Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$144

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.6%

Resolved

Trades

58,891

lifetime

Volume

$3.11M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-21 03:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

63% 100% +$175

Other

35% 14% $-30

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 828 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1,650	$94.8K	95,165	92,972	+2,193	open	—	01-14 09:59
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1,500	$94.0K	96,353	90,995	+5,358	open	—	01-31 15:55
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1,401	$79.6K	79,228	76,986	+2,242	open	—	01-14 07:20
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	908	$78.3K	57,607	55,647	+1,960	open	—	02-01 03:07
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	747	$66.1K	52,332	48,982	+3,350	open	—	01-28 14:22
another us government shutdown by february 14	977	$53.6K	54,650	50,201	+4,449	open	—	02-14 04:20
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	675	$50.1K	52,119	41,308	+10,811	open	—	03-23 04:44
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	482	$49.6K	53,580	45,479	+8,101	open	—	03-09 01:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	651	$47.2K	51,129	43,339	+7,791	open	—	03-01 01:10
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	340	$46.0K	41,856	36,792	+5,063	open	—	04-01 06:30
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	490	$42.7K	44,269	38,572	+5,698	open	—	02-28 07:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	321	$42.0K	44,325	44,208	+116	open	—	04-05 14:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	239	$38.1K	32,890	30,600	+2,290	open	—	04-07 23:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	421	$37.6K	39,171	37,994	+1,177	open	—	04-08 00:57
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	456	$35.8K	33,378	30,482	+2,896	open	—	04-07 23:17
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	585	$31.7K	35,686	30,648	+5,038	open	—	02-28 22:47
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	208	$30.6K	26,784	24,312	+2,473	open	—	04-16 01:08
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	373	$28.9K	32,329	23,248	+9,081	open	—	03-05 01:52
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	298	$28.5K	31,869	27,192	+4,677	open	—	03-08 21:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	497	$26.2K	25,749	22,843	+2,907	open	—	04-19 04:05
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	188	$25.4K	27,082	25,068	+2,014	open	—	04-05 03:31
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	231	$23.6K	24,956	21,916	+3,040	open	—	04-19 05:45
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	180	$23.4K	23,797	22,404	+1,394	open	—	04-01 01:40
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	329	$23.3K	22,769	19,806	+2,963	open	—	04-19 06:52
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	358	$22.8K	22,541	20,704	+1,837	open	—	04-19 03:10
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	205	$22.4K	21,078	17,149	+3,929	open	—	02-28 07:11
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	290	$21.9K	21,729	18,640	+3,089	open	—	01-22 23:10
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	187	$21.8K	20,986	17,398	+3,588	open	—	04-01 03:49
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	369	$20.7K	22,825	20,064	+2,761	open	—	02-28 07:29
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	186	$20.2K	25,578	22,434	+3,144	open	—	03-22 01:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 03:25:05	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0x71024d…
06-21 03:25:04	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	177	89¢	$158	0xc2df8b…
04-27 23:19:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	412	25¢	$103	0x94985f…
04-22 08:58:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	422	66¢	$279	0x7085cc…
04-20 11:26:10	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0xf005d6…
04-20 11:26:04	Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?	No	SELL	32	72¢	$23	0x823f94…
04-20 11:26:00	Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x21deae…
04-20 11:24:30	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x987705…
04-20 11:23:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x5de446…
04-20 11:22:40	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x2d9c25…
04-20 11:22:36	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x8de663…
04-20 11:22:06	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	1	63¢	$0	0xb519c8…
04-20 07:59:24	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x4713c3…
04-19 22:27:36	internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	No	SELL	78	89¢	$69	0xd36a1f…
04-19 20:46:24	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x0ce8ce…
04-19 20:20:48	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x959328…
04-19 20:05:46	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	263	91¢	$239	0xfddc33…
04-19 18:18:54	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	No	SELL	66	97¢	$64	0xd66a82…
04-19 18:10:34	Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	190	27¢	$51	0x779892…
04-19 18:05:50	internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	No	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0xb76835…
04-19 17:36:08	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0xc527d0…
04-19 17:36:02	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	250	90¢	$226	0x584633…
04-19 16:55:24	internet access restored in iran by april 30 2026	No	SELL	12	88¢	$10	0xfa26e7…
04-19 16:06:18	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	30	91¢	$28	0x2c107b…
04-19 15:59:14	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	82	9¢	$7	0xabd86d…
04-19 15:36:24	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x8eca48…
04-19 15:09:50	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xc80acc…
04-19 15:07:24	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	29	92¢	$26	0x1e0b40…
04-19 14:54:14	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	193	86¢	$166	0xa40da2…
