Realized P&L
-$19.9K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
37.2%
Resolved
1,349
Trades
58,892
lifetime
Volume
$3.11M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-21 03:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 110 days
Categories
Politics
63%
41%
-$14,220
Other
35%
39%
-$5,455
Sports
1%
54%
+$253
Tech
1%
48%
-$404
Crypto
0%
75%
-$18
Pop-Culture
0%
43%
-$84
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-21).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 1,650 | $94.8K | 95,165 | 92,972 | +2,193 | No | -$26 | 01-14 09:59 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 1,500 | $94.0K | 96,353 | 90,995 | +5,358 | Yes | -$301 | 01-31 15:55 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 1,401 | $79.6K | 79,228 | 76,986 | +2,242 | Yes | +$27 | 01-14 07:20 |
| israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453 | 908 | $78.3K | 57,607 | 55,647 | +1,960 | No | +$144 | 02-01 03:07 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 747 | $66.1K | 52,332 | 48,982 | +3,350 | No | +$297 | 01-28 14:22 |
| another us government shutdown by february 14 | 977 | $53.6K | 54,650 | 50,201 | +4,449 | No | -$67 | 02-14 04:20 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 675 | $50.1K | 52,119 | 41,308 | +10,811 | No | -$2 | 03-23 04:44 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 482 | $49.6K | 53,580 | 45,479 | +8,101 | Yes | -$678 | 03-09 01:15 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 651 | $47.2K | 51,129 | 43,339 | +7,791 | Yes | -$97 | 03-01 01:10 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 340 | $46.0K | 41,856 | 36,792 | +5,063 | No | -$212 | 04-01 06:30 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 490 | $42.7K | 44,269 | 38,572 | +5,698 | Yes | +$138 | 02-28 07:15 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 321 | $42.0K | 44,325 | 44,208 | +116 | Yes | -$271 | 04-05 14:10 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 239 | $38.1K | 32,890 | 30,600 | +2,290 | Yes | -$232 | 04-07 23:18 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 421 | $37.6K | 39,171 | 37,994 | +1,177 | Yes | -$106 | 04-08 00:57 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 456 | $35.8K | 33,378 | 30,482 | +2,896 | Yes | +$98 | 04-07 23:17 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | 585 | $31.7K | 35,686 | 30,648 | +5,038 | Yes | -$346 | 02-28 22:47 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677 | 208 | $30.6K | 26,784 | 24,312 | +2,473 | No | -$347 | 04-16 01:08 |
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 373 | $28.9K | 32,329 | 23,248 | +9,081 | Yes | -$17 | 03-05 01:52 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | 298 | $28.5K | 31,869 | 27,192 | +4,677 | Yes | -$824 | 03-08 21:11 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 497 | $26.2K | 25,749 | 22,843 | +2,907 | No | -$86 | 04-19 04:05 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 188 | $25.4K | 27,082 | 25,068 | +2,014 | Yes | +$65 | 04-05 03:31 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | 231 | $23.6K | 24,956 | 21,916 | +3,040 | No | -$266 | 04-19 05:45 |
| trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st | 180 | $23.4K | 23,797 | 22,404 | +1,394 | No | +$130 | 04-01 01:40 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 329 | $23.3K | 22,769 | 19,806 | +2,963 | Yes | -$127 | 04-19 06:52 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 358 | $22.8K | 22,541 | 20,704 | +1,837 | Yes | -$104 | 04-19 03:10 |
| us strikes iran by february 27 2026 | 205 | $22.4K | 21,078 | 17,149 | +3,929 | No | +$164 | 02-28 07:11 |
| will the iranian regime fall by january 31 | 290 | $21.9K | 21,729 | 18,640 | +3,089 | No | +$47 | 01-22 23:10 |
| will another country strike iran by march 31 833 | 187 | $21.8K | 20,986 | 17,398 | +3,588 | No | -$276 | 04-01 03:49 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | 369 | $20.7K | 22,825 | 20,064 | +2,761 | Yes | -$161 | 02-28 07:29 |
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 186 | $20.2K | 25,578 | 22,434 | +3,144 | Yes | -$151 | 03-22 01:38 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||