Frayed-Misrepresentation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$37.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$350

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 08:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on june 6 2026	2	$881	441	441	+0	open	—	06-05 14:22
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	2	$869	437	437	+0	open	—	05-28 00:02
bitcoin above 64k on april 5	5	$848	426	426	+0	open	—	04-05 05:42
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 26	2	$834	418	418	+0	open	—	03-26 05:47
bitcoin above 70k on march 18	2	$832	424	424	+0	open	—	03-18 14:10
bitcoin above 76k on march 19	2	$827	415	415	+0	open	—	03-19 10:17
bitcoin above 54k on march 3	2	$826	414	414	+0	open	—	03-03 11:22
bitcoin above 74k on february 24	2	$816	409	409	+0	open	—	02-24 06:06
bitcoin above 76k on february 20	2	$814	408	408	+0	open	—	02-20 06:13
bitcoin above 60k on february 18	2	$810	407	407	+0	open	—	02-18 04:04
bitcoin above 76k on february 11	2	$801	401	401	+0	open	—	02-11 12:13
bitcoin above 88k on february 5	2	$788	395	395	+0	open	—	02-05 01:13
bitcoin above 88k on february 3	2	$786	394	394	+0	open	—	02-03 11:43
bitcoin above 90k on february 1	2	$783	393	393	+0	open	—	02-01 10:50
bitcoin above 94k on january 31	2	$782	392	392	+0	open	—	01-31 14:53
bitcoin above 94k on january 30	2	$778	391	391	+0	open	—	01-30 05:29
bitcoin above 94k on january 28	2	$772	388	388	+0	open	—	01-28 06:35
bitcoin above 94k on january 27	2	$769	386	386	+0	open	—	01-27 15:16
bitcoin above 100k on january 18	2	$759	380	380	+0	open	—	01-18 10:45
bitcoin above 96k on january 13	2	$745	378	378	+0	open	—	01-13 04:36
bitcoin above 96k on january 6	8	$726	372	365	+7	open	—	01-06 11:48
bitcoin above 74k on february 10	3	$581	293	293	+0	open	—	02-10 13:04
ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	1	$442	443	0	+443	open	—	06-09 08:52
bitcoin above 70k on june 6 2026	1	$440	441	0	+441	open	—	06-05 14:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 3?	1	$438	439	0	+439	open	—	06-02 00:15
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$436	439	0	+439	open	—	05-28 00:03
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	1	$433	434	0	+434	open	—	05-16 00:11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	1	$430	430	0	+430	Yes	+$0	05-06 10:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 9?	1	$430	431	0	+431	No	+$1	05-08 01:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	1	$428	430	0	+430	open	—	05-01 12:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 08:52:49	ethereum above 1900 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	443	100¢	$442	0xe3c2b5…
06-05 14:23:25	bitcoin above 70k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	441	100¢	$440	0x0618b9…
06-05 14:22:30	bitcoin above 74k on june 6 2026	No	SELL	441	100¢	$441	0xbd7543…
06-04 00:30:31	bitcoin above 74k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	441	100¢	$440	0xd5c555…
06-02 00:15:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	439	100¢	$438	0xd60535…
05-28 00:03:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	439	99¢	$436	0x1de8bf…
05-28 00:02:53	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	437	100¢	$436	0xf827fb…
05-18 08:00:31	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	437	99¢	$433	0xc1835d…
05-16 00:11:19	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	434	100¢	$433	0x6cd223…
05-08 01:58:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	431	100¢	$430	0x0a5869…
05-06 10:49:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	430	100¢	$430	0xab6f8b…
05-01 12:47:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	430	99¢	$428	0x397e7a…
04-23 00:23:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	428	100¢	$426	0x7714fd…
04-21 02:10:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 22	No	BUY	426	100¢	$424	0xe2f6ad…
04-18 06:17:52	will bitcoin dip to 66k april 13 19	No	BUY	424	100¢	$423	0x50b3b7…
