
03-16 02:23:53	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	469	100¢	$467	0x2c87f1…
03-16 02:15:31	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	659	99¢	$656	0xe1f4f1…
03-16 02:03:05	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	410	99¢	$407	0x109b0d…
03-15 07:25:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	1,580	100¢	$1,575	0x879d96…
03-14 13:23:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	1,580	99¢	$1,569	0xb7a24e…
03-14 10:25:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	1,312	100¢	$1,305	0xa162e7…
03-14 10:22:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	238	100¢	$237	0xd55a0f…
03-12 06:17:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	450	98¢	$439	0x92d97b…
03-12 06:17:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	177	98¢	$172	0x3abafb…
03-12 06:14:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	418	98¢	$409	0xc38f4b…
03-12 06:06:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0xba317b…
03-12 06:05:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x7f83a9…
03-12 06:01:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x17382f…
03-12 06:00:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x8e3ecc…
03-12 06:00:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x346aaa…
03-12 05:56:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xac9adf…
03-12 05:54:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	154	98¢	$150	0xb0dfb3…
03-12 05:54:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	132	98¢	$129	0x5129d1…
03-12 05:54:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xeb0d79…
03-12 05:53:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	85	98¢	$83	0xa27548…
03-12 05:36:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	160	98¢	$157	0x4c1b25…
03-12 05:31:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	138	98¢	$135	0xa43dad…
03-12 05:28:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xd52385…
03-12 05:28:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0x08a401…
03-12 05:25:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x96762c…
03-12 05:24:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	778	98¢	$759	0x42c61a…
03-12 05:23:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0xb5a583…
03-12 05:20:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xa1abf1…
03-12 05:18:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	154	98¢	$151	0xb124a1…
03-12 04:32:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x057e54…
03-12 04:31:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	78	97¢	$76	0xd04af2…
03-12 04:30:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	171	98¢	$167	0x232add…
03-12 04:19:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x9a34b7…
03-12 04:17:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	164	98¢	$160	0x022358…
03-12 04:15:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x591357…
03-12 04:08:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xb168e7…
03-12 04:06:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x60a518…
03-12 04:05:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xbe1245…