Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

59.7%

Resolved

269

Trades

348

lifetime

Volume

$542

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-31

last 11-06 10:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 29% -$18

Other

8% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No		-22	-$21	100¢	$-22	-$1	09-30 04:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes		-22	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	09-30 04:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	4	$22	0	44	-44	open	—	09-30 04:11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	2	$11	0	22	-22	No	$0	09-30 04:11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$10	0	20	-20	No	$0	08-31 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	10-10 21:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-22 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 12:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 14:45 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-11 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-12 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-27 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-12 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	11-04 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-09 16:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-14 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 08:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 18:15 UTC	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	10-16 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-22 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-30 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-21 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-09 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	11-03 22:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:45 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-14 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-16 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-30 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	11-05 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-20 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	11-02 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	10-31 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-18 18:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 10:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x37fbe6…
11-06 05:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x43672f…
11-06 05:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5ee727…
11-06 02:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6ff34a…
11-06 00:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xed94b5…
11-05 23:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf7b593…
11-05 22:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x917a32…
11-05 22:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2831f4…
11-05 16:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x03305a…
11-05 16:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9d6030…
11-05 11:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8fadce…
11-05 11:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x967cfe…
11-05 10:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe0164e…
11-05 06:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xdf42a0…
11-05 03:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4d53c2…
11-05 02:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x20034a…
11-04 20:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x62e7cf…
11-04 20:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa29fc4…
11-04 19:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcbd1c2…
11-04 19:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc6d9fe…
11-04 19:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x05d252…
11-04 18:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf5721a…
11-04 18:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x11f14e…
11-04 13:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd42d2b…
11-04 03:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xaabd95…
11-03 22:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x617bd1…
11-03 22:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcfce78…
11-03 22:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0dc29a…
11-03 19:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x468416…
11-03 08:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0d9c44…
11-03 06:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe594c0…
11-03 03:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfb923d…
11-02 23:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5f07fe…
11-02 23:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2f777b…
11-02 16:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf9040c…
11-02 16:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9f7c33…
11-02 13:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb4f2f8…
11-02 06:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x234c37…
11-02 04:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe865c6…
11-02 03:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7426cd…
11-02 03:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa5da83…
11-01 22:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4b49b3…
11-01 21:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcd3a6e…
11-01 21:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x714e9f…
11-01 16:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x03e218…
11-01 13:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf861f0…
11-01 03:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc750c8…
11-01 02:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xdc4654…
11-01 00:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2321a1…
10-31 20:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf722fc…
10-31 17:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdb7cb0…
10-31 17:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe4dbe0…
10-31 13:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeea1db…
10-31 13:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4c4bfe…
10-31 04:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa3d6fa…
10-31 04:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8f9546…
10-30 22:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x968093…
10-30 20:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6cb88a…
10-30 19:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xeee93e…
10-30 19:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x81a3ad…
10-30 19:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x24db19…
10-30 18:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6e1d5b…
10-30 17:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7b3009…
10-30 13:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa57642…
10-30 13:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x993273…
10-30 13:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1b6719…
10-30 12:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3c3718…
10-30 10:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0755ad…
10-30 10:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfd867a…
10-30 07:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x62dc2e…
10-30 02:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa861bd…
10-30 02:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x81e5f1…
10-29 23:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1f197d…
10-29 13:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x38fb3e…
10-29 13:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x09e967…
10-29 12:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1b80bc…
10-29 11:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb3cef6…
10-29 11:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xce1e25…
10-29 06:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x4a85f3…
10-28 23:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf4a12f…
10-28 23:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x36c581…
10-28 20:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb1caec…
10-28 20:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcd4008…
10-28 19:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3ddb89…
10-28 15:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xae65b1…
10-28 14:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xbf50c2…
10-28 14:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0e80e5…
10-28 10:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe2aadb…
10-28 06:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x43e70f…
10-28 05:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdb047f…
10-27 13:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8da6df…
10-27 13:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2deb31…
10-27 08:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x14d148…
10-27 08:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x636eb2…
10-27 05:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x18222c…
10-27 01:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x541d3d…
10-26 19:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa53ac9…
10-26 19:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x85c441…
10-26 16:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x357dd2…
10-26 14:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x39ccef…