04-16 00:04:46	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on april 17	No	BUY	424	100¢	$423	0x421ea6…
04-15 09:47:22	bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x221091…
04-09 01:13:39	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	No	BUY	429	100¢	$427	0xc32eab…
04-05 23:51:15	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on april 7	No	BUY	427	100¢	$425	0xb3ba7f…
04-05 05:42:37	bitcoin above 64k on april 5	Yes	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x3ad76f…
04-05 05:40:57	bitcoin above 64k on april 5	Yes	SELL	301	100¢	$300	0x3a16f9…
04-05 05:36:53	bitcoin above 64k on april 5	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa3f238…
04-04 15:19:59	bitcoin above 64k on april 5	Yes	BUY	319	99¢	$316	0x025fa4…
04-04 15:18:23	bitcoin above 64k on april 5	Yes	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0xc31dd8…
04-02 02:15:19	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 3	No	BUY	423	100¢	$422	0xacf1f9…
03-30 04:35:02	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x006570…
03-30 04:27:28	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	338	99¢	$336	0x4c5ede…
03-28 02:30:19	bitcoin above 74k on march 29	No	BUY	420	100¢	$419	0x5e1acf…
03-26 05:48:09	bitcoin above 78k on march 27	No	BUY	419	100¢	$417	0x164356…
03-26 05:47:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 26	No	SELL	418	100¢	$417	0x48151b…
03-26 00:06:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 26	No	BUY	418	100¢	$416	0x325aa4…
03-24 14:42:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 25	No	BUY	416	100¢	$416	0x65bd89…
03-22 02:29:17	bitcoin above 84k on march 23	No	BUY	416	100¢	$415	0x9d9a87…
03-20 05:20:13	bitcoin above 78k on march 21	No	BUY	415	100¢	$414	0xbcd1fa…
03-19 10:17:55	bitcoin above 76k on march 19	No	SELL	415	100¢	$414	0xa252d7…
03-19 06:18:51	bitcoin above 76k on march 19	No	BUY	415	100¢	$413	0x769b20…
03-18 14:10:51	bitcoin above 70k on march 18	Yes	SELL	424	97¢	$413	0x26ecac…
03-18 04:01:39	bitcoin above 70k on march 18	Yes	BUY	424	99¢	$420	0x62ccaa…
03-14 00:45:31	will bitcoin reach 82k march 9 15	No	BUY	420	100¢	$419	0xe83c69…
03-12 00:45:19	bitcoin above 58k on march 13	Yes	BUY	419	100¢	$418	0x3d219a…
03-10 13:43:17	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	418	100¢	$418	0xa86008…
03-10 01:01:25	will bitcoin dip to 65k on march 9	No	BUY	418	100¢	$417	0x88981e…
03-09 13:32:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 9	No	BUY	417	100¢	$416	0x967326…
03-08 04:21:35	will bitcoin reach 76k march 2 8	No	BUY	416	100¢	$415	0x844344…
03-06 11:44:09	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	Yes	BUY	415	100¢	$415	0xdbf682…
03-04 14:14:07	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on march 5	No	BUY	415	100¢	$414	0xa8d56c…
03-03 11:22:15	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	SELL	414	100¢	$414	0x932859…
03-02 17:13:13	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	414	100¢	$412	0x8396e6…
03-02 01:15:53	will bitcoin reach 72k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	412	99¢	$409	0x8d8e85…
02-28 01:15:01	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	409	100¢	$408	0xb0f693…
02-24 06:06:10	bitcoin above 74k on february 24	No	SELL	409	100¢	$408	0xb85c79…
02-23 12:45:42	bitcoin above 74k on february 24	No	BUY	409	100¢	$408	0x3ec2cd…
02-21 04:45:48	bitcoin above 60k on february 22	Yes	BUY	408	100¢	$407	0xd9e2ad…
02-20 06:13:16	bitcoin above 76k on february 20	No	SELL	408	100¢	$407	0xb8b044…
02-18 23:59:36	bitcoin above 76k on february 20	No	BUY	408	100¢	$406	0x55fd33…
02-18 04:04:26	bitcoin above 60k on february 18	Yes	SELL	407	100¢	$406	0xc9a213…
02-17 13:11:47	bitcoin above 60k on february 18	Yes	BUY	407	99¢	$403	0x8d627a…
02-16 00:53:47	bitcoin above 78k on february 17	No	BUY	404	100¢	$403	0xe0faea…
02-11 13:34:19	bitcoin above 74k on february 12	No	BUY	403	99¢	$401	0xc4e359…
02-11 12:13:15	bitcoin above 76k on february 11	No	SELL	401	100¢	$401	0xd79687…
