Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$726

Unrealized P&L

-$29

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

898

Trades

2,376

lifetime

Volume

$26.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$77

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-03 13:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Politics

48% 54% -$196

Crypto

36% 81% -$178

Other

13% 46% -$304

Sports

3% 57% -$51

Tech

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+231	$83	28¢	$64	-$19	10-03 13:23
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+678	$24	2¢	$14	-$10	10-03 13:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	45	$1.3K	1,108	1,108	+0	No	+$4	03-30 17:19
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	47	$981	1,800	1,062	+739	Yes	-$36	04-03 17:06
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	31	$566	491	491	+0	No	+$177	03-29 23:53
will israel take military action in gaza on march 27 2026	36	$566	316	316	+0	No	+$18	03-30 19:56
will israel strike lebanon on february 11 2026	7	$504	347	347	+0	No	+$141	02-11 20:32
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	29	$488	586	449	+137	Yes	+$158	03-28 20:12
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	15	$420	244	244	+0	No	+$0	03-08 15:17
will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	14	$416	406	406	+0	No	-$24	02-14 22:02
israeli parliament dissolved by march 31 932	7	$354	211	211	+0	No	-$5	02-28 13:14
will israel strike lebanon on february 15 2026	11	$345	612	58	+554	Yes	-$275	02-14 22:04
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	13	$344	242	242	+0	Yes	$0	04-03 17:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	37	$335	206	206	+0	No	+$6	03-25 10:38
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	7	$323	180	180	+0	No	+$22	03-31 06:38
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	28	$320	526	526	+0	No	+$2	03-23 20:10
will iran strike uae again in march	42	$306	2,588	223	+2,365	Yes	-$39	04-06 01:06
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 27 2026	5	$306	174	174	+0	Yes	+$0	03-27 14:44
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 29 2026 526	24	$304	1,144	0	+1,144	Yes	-$304	03-30 21:42
will israel strike lebanon on february 10 2026	7	$293	200	200	+0	No	+$71	02-10 17:38
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	8	$286	294	294	+0	Yes	-$183	02-28 06:19
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	20	$277	276	276	+0	open	—	10-01 02:15
nba bos cha 2026 03 29	4	$263	147	147	+0	Celtics	+$15	03-29 23:57
will israel strike lebanon on february 13 2026	11	$261	174	174	+0	No	+$61	02-13 19:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	11	$255	167	167	+0	No	+$5	03-30 15:49
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	25	$254	456	456	+0	Yes	-$66	04-12 19:45
will israel strike lebanon on february 12 2026	6	$249	164	164	+0	Yes	+$49	02-12 15:53
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	3	$204	105	105	+0	No	+$2	01-21 14:50
will iran strike oman again in march	15	$202	803	168	+635	No	-$13	04-05 00:41
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	9	$200	128	128	+0	Yes	+$25	02-25 20:04
will iran strike israel on march 9	10	$188	229	105	+124	Yes	-$5	03-09 09:53
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	14	$171	2,230	0	+2,230	Yes	-$171	02-02 23:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-03 13:23:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	231	36¢	$83	0x752835…
10-03 13:22:59	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0x87f721…
10-01 02:15:03	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	163	52¢	$85	0x972cdd…
09-23 06:26:47	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$2	0xfb6fa4…
09-23 06:21:44	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0x5a4de9…
09-21 20:31:45	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x8f4e2b…
09-21 20:31:30	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0xf26e06…
09-16 21:17:15	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	59	6¢	$3	0x6a4520…
09-16 21:16:49	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0xe077d6…
08-27 12:17:10	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x061c1b…
08-27 12:16:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x2c789b…
08-26 21:54:57	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	47	5¢	$2	0x6d18aa…
08-26 21:54:31	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	6	44¢	$2	0xea6ab0…
08-26 10:54:55	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	77	4¢	$3	0x5aaeb3…
08-26 10:54:27	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0x49c9c3…
08-20 14:26:28	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	238	4¢	$10	0x692dad…
08-20 14:25:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	262	4¢	$10	0x0f3cf9…
08-10 11:25:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0x6c0465…
08-10 11:24:46	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	22	48¢	$10	0xa007b4…
08-10 06:59:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	66	14¢	$9	0x1d4008…
08-10 06:57:52	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	150	6¢	$9	0x07345f…
08-08 09:47:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0x6044f8…
08-08 09:46:43	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x7166a4…
08-06 11:58:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	28	20¢	$6	0x6bbcd1…
08-06 11:57:50	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0xf901f6…
08-05 14:29:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x9d3f6a…
08-05 14:28:05	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xf6198f…
08-04 16:06:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa0f400…
08-04 15:41:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x3f16d2…
