Exemplary-Nudge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$256

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

621

Trades

1,233

lifetime

Volume

$8.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-31 06:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Other

99% 58% -$253

Politics

1% 67% +$2

Crypto

0% 67% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?	7	$287	150	150	+0	Yes	+$12	07-16 08:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?	4	$199	102	102	+0	Yes	+$4	07-13 08:43
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 18?	4	$198	100	100	+0	Yes	+$2	07-18 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 17?	2	$173	90	90	+0	Yes	+$7	07-17 12:14
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 19?	2	$135	70	70	+0	Yes	+$5	07-19 12:42
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on April 29?	3	$118	63	63	+0	No	+$7	04-29 11:53
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?	1	$99	106	0	+106	Yes	+$7	07-14 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 28?	2	$96	63	63	+0	No	+$16	04-28 15:10
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 19?	2	$96	98	0	+98	No	-$96	07-19 05:56
highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 13c	4	$95	49	49	+0	Yes	+$2	04-20 14:56
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 17?	2	$94	50	50	+0	Yes	+$5	07-17 12:14
highest temperature in moscow on april 21 2026 10c	5	$93	49	49	+0	No	+$1	04-21 03:55
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 4?	4	$90	46	46	+0	No	+$2	05-04 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 15?	1	$87	90	0	+90	Yes	+$3	07-15 05:26
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 3?	4	$86	44	44	+0	No	+$1	05-03 19:24
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 15?	2	$86	44	44	+0	Yes	+$2	07-15 13:28
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 27?	6	$82	57	56	+0	No	+$3	04-27 09:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 3?	2	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$1	05-03 18:34
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 19?	4	$81	86	0	+86	No	-$81	07-19 18:25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 2?	2	$72	37	37	+0	No	+$2	05-02 18:15
highest temperature in madrid on april 23 2026 28c	9	$72	62	60	+1	No	+$1	04-23 16:09
highest temperature in madrid on april 22 2026 24c	3	$70	101	98	+3	Yes	-$10	04-22 15:43
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 30?	3	$70	37	37	+0	No	+$4	05-30 18:23
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 27?	6	$70	47	47	+0	No	-$1	04-27 15:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on April 28?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	04-28 13:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 27?	3	$68	35	35	+0	No	+$1	04-27 14:25
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 26?	4	$63	38	38	+0	No	+$4	04-26 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 25?	2	$62	35	35	+0	No	+$1	04-25 08:48
highest temperature in ankara on april 23 2026 9c	4	$61	50	49	+1	No	+$6	04-23 12:55
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 18?	1	$60	65	0	+65	Yes	+$5	07-18 06:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 06:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe61059…
07-31 05:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xeee306…
07-31 05:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0x6fb617…
07-30 08:55:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 30?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xeeaede…
07-30 05:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x16229a…
07-29 05:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xaad3b0…
07-28 04:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x4289be…
07-27 06:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x2325b6…
07-27 06:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb97cdb…
07-27 06:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9498d5…
07-27 04:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5b93cc…
07-26 06:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbae055…
07-24 04:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0xc5f7ee…
07-23 06:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe2fc18…
07-22 16:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb99ecf…
07-22 13:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6d6399…
07-22 13:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x03d073…
07-22 09:05:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xefcb83…
07-22 08:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8bf03e…
07-22 05:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xd36890…
07-21 12:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbfd38e…
07-21 05:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x9b0038…
07-20 10:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x5c7bb8…
07-20 09:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?	Yes	SELL	7	62¢	$5	0xb2cbec…
07-20 06:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xbf43a2…
07-20 06:10:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x4d8dd0…
07-20 04:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x3df794…
07-19 18:25:36	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0x63076e…
07-19 18:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6c2403…
07-19 18:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb510a1…
07-19 17:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x61b8df…
07-19 15:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x27853c…
07-19 12:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8b676d…
07-19 12:42:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x1ac2e6…
07-19 12:41:31	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0xb01e8b…
07-19 10:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 19?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x5c11b2…
07-19 07:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0xae727c…
07-19 07:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe2da71…
07-19 06:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 19?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0x8205fe…
07-19 06:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xe77b40…
07-19 05:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xb74d5e…
07-19 05:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x44e862…
07-18 14:50:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x0deaa7…
07-18 14:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa5a521…
07-18 14:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	41	97¢	$39	0x99ec51…
07-18 14:49:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x99a0b5…
07-18 06:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0x19129e…
07-18 06:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7dc8a4…
07-18 05:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7dea85…
07-18 05:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x1239b0…
07-18 05:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x14c412…
07-18 05:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 24°C or below on July 18?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf891ba…
07-18 05:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x54aca6…
07-17 12:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x649059…
07-17 12:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xc46ee5…
07-17 06:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4b4295…
07-17 06:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd50c76…
07-17 06:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9212c6…
07-17 06:34:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x70fea4…
07-17 06:34:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x47bf88…
07-17 05:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	90	92¢	$83	0x802cb1…
07-17 05:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x2fc349…
07-17 05:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x9baadb…
07-17 05:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4f063d…
07-17 05:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xd07933…
07-16 08:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xf9ff8e…
07-16 06:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0xc79b78…
07-16 06:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5c5586…
07-16 06:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x8cbc37…
07-16 06:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x7ff1b2…
07-16 06:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xdeb456…
07-16 06:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x9c4593…
07-16 05:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x878e85…
07-15 13:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x534404…
07-15 13:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x3e0bf0…
07-15 05:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0x75946a…
07-15 05:27:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xd629ef…
07-15 05:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0x86931e…
07-14 06:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x6a6e3e…
07-14 06:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xd25735…
07-14 06:20:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x8ab8a1…
07-14 06:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x25320b…
07-14 06:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x67e926…
07-14 06:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$99	0x81da33…
07-14 05:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$7	0x073df5…
07-13 18:32:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x5aeeb6…
07-13 18:22:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 13?	Yes	BUY	23	89¢	$21	0x6bd34d…
07-13 15:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 13?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x362f3f…
07-13 15:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x140949…
07-13 08:43:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x6665dc…
07-13 07:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x47ffbb…
07-13 07:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x54f07e…
07-13 07:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xc09aff…
07-13 07:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x98cf93…
07-13 06:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x55ec93…
07-13 06:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xdd05ee…
07-13 06:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	32	92¢	$29	0x981b53…
06-13 12:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0xe2ccce…
06-13 06:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 13?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3f634b…
06-13 05:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe59cde…