02-10 15:15:37	bitcoin above 76k on february 11	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0xc17808…
02-10 13:04:55	bitcoin above 74k on february 10	No	SELL	293	100¢	$292	0xd8b6cf…
02-10 04:05:29	bitcoin above 74k on february 10	No	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0x5a94d8…
02-10 04:03:41	bitcoin above 74k on february 10	No	BUY	269	98¢	$264	0xe2e926…
02-05 01:17:17	bitcoin above 82k on february 6	No	BUY	396	100¢	$394	0xeca96c…
02-05 01:13:11	bitcoin above 88k on february 5	No	SELL	395	100¢	$394	0x366d78…
02-04 02:25:08	bitcoin above 88k on february 5	No	BUY	395	100¢	$394	0x4339cd…
02-04 02:22:34	bitcoin above 84k on february 4	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xf5ef4f…
02-03 21:57:10	bitcoin above 84k on february 4	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xf567c4…
02-03 11:43:34	bitcoin above 88k on february 3	No	SELL	394	100¢	$393	0xb1ed49…
02-02 22:15:00	bitcoin above 88k on february 3	No	BUY	394	100¢	$393	0x85bd6d…
02-01 10:50:46	bitcoin above 90k on february 1	No	SELL	393	100¢	$393	0x513c21…
01-31 17:53:40	bitcoin above 90k on february 1	No	BUY	393	99¢	$391	0x6c9b16…
01-31 14:53:08	bitcoin above 94k on january 31	No	SELL	392	100¢	$391	0xdbd026…
01-30 05:29:58	bitcoin above 94k on january 31	No	BUY	392	100¢	$391	0xe19bf0…
01-30 05:29:28	bitcoin above 94k on january 30	No	SELL	391	100¢	$391	0xd2855c…
01-29 11:00:32	bitcoin above 94k on january 30	No	BUY	391	99¢	$388	0xd153b6…
01-28 06:35:41	bitcoin above 94k on january 28	No	SELL	388	100¢	$387	0x5ece0d…
01-27 19:51:03	bitcoin above 94k on january 28	No	BUY	388	99¢	$385	0xf10f22…
01-27 15:16:33	bitcoin above 94k on january 27	No	SELL	386	100¢	$385	0xcb2191…
01-26 10:20:09	bitcoin above 94k on january 27	No	BUY	386	99¢	$383	0x2833b5…
01-24 03:47:44	bitcoin above 98k on january 25	No	BUY	383	100¢	$383	0xe13fef…
01-22 00:34:48	bitcoin above 98k on january 23	No	BUY	383	100¢	$383	0x25a2cb…
01-20 02:05:22	bitcoin above 100k on january 21	No	BUY	383	100¢	$381	0x8b07c7…
01-19 02:03:22	bitcoin above 98k on january 19	No	BUY	381	100¢	$380	0xec1e54…
01-18 10:45:48	bitcoin above 100k on january 18	No	SELL	380	100¢	$380	0x819dc8…
01-17 02:39:48	bitcoin above 100k on january 18	No	BUY	380	100¢	$379	0x9f569b…
01-16 00:32:02	bitcoin above 88k on january 16	Yes	BUY	379	100¢	$379	0x07265b…
01-13 04:46:19	bitcoin above 84k on january 14	Yes	BUY	379	100¢	$378	0xd9babe…
01-13 04:36:05	bitcoin above 96k on january 13	No	SELL	378	100¢	$377	0x2089aa…
01-12 01:00:18	bitcoin above 96k on january 13	No	BUY	378	97¢	$368	0x904fbe…
01-10 09:00:22	bitcoin above 98k on january 11	No	BUY	369	100¢	$369	0x4432a2…
01-06 11:52:01	bitcoin above 88k on january 6	Yes	BUY	369	100¢	$368	0x78c201…
01-06 11:48:09	bitcoin above 96k on january 6	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x60bd96…
01-06 11:47:49	bitcoin above 96k on january 6	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x5cc1d1…
01-06 11:47:29	bitcoin above 96k on january 6	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x88b6b9…
01-06 11:31:09	bitcoin above 96k on january 6	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x1096be…
01-06 11:30:57	bitcoin above 96k on january 6	No	SELL	240	99¢	$238	0x2391da…
01-06 11:01:13	bitcoin above 96k on january 6	No	BUY	173	98¢	$170	0x095735…
01-06 11:00:09	bitcoin above 96k on january 6	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xd69b0c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x5358…2989	67	$18.5K	92	06-09 08:50
(anonymous) 0xa244…dec1	64	$15.7K	99	06-09 08:53
(anonymous) 0x36ec…094d	63	$25.5K	97	06-09 08:53
Fond-Bet 0xf4b6…3f5a	63	$21.8K	97	06-09 08:53
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	56	$6.26K	2,161	04-17 09:23
(anonymous) 0x90bb…531f	51	$871	1,526	04-22 09:58
(anonymous) 0x25af…bcaf	45	$7.67K	1,418	03-27 07:52
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	45	$2.58K	794	06-08 21:49