Discrete-Nonsense — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$177

Open exposure

$34

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-16 13:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

58% — —

Sports

36% 50% +$21

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No		+34	$34	100¢	$34	$-0	06-16 13:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 14?	1	$2.4K	2,437	0	+2,437	open	—	05-15 02:50
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$2.4K	2,420	0	+2,420	open	—	05-25 02:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?	3	$2.2K	2,241	0	+2,241	open	—	05-18 05:40
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	3	$430	458	0	+458	Spurs	+$29	05-13 02:27
Will XRP dip to $1.35 on May 21?	1	$236	237	0	+237	open	—	05-22 03:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 17?	2	$232	232	0	+232	open	—	05-18 03:45
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$186	200	0	+200	open	—	05-27 02:52
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$101	103	0	+103	open	—	03-10 06:13
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 580plus	1	$86	86	0	+86	open	—	04-16 12:58
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 0 19	1	$79	79	0	+79	open	—	01-21 06:46
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	7	$62	113	113	+0	open	—	05-20 02:31
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 0 19	1	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	02-10 10:03
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 20 39	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	02-24 07:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-16 12:58
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$34	34	0	+34	open	—	06-16 13:48
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	06-16 13:47
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$30	54	0	+54	open	—	05-23 12:44
Thunder vs. Spurs	3	$30	63	0	+63	open	—	05-23 01:46
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 560 579	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-16 12:58
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	2	$29	45	0	+45	open	—	05-15 12:12
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 580plus	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	02-24 07:26
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 20 39	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-10 10:03
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 580plus	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-10 06:13
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-10 06:12
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 0 19	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	02-24 07:26
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	02-10 10:03
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	03-22 11:48
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	02-24 07:26
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-10 06:12
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$8	15	0	+15	Cavaliers	$-8	05-14 02:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 13:48:26	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xfd2e0d…
06-16 13:47:23	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe60fa4…
05-27 02:52:53	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xc350c6…
05-25 02:36:32	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2,420	100¢	$2,415	0x81ec95…
05-23 12:44:38	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x067b13…
05-23 01:46:45	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x912f3e…
05-22 11:33:48	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf84777…
05-22 03:56:12	Will XRP dip to $1.35 on May 21?	No	BUY	237	100¢	$236	0x7ddc4c…
05-21 08:09:16	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x7052c9…
05-20 02:31:14	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	113	27¢	$31	0x9dd3af…
05-20 02:05:44	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x6a7e68…
05-20 02:04:22	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0xd739b7…
05-20 01:55:34	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x09f85b…
05-20 01:55:34	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x043514…
05-19 12:21:43	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x43d6ff…
05-19 07:51:02	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x681a8d…
05-18 05:40:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	888	100¢	$887	0xc255a4…
05-18 04:15:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	1,312	100¢	$1,311	0xa48a13…
05-18 04:00:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x81e55a…
05-18 03:45:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x498815…
05-18 03:45:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0f6eb9…
05-17 06:24:34	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb996e2…
05-15 12:12:58	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x39760b…
05-15 02:50:31	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	2,437	100¢	$2,435	0xe39bdf…
05-14 02:13:12	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xfa1ac1…
05-13 02:48:30	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xb51168…
05-13 02:27:04	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	320	100¢	$320	0x2ca757…
05-13 01:39:35	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x349d3f…
05-12 11:16:37	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0x7a052d…
04-16 12:58:26	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 580plus	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xd2f952…
04-16 12:58:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x444939…
04-16 12:58:02	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 560 579	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbcf487…
03-22 11:49:23	nba bkn sac 2026 03 22	Kings	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x1ffb69…
03-22 11:49:09	nba por den 2026 03 22	Nuggets	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xa128ff…
03-22 11:48:59	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xabcc43…
03-10 06:13:21	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0xbe697b…
03-10 06:13:09	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 580plus	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6128bd…
03-10 06:12:45	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfac13c…
03-10 06:12:37	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x82ab08…
02-24 07:26:50	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 20 39	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xc0eebb…
02-24 07:26:40	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 0 19	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x043a2b…
02-24 07:26:30	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 580plus	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x77e2eb…
02-24 07:26:12	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2b047e…
02-10 10:04:13	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 580plus	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa47c0a…
02-10 10:03:47	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x04a10a…
02-10 10:03:29	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 0 19	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x43a025…
02-10 10:03:21	elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 20 39	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x177c56…
01-21 06:46:26	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 0 19	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x875592…
01-21 06:46:12	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xb9980d…
01-21 06:45:48	nba okc mil 2026 01 21	Thunder	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x18a275…
01-21 06:45:40	nba ind bos 2026 01 21	Celtics	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xbd814b…