Crafty-Mechanism — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$248

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

569

Trades

1,419

lifetime

Volume

$6.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 07-10 10:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Other

100% 36% -$248

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in miami on april 4 2026 82 83f	10	$270	187	182	+5	Yes	+$97	04-04 22:38
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 36c	13	$197	153	149	+4	Yes	+$104	04-03 13:38
highest temperature in london on april 5 2026 14c	5	$163	136	130	+5	Yes	+$103	04-06 01:35
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 35c	3	$134	101	97	+3	Yes	+$64	04-04 13:53
highest temperature in miami on april 3 2026 82 83f	7	$127	91	89	+3	Yes	+$52	04-03 21:22
highest temperature in singapore on april 3 2026 33c	5	$106	84	81	+3	Yes	+$59	04-03 12:03
highest temperature in singapore on april 5 2026 31c	3	$74	152	0	+152	No	-$74	04-04 02:09
highest temperature in milan on april 7 2026 25c	5	$70	51	50	+2	Yes	+$30	04-07 18:01
highest temperature in madrid on april 5 2026 26c	4	$63	135	0	+135	Yes	+$72	04-04 00:27
highest temperature in wuhan on april 5 2026 24c	5	$60	170	0	+170	Yes	+$110	04-04 02:17
highest temperature in singapore on april 7 2026 31c	4	$55	47	45	+2	Yes	+$38	04-07 11:36
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 6 2026 29c	4	$54	40	39	+1	Yes	+$25	04-06 23:41
highest temperature in miami on april 4 2026 80 81f	9	$53	188	0	+188	No	-$53	04-03 21:42
highest temperature in singapore on april 2 2026 32c	3	$52	36	35	+1	Yes	+$19	04-02 13:08
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?	1	$50	667	0	+667	No	-$50	06-01 11:50
highest temperature in london on april 5 2026 13c	3	$49	101	0	+101	No	-$49	04-04 00:53
highest temperature in london on april 2 2026 12c	4	$45	34	33	+1	Yes	+$22	04-02 20:01
highest temperature in madrid on april 4 2026 24c	3	$43	92	0	+92	No	-$43	04-03 19:58
highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 24corhigher	2	$40	25	24	+0	Yes	+$10	04-08 13:51
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 35c	12	$37	151	0	+151	No	-$37	04-02 13:13
highest temperature in wuhan on april 5 2026 25c	5	$36	167	0	+167	No	-$36	04-04 02:17
highest temperature in singapore on april 4 2026 32c	6	$36	95	0	+95	No	-$36	04-02 23:06
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 37c	11	$35	150	0	+150	No	-$35	04-02 13:13
highest temperature in singapore on april 3 2026 32c	4	$35	85	0	+85	No	-$35	04-02 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14?	3	$35	36	36	+0	Yes	+$15	06-14 13:35
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on June 14?	4	$35	34	34	+0	Yes	+$15	06-14 03:40
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 23c	5	$33	77	0	+77	No	-$33	04-03 23:44
highest temperature in milan on april 6 2026 26c	2	$33	27	26	+1	Yes	+$20	04-06 23:41
highest temperature in wuhan on april 7 2026 25c	3	$33	25	24	+1	Yes	+$17	04-07 18:01
highest temperature in madrid on april 7 2026 22c	4	$32	25	24	+1	Yes	+$16	04-07 22:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 10:10:43	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xdeb4f3…
07-10 10:10:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xd9d910…
07-10 05:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xfe9297…
07-10 05:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x1361ba…
07-10 05:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xeb2df4…
07-10 05:09:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5314b4…
07-09 17:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$1	0xab7102…
07-09 17:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x6a12f7…
07-09 16:26:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x6ee9be…
07-09 16:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0xbe71fb…
07-09 16:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x09fe24…
07-09 16:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xc67a00…
07-09 16:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x43fec9…
07-09 16:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x77ebe7…
07-09 16:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x667e3a…
07-09 16:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0x498055…
07-09 16:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf2d3f3…
07-09 16:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x3d54f7…
07-09 16:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xe3eff6…
07-09 15:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xdcaf73…
07-09 15:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x6c0aa8…
07-09 09:37:41	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xe3cbc3…
07-09 04:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xaf5a63…
07-09 04:54:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x67519b…
07-09 04:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x59c09c…
07-09 04:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xb00b32…
07-09 04:29:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x32b115…
07-08 20:39:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x9b786f…
07-08 20:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x344abd…
07-08 20:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3c0bf1…
07-08 20:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb22ab2…
07-08 20:29:38	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x07160f…
07-08 20:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x49be13…
07-08 19:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x2447c5…
07-08 19:23:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x90fc53…
07-08 19:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x071fe2…
07-08 18:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$5	0x5d829d…
07-08 17:16:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xdd43af…
07-08 17:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xac269c…
07-08 17:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x4defe3…
07-08 17:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x91167f…
07-08 17:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x1f2fe0…
07-08 16:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xbc514b…
07-08 16:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x548ea9…
07-08 16:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x691f94…
07-08 15:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6563fc…
07-08 15:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x321609…
07-08 15:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa3dcf6…
07-08 15:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xa8b7ab…
07-07 21:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x802781…
07-07 20:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x128f97…
07-07 20:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xaabcfa…
07-07 19:35:11	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xeb3da6…
07-07 18:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x174aed…
07-07 17:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x3a2c95…
07-07 17:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x3f163f…
07-07 17:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd513b1…
07-07 16:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x658850…
07-07 16:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x796692…
07-07 15:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x7716b4…
07-07 15:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x06dd88…
07-07 15:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x9c3093…
07-07 15:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xc5f970…
07-07 15:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xb7b8e4…
07-07 15:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x4e5825…
07-07 15:02:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 8?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x1102cf…
07-06 20:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3fd789…
07-06 20:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x88fc9a…
07-06 20:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x4955e6…
07-06 20:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x77c3ba…
07-06 20:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	47	14¢	$7	0x0212fb…
07-06 20:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xb2caad…
07-06 20:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x1ede66…
07-06 20:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xccbb48…
07-06 07:35:41	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0xdadc8c…
07-06 07:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x72d531…
07-06 07:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0xec94f8…
07-06 05:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x0c7b59…
07-06 05:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x7e50d4…
07-06 05:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xc62c1f…
07-06 05:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x0526f7…
07-05 21:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x3d51cc…
07-05 18:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1a104f…
07-05 17:59:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x831781…
07-05 17:01:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xbb9a2f…
07-05 16:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x4885e1…
07-05 16:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xd8756a…
07-05 16:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0xf1f179…
07-05 15:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x45e4d0…
07-05 15:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x596a33…
07-04 16:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0xe7f33a…
07-04 16:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1ee12b…
07-04 16:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xedcc7c…
07-04 16:35:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x543a7c…
07-04 16:29:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xf7541b…
07-04 16:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x7c9426…
07-04 16:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xdafdfa…
07-04 15:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x721571…
07-04 15:01:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x3bd495…
07-04 15:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x4abf50…