04-19 13:25:04	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xa889c0…
04-19 12:21:20	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$195	0xbdfbce…
04-19 12:04:48	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	87¢	$6	0x9a330b…
04-19 11:33:06	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	182	88¢	$160	0xb4e423…
04-19 11:18:26	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	200	78¢	$156	0xcfa44c…
04-19 11:00:16	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0x857e90…
04-19 10:47:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	47	57¢	$27	0xb08d40…
04-19 10:46:58	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0xe57ae3…
04-19 10:46:38	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	44	91¢	$40	0xf186b8…
04-19 10:38:56	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	61	2¢	$1	0xf334df…
04-19 10:05:20	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	368	80¢	$294	0x3c8853…
04-19 10:00:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	46	7¢	$3	0x7eca19…
04-19 09:39:50	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	No	SELL	27	87¢	$23	0x5d6a33…
04-19 09:28:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	38	69¢	$26	0xcc7487…
04-19 08:34:16	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	87	90¢	$79	0xb270e6…
04-19 07:27:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	292	93¢	$272	0xb35ba4…
04-19 07:27:42	GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0x1409a6…
04-19 06:52:36	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	189	76¢	$143	0xf3b6e3…
04-19 06:48:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	90	19¢	$17	0x8205ff…
04-19 06:47:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x139d50…
04-19 06:35:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	82	62¢	$51	0x792133…
04-19 06:31:00	gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	No	SELL	180	19¢	$34	0x4c29f0…
04-19 06:26:10	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	No	SELL	243	83¢	$202	0x142647…
04-19 06:22:08	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x9645fb…
04-19 06:18:22	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	SELL	98	95¢	$93	0x7af1b1…
04-19 06:16:26	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	23	16¢	$4	0x1d1a5a…
04-19 06:14:58	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x3fa8f0…
04-19 06:13:00	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x64848b…
04-19 06:08:54	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	88	89¢	$78	0x8e9511…
04-19 06:05:22	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x59249d…
04-19 05:58:30	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	112	91¢	$102	0xf616d2…
04-19 05:51:40	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xa76496…
04-19 05:50:52	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	SELL	43	87¢	$37	0x4f1f3b…
04-19 05:48:20	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x8a8baf…
04-19 05:48:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	173	95¢	$165	0xa73c1b…
04-19 05:47:20	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0xea72eb…
04-19 05:45:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	41	60¢	$25	0x3cb061…
04-19 05:40:24	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x30e3f0…
04-19 05:40:20	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	44	60¢	$27	0x477155…
04-19 05:34:36	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	200	91¢	$181	0x344a67…
04-19 05:28:22	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	SELL	336	25¢	$83	0x698035…
04-19 05:27:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	18	27¢	$5	0x64f486…
04-19 05:15:34	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	6¢	$4	0xfaf53a…
04-19 05:14:06	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	79	72¢	$57	0x215691…
04-19 05:07:26	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	199	79¢	$157	0x4b3d7f…
04-19 04:52:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x02677a…
04-19 04:52:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	105	70¢	$73	0x29cd72…
04-19 04:51:20	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0xd57467…
04-19 04:49:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	156	61¢	$95	0x56a00f…
04-19 04:47:14	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	39	38¢	$15	0x10b1fc…
04-19 04:43:00	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	81	38¢	$31	0x10203b…
04-19 04:42:52	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0x7fee86…
04-19 04:37:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xe96fc3…
04-19 04:35:18	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x7bb9fd…
04-19 04:26:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	118	63¢	$74	0x932b84…
04-19 04:26:12	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xb6b7e0…
04-19 04:24:56	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	126	96¢	$121	0x6ecf53…
04-19 04:24:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0xdb196c…
04-19 04:18:20	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	11	70¢	$7	0x01d43f…
04-19 04:14:56	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	388	13¢	$51	0x9d23a8…
04-19 04:13:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	74	96¢	$71	0x266eb9…
04-19 04:10:34	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	36	68¢	$25	0x7a9fd3…
04-19 04:08:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0xb0f840…
04-19 04:08:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	SELL	48	91¢	$44	0x293192…
04-19 04:08:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xf39447…
04-19 04:07:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	No	SELL	37	91¢	$34	0x778c83…
04-19 04:05:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	116	22¢	$26	0x93ce2f…
04-19 04:02:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	42¢	$16	0xdb5b59…
04-19 03:58:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	294	62¢	$182	0xfea6c4…
04-19 03:55:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x5ecad9…
04-19 03:51:48	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	No	SELL	190	80¢	$152	0xdbbad3…