Overlooked-Payoff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.07K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

7,355

Trades

16,656

lifetime

Volume

$54.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-25 17:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 206 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 34% -$2,063

Sports

0% 40% -$32

Other

0% 50% +$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	10	$261	588	588	+0	Down	+$21	06-01 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	42	$245	178	178	+0	Down	+$95	05-23 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 20:55 UTC	2	$212	666	625	+41	Up	+$12	04-21 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 19:00 UTC	5	$212	905	849	+56	Up	-$68	04-19 19:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 09:30 UTC	7	$180	437	412	+25	Down	+$0	04-22 09:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 19:25 UTC	5	$175	196	188	+8	Up	-$2	04-20 19:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 07:45 UTC	6	$173	166	164	+2	Down	+$75	03-20 07:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 19:00 UTC	4	$173	157	155	+2	Up	+$55	04-08 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$166	229	136	+93	Down	+$6	05-21 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	7	$166	294	294	+0	Up	+$8	06-01 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	6	$162	355	340	+15	Down	+$21	06-01 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 20:05 UTC	4	$156	495	463	+32	Up	+$68	04-20 20:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 21:30 UTC	5	$149	382	282	+100	Down	+$28	06-05 21:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 09:55 UTC	3	$141	125	121	+4	Up	+$18	04-22 09:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 13:20 UTC	13	$140	115	115	+0	Down	+$56	03-22 13:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 19:50 UTC	4	$140	216	204	+12	Down	+$20	04-20 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$137	163	163	+0	Up	+$117	05-24 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	4	$136	505	385	+120	Down	-$44	06-01 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$129	132	132	+0	Down	+$30	05-18 21:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 20:30 UTC	4	$127	620	579	+41	Down	+$7	04-20 20:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 19:15 UTC	2	$125	128	122	+6	Up	+$25	04-19 19:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 11:25 UTC	4	$122	206	204	+2	Down	+$16	03-13 11:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 10:25 UTC	4	$122	97	95	+2	Down	+$22	03-21 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	15	$120	156	156	+0	Up	+$41	05-31 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	7	$119	100	100	+0	Down	+$79	05-18 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	8	$118	317	317	+0	Up	+$39	05-24 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	6	$118	352	352	+0	Down	-$2	05-17 21:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 14:10 UTC	4	$118	185	175	+10	Up	+$24	04-06 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 11:15 UTC	5	$117	174	165	+9	Up	+$30	04-09 11:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 10:10 UTC	2	$115	128	122	+6	Up	+$17	04-06 10:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 17:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xbb91ac…
10-25 17:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x1d92d0…
10-25 16:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x83c854…
10-25 14:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe3cc49…
10-25 14:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x49c355…
10-25 14:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x34f94c…
10-25 14:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xd72742…
10-25 14:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x4d7f33…
10-25 14:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x18a000…
10-25 12:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb4af6e…
10-25 12:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8642b8…
10-25 10:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb9d7ec…
10-25 08:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xe2bf78…
10-25 08:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe25f34…
10-25 06:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xc9392d…
10-25 06:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x9d222d…
10-25 06:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6b0e07…
10-25 06:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8a67ec…
10-25 05:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc1fa81…
10-25 01:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc2801d…
10-25 00:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xfdc9e2…
10-25 00:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xb937b2…
10-25 00:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xea5085…
10-24 23:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xd51de0…
10-24 23:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x6d0b61…
10-24 23:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xe82343…
10-24 23:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8dbd45…
10-24 22:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb94efb…
10-24 21:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcc0743…
10-24 20:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xe15a60…
10-24 20:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x318717…
10-24 20:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xb6087b…
10-24 20:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x6b54f0…
10-24 19:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x2ffc5d…
10-24 19:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x2dbf5f…
10-24 19:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5cd0b0…
10-24 15:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x545091…
10-24 15:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb0b6b3…
10-24 14:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xca585a…
10-24 14:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xa5cf0f…
10-24 14:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x936737…
10-24 14:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x7bef17…
10-24 13:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xed7f09…
10-24 13:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x944167…
10-24 13:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x9fee87…
10-24 13:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x8a5109…
10-24 13:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x4f5308…
10-24 12:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x88aefc…
10-24 12:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe93a1f…
10-24 12:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x5a6642…
10-24 12:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x4354d4…
10-24 12:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x3b219d…
10-24 10:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa38240…
10-24 09:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xe837c1…
10-24 09:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5b00b3…
10-24 09:36:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x4bfa5f…
10-24 08:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x6a38c9…
10-24 08:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x4ba210…
10-24 08:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x145da5…
10-24 08:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xeeebda…
10-24 07:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x117bf7…
10-24 07:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x58f2ba…
10-24 07:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xe9d141…
10-24 07:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xb34438…
10-24 07:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1faa06…
10-24 05:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x807bee…
10-24 05:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x695648…
10-24 04:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0c0976…
10-24 03:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x56113a…
10-24 03:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xda16c2…
10-24 03:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe77e92…
10-24 01:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xa8489a…
10-24 01:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3f8cd2…
10-24 01:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf6ac06…
10-24 00:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xd2b1e0…
10-24 00:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x4ca94c…
10-24 00:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x2ce395…
10-23 23:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xb9fd80…
10-23 23:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x33cad2…
10-23 23:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x605aab…
10-23 23:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x361c23…
10-23 23:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x012757…
10-23 23:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xa55d67…
10-23 23:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x76e8be…
10-23 23:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x42213a…
10-23 22:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe2024a…
10-23 22:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe8571d…
10-23 22:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdc711f…
10-23 21:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4a620f…
10-23 19:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x9427d8…
10-23 19:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x2fc95c…
10-23 19:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xf23107…
10-23 19:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xc0cea8…
10-23 19:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x791a58…
10-23 19:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x56b849…
10-23 19:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x562a48…
10-23 16:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x7489c9…
10-23 16:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6253f1…
10-23 16:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1b542a…
10-23 14:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xc25d92…