Flat-Replica — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$130

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

410

Trades

1,093

lifetime

Volume

$16.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-18 20:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 50% -$93

Other

11% 43% -$35

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 09:35 UTC	8	$413	0	828	-828	Up	-$1	06-07 09:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 09:25 UTC	4	$274	0	508	-508	Up	+$20	06-07 09:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 09:40 UTC	5	$265	0	474	-474	Down	-$20	06-07 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	6	$263	83	469	-386	Up	+$16	05-28 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 03:00 UTC	5	$259	0	488	-488	Down	+$15	06-07 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	5	$242	28	359	-331	Down	-$7	06-01 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	7	$240	87	370	-283	Up	-$14	05-07 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	4	$228	0	414	-414	Down	+$21	05-28 01:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 07:50 UTC	5	$226	0	428	-428	Up	+$12	06-07 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	8	$222	100	390	-290	Down	+$25	05-28 01:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 08:10 UTC	5	$202	38	408	-370	Down	+$7	06-08 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	12	$189	158	510	-352	Down	-$9	05-28 22:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 03:15 UTC	2	$167	0	290	-290	Up	+$22	06-07 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	9	$160	0	300	-300	Down	+$10	06-01 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	6	$158	0	278	-278	Up	+$19	06-01 02:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 09:05 UTC	3	$150	0	247	-247	Down	-$14	06-09 09:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 03:10 UTC	2	$149	0	266	-266	Up	+$16	06-07 03:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 03:05 UTC	3	$148	41	262	-221	Up	+$7	06-07 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$147	0	210	-210	Down	+$4	05-27 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$144	74	128	-54	Down	+$12	05-28 22:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 09:10 UTC	5	$140	11	213	-202	Up	-$6	06-09 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 00:55 UTC	8	$134	12	252	-240	Down	+$4	06-07 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	5	$132	45	267	-222	Up	+$11	05-28 00:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$130	11	211	-200	Down	+$28	05-07 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	5	$130	45	257	-212	Down	+$4	05-27 23:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 09:15 UTC	2	$128	0	228	-228	Down	+$14	06-07 09:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 02:50 UTC	2	$125	0	204	-204	Up	+$23	06-07 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	5	$124	34	144	-110	Down	+$65	05-07 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	5	$124	25	194	-169	Up	-$8	06-01 00:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 02:55 UTC	1	$121	0	122	-122	Down	-$1	06-07 03:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 20:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x490c6c…
08-04 23:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x3845b4…
07-07 18:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x101697…
07-07 18:17:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x574224…
07-07 18:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x9f78e2…
07-07 18:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C or higher on July 8?	Yes	BUY	95	1¢	$1	0xa41aa2…
07-06 11:47:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf98ed6…
07-06 11:47:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xc783a3…
07-06 11:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C or higher on July 7?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xec7b8a…
07-06 01:23:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x9d3ec3…
07-06 01:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xad0167…
07-06 01:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x717c91…
07-05 09:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x511546…
07-05 05:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0xccbb6a…
07-05 04:36:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xbb4839…
07-05 04:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 5?	Yes	SELL	15	85¢	$12	0x2f2f15…
07-05 00:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0dc9a1…
07-05 00:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xc7838a…
07-05 00:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xbd6e6e…
07-05 00:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x42a6bd…
07-05 00:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x2b1f48…
07-05 00:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xf0d455…
07-05 00:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x8b1a9a…
07-05 00:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xc7ccfa…
07-04 05:21:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x0ef676…
07-04 05:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xdbe626…
07-04 05:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x11dc5f…
07-04 05:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xa54984…
07-02 01:27:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x550b78…
07-02 01:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xec691b…
07-01 10:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?	Yes	SELL	26	85¢	$22	0x98d052…
07-01 05:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or below on July 1?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x25553c…
07-01 05:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x7c0e28…
07-01 05:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x202140…
07-01 05:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 1?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xebd148…
06-30 20:53:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 30?	Yes	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0x56d76f…
06-30 20:53:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x1878db…
06-30 20:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 30?	Yes	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0xd37312…
06-30 18:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x11ebb2…
06-30 18:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0xf05881…
06-30 16:23:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x248e85…
06-30 16:22:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x719e02…
06-30 16:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xf4797f…
06-30 04:30:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	SELL	29	85¢	$24	0xe3afa6…
06-30 03:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x5f612c…
06-29 20:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x1d35ca…
06-29 20:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x845976…
06-29 20:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x579d99…
06-29 20:44:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xdc31a6…
06-29 12:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	22	85¢	$18	0x70baa7…
06-29 06:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	29	80¢	$24	0x9e3434…
06-29 04:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x112b26…
06-29 04:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x46efe6…
06-28 23:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x597172…
06-28 10:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x962198…
06-28 10:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xda6818…
06-28 10:21:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x7c042e…
06-28 10:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 29?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x6aca4f…
06-28 10:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xf2600f…
06-28 02:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xe8f9fc…
06-28 02:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xdcf65f…
06-28 02:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb8b2a2…
06-27 21:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x1ae321…
06-27 21:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x686532…
06-27 21:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x9bd538…
06-27 17:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 27?	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x3d66da…
06-27 17:47:14	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 27?	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xeaf6e5…
06-27 17:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 27?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x3652ed…
06-27 17:07:29	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 27?	Yes	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xecb910…
06-27 17:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 27?	Yes	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0xb1607b…
06-27 14:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x2d2d5a…
06-27 14:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	23	85¢	$20	0xcfe00c…
06-27 13:52:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0x49f535…
06-27 11:22:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 27?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xec113f…
06-27 09:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc29ad3…
06-27 09:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xa66eb4…
06-27 09:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x56b2ad…
06-27 09:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3f9508…
06-27 09:43:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xcaea56…
06-26 21:39:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xd48ab4…
06-26 21:38:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 27?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x49d5bf…
06-26 18:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	22	85¢	$18	0xffa836…
06-26 12:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x02bf3f…
06-26 12:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	28	80¢	$23	0xa13c21…
06-26 04:56:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	SELL	24	87¢	$21	0x8f7a89…
06-25 19:49:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x18a34a…
06-25 19:48:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x8fbba1…
06-25 19:45:56	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x753473…
06-25 19:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x14066a…
06-25 18:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0x812a18…
06-25 11:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x486530…
06-25 11:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0dcaaf…
06-25 05:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0xce26b4…
06-25 04:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?	Yes	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0x50bc1d…
06-24 23:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xbb4530…
06-24 23:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x2ca2ac…
06-24 21:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 24?	Yes	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0xd108d1…
06-24 21:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 24?	Yes	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0x817ca0…
06-24 21:55:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 24?	Yes	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x5c5be7…
06-24 05:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 24?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x3a8a99…