Fearless-Cutover — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

Trades

315

lifetime

Volume

$604

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 06-17 08:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$78	55	28	+26	open	—	05-15 18:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$54	29	29	+0	open	—	05-15 18:49
btc updown 5m 1781685600	1	$25	29	0	+29	open	—	06-17 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$24	31	11	+20	open	—	05-15 18:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	05-15 18:38
btc updown 5m 1781625900	3	$22	28	7	+21	open	—	06-16 16:08
btc updown 5m 1781479800	3	$14	12	2	+10	open	—	06-14 23:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$13	13	2	+11	open	—	05-14 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 22:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	5	$8	5	3	+2	open	—	05-14 21:49
btc updown 5m 1781684400	4	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-17 08:24
btc updown 5m 1781683200	4	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	06-17 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-14 21:40
btc updown 5m 1781684700	3	$5	202	2	+200	open	—	06-17 08:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$5	20	10	+10	open	—	05-15 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 18:08
btc updown 5m 1781678400	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-17 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-11 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 13:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 18:54
btc updown 5m 1781684100	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-17 08:19
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 21:29
btc updown 5m 1781678100	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-17 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 16:53
btc updown 5m 1781683800	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-17 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 08:42:10	btc updown 5m 1781685600	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x71f77e…
06-17 08:30:02	btc updown 5m 1781684700	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x17f50c…
06-17 08:29:10	btc updown 5m 1781684700	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xb5926c…
06-17 08:28:02	btc updown 5m 1781684700	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xdde086…
06-17 08:24:26	btc updown 5m 1781684400	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfffee5…
06-17 08:24:11	btc updown 5m 1781684400	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xee94ca…
06-17 08:23:52	btc updown 5m 1781684400	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe7037b…
06-17 08:23:22	btc updown 5m 1781684400	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x32c950…
06-17 08:19:23	btc updown 5m 1781684100	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x4583f3…
06-17 08:18:29	btc updown 5m 1781684100	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x89fe64…
06-17 08:14:07	btc updown 5m 1781683800	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x14dcec…
06-17 08:13:50	btc updown 5m 1781683800	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x46e403…
06-17 08:04:25	btc updown 5m 1781683200	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xd0a7ef…
06-17 08:04:04	btc updown 5m 1781683200	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xb9c675…
06-17 08:03:56	btc updown 5m 1781683200	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x0acb98…
06-17 08:03:10	btc updown 5m 1781683200	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x780397…
06-17 06:59:59	btc updown 5m 1781679300	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xbbd0b3…
06-17 06:59:50	btc updown 5m 1781679300	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8c35fe…
06-17 06:54:52	btc updown 5m 1781679000	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x433573…
06-17 06:54:25	btc updown 5m 1781679000	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x7ef9b0…
06-17 06:49:40	btc updown 5m 1781678700	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x2aee13…
06-17 06:49:34	btc updown 5m 1781678700	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x363826…
06-17 06:44:52	btc updown 5m 1781678400	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb55337…
06-17 06:43:55	btc updown 5m 1781678400	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x170a77…
06-17 06:39:31	btc updown 5m 1781678100	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x294f76…
06-17 06:38:23	btc updown 5m 1781678100	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x7672c3…
06-16 20:29:19	btc updown 5m 1781641500	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x13ed00…
06-16 20:29:02	btc updown 5m 1781641500	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3b7aff…
06-16 20:25:01	btc updown 5m 1781641200	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe60b80…
06-16 20:13:29	btc updown 5m 1781640600	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x12b5ea…
06-16 20:12:44	btc updown 5m 1781640600	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0f0672…
06-16 20:03:13	btc updown 5m 1781640000	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfa5f61…
06-16 19:59:17	btc updown 5m 1781639700	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4c3bfc…
06-16 17:13:07	btc updown 5m 1781629800	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x12f64d…
06-16 17:04:43	btc updown 5m 1781629200	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3c2feb…
06-16 17:04:14	btc updown 5m 1781629200	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc6282f…
06-16 16:43:56	btc updown 5m 1781628000	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x83b530…
06-16 16:43:32	btc updown 5m 1781628000	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xf95ba4…
