Flaky-Twins — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

120

Trades

141

lifetime

Volume

$1.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-04 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 97% -$29

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$28	28	+28	Up	+$0	05-28 01:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$28	28	+28	Up	+$0	05-27 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$28	28	+28	Up	+$0	05-28 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$28	28	+28	Up	+$0	05-29 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$28	28	+28	Up	+$0	05-26 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$28	28	+28	Up	+$0	05-26 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$27	28	+28	Up	+$1	06-02 00:54
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$27	28	+28	Up	+$1	06-02 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-07 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-11 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-25 06:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-23 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-07 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-10 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-06 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-04 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-08 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-05 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-23 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-09 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-04 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-06 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-05 03:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-22 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-06 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	-$20	05-05 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-25 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Up	+$0	05-07 02:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-22 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-07 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 14:24:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xe3d0a0…
06-04 14:14:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xcbc78d…
06-04 14:04:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x79fa84…
06-04 13:24:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x891064…
06-04 11:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf6e91a…
06-04 11:24:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2a7c0d…
06-04 09:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xff8098…
06-04 09:14:39	Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5f85f1…
06-04 05:39:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc1c93d…
06-04 03:39:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc0c431…
06-04 02:44:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa961b1…
06-04 02:19:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x1fdace…
06-04 01:39:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x886322…
06-04 01:29:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x125ffb…
06-04 01:04:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x4a7336…
06-04 00:59:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:55 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc5c81d…
06-03 23:19:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x9bde87…
06-03 22:24:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x6b3f87…
06-03 21:39:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x4029bb…
06-03 17:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xb65318…
06-03 16:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x63c305…
06-03 16:34:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x313b6a…
06-03 14:49:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3c63fb…
06-03 13:49:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x271f7b…
06-03 09:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x0d75cd…
06-03 04:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xe4aafa…
06-03 04:09:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x975582…
06-03 03:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xbe561e…
06-03 03:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x57ce40…
06-03 00:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf55574…
06-03 00:09:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x817582…
06-02 23:34:38	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x70c530…
06-02 23:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x99e83a…
06-02 23:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xe4f352…
06-02 22:29:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x126632…
06-02 21:04:42	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1e8cc9…
06-02 16:39:46	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x926b83…
06-02 16:39:41	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0xa97a0a…
06-02 15:49:59	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb51816…
06-02 15:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x8adddc…
06-02 15:39:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0cf011…
06-02 15:39:38	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xf3f668…
06-02 00:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x69e9de…
06-02 00:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x05953c…
06-01 13:59:47	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x56340e…
05-29 00:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf74aa8…
05-29 00:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x353607…
05-28 04:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x2c841b…
05-28 04:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x429602…
05-28 04:04:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5fe66f…
05-28 01:34:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa0c166…
05-28 01:34:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1c9433…
05-27 22:19:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1119df…
05-27 22:19:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x561b38…
05-26 15:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x01ed11…
05-26 15:29:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf3f931…
05-26 14:44:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x95e549…
05-26 14:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xb23816…
05-26 14:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7ea599…
05-26 02:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x80d032…
05-26 02:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x756f85…
05-25 07:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaa8ed5…
05-25 07:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x28f517…
05-25 06:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xafa13a…
05-25 06:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0dc547…
05-25 04:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd69d2d…
05-25 04:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0bd4ad…
05-24 21:59:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xc617c6…
05-24 21:59:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x65b5a6…
05-24 13:29:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf7b14e…
05-24 13:29:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x8cb805…
05-23 21:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x46a1c7…
05-23 21:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x36218b…
05-23 21:34:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7997f2…
05-23 21:34:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x790e25…
05-23 20:54:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf2d8bb…
05-23 20:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc39bcd…
05-23 20:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x62916b…
05-23 20:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x32af5d…
05-22 20:34:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6a270d…
05-22 20:34:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x48eea3…
05-22 19:44:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd3ce48…
05-22 19:44:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x06b5fc…
05-22 01:20:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc67e9e…
05-21 14:14:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x38fbb8…
05-21 14:14:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x2c383a…
05-20 21:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8e7b4a…
05-20 14:09:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x19149b…
05-19 14:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbcdc83…
05-19 14:19:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeefd7c…
05-19 14:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xacfa3c…
05-19 13:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9a7ec2…
05-19 05:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0795d8…
05-19 03:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3de893…
05-19 03:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcb28eb…
05-19 01:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1c3a8e…
05-18 19:14:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8f8659…
05-18 18:59:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2e309e…
05-18 16:34:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x29351f…
05-18 14:49:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa54b61…