Courageous-Aspic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$856

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-01 12:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 100% +$0

Other

40% 100% +$0

Politics

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Dylan Colbert advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No		+18	$18	100¢	$18	+$0	06-01 12:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 64k april 13 19	2	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	04-17 22:43
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-13 10:50
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	05-23 14:37
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	05-01 23:28
bitcoin above 82k on april 15	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-14 10:23
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	04-26 04:58
highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 19corhigher	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-14 18:17
ethereum above 2100 on april 11	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-11 12:12
bitcoin above 62k on april 2	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-02 06:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-27 06:13
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 90 114	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-22 03:11
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	03-08 06:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-05 06:27
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	01-03 05:17
will jake knapp win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-12 08:45
highest temperature in chicago on april 14 2026 46 47f	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-13 14:52
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-21 19:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 21	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-21 08:57
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 April 20-26?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-25 06:10
ethereum above 2500 on april 17	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-17 03:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	1	$18	18	0	+18	Yes	+$0	05-07 07:41
Will Dylan Colbert advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	06-01 12:59
bitcoin above 74k on april 24	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	04-23 23:35
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	05-17 11:11
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	1	$17	17	0	+17	open	—	01-29 06:46
highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 29c	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	04-23 06:39
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	02-14 23:46
will solana dip to 60 in february 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	02-28 18:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-09 03:50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-30 02:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 12:59:45	Will Dylan Colbert advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x204ab5…
05-30 13:18:58	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xe37952…
05-27 06:13:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x9270e8…
05-26 14:51:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6cab50…
05-25 14:04:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x81399c…
05-23 14:37:44	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x002e5e…
05-17 11:11:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0b5b8c…
05-14 02:55:55	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5b9740…
05-11 08:43:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc75e63…
05-09 03:50:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xccce4f…
05-08 03:42:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb290f2…
05-07 07:41:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa04b38…
05-05 06:27:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0a7a2b…
05-04 17:16:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x382e8b…
05-03 06:01:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xa16998…
05-03 02:07:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd8c7e7…
05-01 23:28:58	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9bba29…
04-30 18:11:28	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x753a76…
04-30 02:06:56	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x729350…
04-27 14:32:54	Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0c048…
04-26 04:58:50	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x77b35c…
04-26 01:50:12	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xebb7ce…
04-25 06:10:06	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 April 20-26?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd62d8e…
04-24 15:50:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9f0486…
04-23 23:35:28	bitcoin above 74k on april 24	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xdfa4f0…
04-23 14:24:54	ethereum above 2200 on april 23	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4aecf8…
04-23 06:39:16	highest temperature in hong kong on april 23 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9135e1…
04-22 03:11:02	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 90 114	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x9ecdd7…
04-21 19:41:44	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x88a1fe…
04-21 08:57:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 21	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb0a7ba…
04-18 03:00:42	will ethereum dip to 2100 april 13 19	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9381bd…
04-17 22:43:26	will bitcoin dip to 64k april 13 19	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf663c7…
04-17 05:20:48	will bitcoin dip to 64k april 13 19	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x7349b6…
04-17 03:06:44	ethereum above 2500 on april 17	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x619a05…
04-14 18:17:40	highest temperature in mexico city on april 15 2026 19corhigher	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2229b1…
04-14 10:23:07	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa3d909…
04-13 15:12:19	highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 17c	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xa2a0a4…
04-13 14:52:05	highest temperature in chicago on april 14 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbde501…
04-13 10:50:13	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6323b7…
04-12 08:45:55	will jake knapp win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x9ccea4…
04-11 12:12:15	ethereum above 2100 on april 11	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5368d6…
04-02 06:25:27	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5ccf3a…
03-15 06:28:09	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x544eac…
03-08 06:58:43	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xf895ef…
02-28 18:36:59	will solana dip to 60 in february 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4a4046…
02-14 23:46:13	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf81820…
01-29 06:46:06	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x26a03f…
01-10 00:17:38	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xede124…
01-08 12:57:27	will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x597105…
01-03 05:17:29	Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xfd11ea…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	40	$53.5K	1,325	05-31 21:07
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	19	$21.1K	181	05-25 15:39
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	18	$768	18	05-28 11:34
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	17	$934	538	05-30 12:17
Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa	16	$199.9K	2,369	05-28 04:02
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	16	$7.25K	148	05-22 06:51
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	16	$3.15K	1,886	04-21 07:01
(anonymous) 0xee67…67a6	16	$862	340	05-27 11:31