08-02 14:21:51	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x958787…
08-02 09:36:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x08e9ac…
08-02 09:03:41	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x0492f1…
08-02 09:00:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xdfe0d0…
08-01 20:30:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xecbeb2…
08-01 19:19:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xdde52a…
08-01 18:26:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x631e51…
08-01 18:25:26	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x2ac402…
08-01 10:52:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0xf5d817…
08-01 10:49:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x609c56…
07-26 09:06:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x97af40…
07-26 09:04:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0x95dd4c…
07-25 16:27:39	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	39	46¢	$18	0xab1000…
07-25 16:27:09	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	46	40¢	$18	0x92c0d2…
07-25 12:02:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x88ba1f…
07-25 12:01:54	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xbfb4a1…
07-23 19:30:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x18d660…
07-23 19:30:09	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	9	52¢	$4	0x2454ad…
07-23 09:40:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xda4903…
07-23 09:38:42	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x329509…
07-19 22:48:13	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb1afa4…
07-19 22:47:33	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	26	40¢	$10	0x2d3f11…
07-19 21:15:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x324cbf…
07-19 21:15:01	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x762592…
07-18 22:12:46	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x71837a…
07-18 22:06:01	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	198	51¢	$100	0x2f094e…
07-18 22:05:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0xda9614…
04-12 21:53:29	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0xf9f9d3…
04-12 21:37:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x22ec5f…
04-12 20:38:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x789e9c…
04-12 19:47:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xcf37fa…
04-12 19:45:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	183	1¢	$1	0x427edd…
04-06 01:06:17	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	640	0¢	$2	0xcef0e4…
04-06 01:06:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x98b42a…
04-06 01:05:11	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	433	0¢	$1	0x255a8a…
04-06 01:04:55	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x26ac51…
04-06 01:02:19	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	266	0¢	$1	0xbb2723…
04-06 01:02:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xf3edbe…
04-05 23:45:37	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	44	3¢	$1	0x2f28aa…
04-05 23:12:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x3cedba…
04-05 23:04:19	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0xa577ad…
04-05 22:44:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0xb4ad65…
04-05 22:22:07	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	137	3¢	$5	0xaaa495…
04-05 22:10:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	13	34¢	$5	0xcd9058…
04-05 21:58:21	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	192	4¢	$8	0x7f6793…
04-05 21:56:55	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	119	2¢	$3	0x2dcc6e…
04-05 21:50:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	99	35¢	$35	0x1053b7…
04-05 21:50:23	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	82	2¢	$2	0x85e0f8…
04-05 21:45:23	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	111	32¢	$35	0xa92d46…
04-05 21:31:43	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x5b3061…
04-05 21:09:57	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	78	3¢	$3	0xea6b0a…
04-05 21:09:43	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x674ebd…
04-05 20:04:31	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	35	4¢	$2	0xe678e8…
04-05 20:04:17	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xbdbab2…
04-05 19:58:15	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	40	6¢	$3	0x6eb497…
04-05 19:58:03	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x87d096…
04-05 19:45:15	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0xabc6ce…
04-05 19:45:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x1a0107…
04-05 18:21:21	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	17	8¢	$1	0x9fa9bb…
04-05 18:19:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x275960…
04-05 18:13:57	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xc41123…
04-05 18:09:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xf04c51…
04-05 18:00:05	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0xb960b7…
04-05 17:57:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x1f6574…
04-05 17:13:05	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	29	9¢	$3	0xb2798a…
04-05 17:12:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x044971…
04-05 16:21:39	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xba4f5a…
04-05 14:48:39	will iran strike uae again in march	No	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x3ae536…
04-05 11:30:53	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x179af6…
04-05 11:30:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x6e042b…
04-05 11:23:51	will iran strike uae again in march	No	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x122140…