06-16 16:43:19	btc updown 5m 1781628000	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xba0971…
06-16 16:38:43	btc updown 5m 1781627700	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x1192df…
06-16 16:38:22	btc updown 5m 1781627700	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x0a9b35…
06-16 16:34:25	btc updown 5m 1781627400	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x20e4c5…
06-16 16:33:14	btc updown 5m 1781627400	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x923c55…
06-16 16:29:40	btc updown 5m 1781627100	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x79d8ba…
06-16 16:28:49	btc updown 5m 1781627100	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x379dcc…
06-16 16:24:56	btc updown 5m 1781626800	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaea98c…
06-16 16:24:16	btc updown 5m 1781626800	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0be66f…
06-16 16:18:38	btc updown 5m 1781626500	Down	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xf1ab10…
06-16 16:17:41	btc updown 5m 1781626500	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x622dee…
06-16 16:13:43	btc updown 5m 1781626200	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x749709…
06-16 16:13:20	btc updown 5m 1781626200	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd1f033…
06-16 16:08:40	btc updown 5m 1781625900	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xf452f2…
06-16 16:07:28	btc updown 5m 1781625900	Up	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x2ea1fc…
06-16 16:07:08	btc updown 5m 1781625900	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x622f73…
06-16 16:04:10	btc updown 5m 1781625600	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe60c94…
06-16 15:58:56	btc updown 5m 1781625300	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x91ab6b…
06-16 15:53:22	btc updown 5m 1781625000	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1a6997…
06-16 15:49:38	btc updown 5m 1781624700	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x512793…
06-16 15:49:23	btc updown 5m 1781624700	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbda99c…
06-16 15:48:49	btc updown 5m 1781624700	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdc8ad2…
06-16 15:47:38	btc updown 5m 1781624700	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc20cd3…
06-15 09:58:48	btc updown 5m 1781517300	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc3f3dd…
06-15 09:48:19	btc updown 5m 1781516700	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8d81e9…
06-15 09:43:37	btc updown 5m 1781516400	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9d2693…
06-15 09:43:09	btc updown 5m 1781516400	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa81a8b…
06-15 09:42:55	btc updown 5m 1781516400	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaacfe5…
06-15 09:39:40	btc updown 5m 1781516100	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x95964f…
06-15 09:39:12	btc updown 5m 1781516100	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x15335f…
06-15 09:34:03	btc updown 5m 1781515800	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8af8c5…
06-15 09:33:45	btc updown 5m 1781515800	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe946d8…
06-15 09:29:39	btc updown 5m 1781515500	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x3956fe…
06-15 09:29:30	btc updown 5m 1781515500	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb04729…
06-15 09:23:48	btc updown 5m 1781515200	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd1ee7d…
06-15 00:09:18	btc updown 5m 1781481900	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbac8ef…
06-15 00:08:42	btc updown 5m 1781481900	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9b1fb9…
06-15 00:02:36	btc updown 5m 1781481600	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6da53a…
06-15 00:02:27	btc updown 5m 1781481600	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x462f26…
06-14 23:57:43	btc updown 5m 1781481300	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x51097d…
06-14 23:49:04	btc updown 5m 1781480700	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe9c140…
06-14 23:48:07	btc updown 5m 1781480700	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa6bee1…
06-14 23:33:58	btc updown 5m 1781479800	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x07639e…
06-14 23:33:01	btc updown 5m 1781479800	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xc4d5d8…
06-14 23:32:06	btc updown 5m 1781479800	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3cdf53…
05-15 19:07:08	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0ad74e…
05-15 18:57:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xab4168…
05-15 18:57:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd10c96…
05-15 18:54:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x28c27d…
05-15 18:53:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7c178c…
05-15 18:53:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x9bb284…
05-15 18:53:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7b3df6…
05-15 18:49:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0xf64756…
05-15 18:49:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0x4ae830…
05-15 18:44:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x028e51…
05-15 18:42:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0xbc29ea…
05-15 18:42:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	92¢	$26	0xd1e106…
05-15 18:38:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xc7546b…
05-15 18:31:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x884611…
05-15 18:30:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x317878…
05-15 18:29:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xfe5488…
05-15 18:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6dbaaf…