Terrible-Anatomy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$635

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

4,539

Trades

9,304

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-20 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 158 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 41% -$628

Other

3% 29% -$19

Sports

0% 100% +$13

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 164 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
crint ind nzl 2026 01 18	2	$213	109	109	+0	New Zealand	+$5	01-18 15:57
crint ind nzl 2026 01 31	3	$88	95	10	+85	India	-$1	01-31 16:21
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 08:00 UTC	19	$37	115	0	+115	Up	+$3	02-05 08:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 13:00 UTC	7	$28	51	11	+40	Up	-$9	02-03 13:12
ethereum up or down january 21 7am et	7	$28	122	122	+0	Down	+$2	01-21 12:24
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 12:15 UTC	13	$27	64	0	+64	Up	+$7	02-03 12:27
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 12:45 UTC	8	$27	26	25	+0	Up	+$3	02-06 12:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 07:30 UTC	9	$26	27	14	+13	Down	+$1	02-09 07:39
will paradex launch a token on march 5	2	$25	43	43	+0	Yes	+$21	03-05 15:26
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 11:45 UTC	6	$25	24	14	+11	Down	+$2	02-04 12:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 12:00 UTC	10	$25	60	0	+60	Up	-$25	04-23 12:09
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 15:00 UTC	7	$25	32	32	+0	Down	+$1	02-03 15:14
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	5	$25	155	155	+0	No	+$13	05-25 01:21
xrp up or down february 4 7am et	6	$25	42	20	+22	Down	-$3	02-04 12:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 13:00 UTC	8	$25	28	23	+5	Up	+$1	02-06 13:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 11:00 UTC	6	$25	30	30	+0	Down	+$3	01-22 11:12
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 04:45 UTC	13	$24	69	0	+69	Down	+$2	02-04 04:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 04:45 UTC	7	$23	26	12	+14	Up	$0	02-06 04:58
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 12:30 UTC	11	$21	47	4	+43	Down	+$3	02-06 12:43
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 11:45 UTC	11	$21	75	0	+75	Down	+$8	02-03 11:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 06:00 UTC	7	$21	72	9	+63	Down	-$3	02-06 06:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 12:05 UTC	9	$20	44	0	+44	Up	+$0	02-13 12:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 05:00 UTC	10	$20	46	0	+46	Down	+$3	02-03 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	7	$20	29	29	+0	Down	+$4	05-23 07:34
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 07:00 UTC	5	$19	21	21	+0	Up	+$3	02-03 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	4	$19	20	20	+0	Down	+$11	05-23 11:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 09:00 UTC	5	$18	27	10	+16	Down	+$1	02-08 09:10
bitcoin up or down january 22 5am et	2	$18	19	19	+0	Up	-$2	01-22 10:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 01:45 UTC	8	$18	20	19	+1	Up	+$3	04-17 01:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 11:45 UTC	11	$18	46	0	+46	Up	-$18	04-23 11:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 15:46:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd586af…
10-20 15:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb59619…
10-20 15:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x58df06…
10-20 15:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x18c8c0…
10-20 15:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1d7690…
10-20 15:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x66d23c…
10-20 15:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x069036…
10-20 10:51:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x355d56…
10-20 10:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0582b4…
10-20 10:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xff75d2…
10-20 10:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x01fa88…
10-20 10:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7ea6d1…
10-20 10:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x73e153…
10-20 10:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf60738…
10-20 10:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb91255…
10-20 10:18:54	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xf1066d…
10-20 10:16:47	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8852d8…
10-20 10:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0x4fb57a…
10-20 10:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc27707…
10-20 09:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0983ce…
10-20 09:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5f40db…
10-20 09:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd0156f…
10-20 09:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x259554…
10-20 09:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x73cf2c…
10-20 09:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x796c69…
10-20 09:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa39563…
10-20 09:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4fc5c5…
10-20 09:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6f49be…
10-20 09:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x29cbbf…
10-20 09:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x46d18a…
10-20 09:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0845c2…
10-20 08:58:32	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x34036c…
10-20 08:57:17	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x807699…
10-20 08:25:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf729b1…
10-20 08:22:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x49e3c9…
10-20 08:21:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x3cbad5…
10-20 08:04:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x50190a…
10-20 08:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf5a710…
10-20 08:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x40c02d…
10-20 07:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x5063ba…
10-20 07:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd47d7b…
10-20 07:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x5c84d0…
10-20 07:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf4d84f…
10-20 07:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5d33ca…
10-20 07:51:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x6b5b8e…
10-20 07:51:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x75612e…
10-20 07:51:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8b0536…
10-20 07:48:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa786b8…
10-20 07:46:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x934ddd…
10-20 07:45:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa33e4d…
10-20 07:43:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x444b57…
10-20 07:43:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x58e823…
10-20 07:42:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0d7bb2…
10-20 07:38:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xa3d5a9…
10-20 07:35:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc69375…
10-20 07:25:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb0f724…
10-20 07:18:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9e32d6…
10-20 07:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xee5df0…
10-20 07:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x50a12c…
10-20 06:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x44467c…
10-20 06:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x31980a…
10-20 06:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x430139…
10-20 06:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x50b708…
10-20 06:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x8b0dc0…
10-20 06:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb48a10…
10-20 06:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5c7bba…
10-20 06:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x06d763…
10-20 06:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x945352…
10-20 06:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x534538…
10-20 05:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa1f3b9…
10-20 05:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe89b8d…
10-20 05:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1abbb6…
10-20 04:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xa8a590…
10-20 04:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0x4ec04f…
10-20 04:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xce6713…
10-20 04:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9b0eb8…
10-20 04:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x66d5f7…
10-20 04:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xab2fc8…
10-20 04:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe66ee9…
10-20 04:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc11d50…
10-20 04:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x22a3b3…
10-20 04:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf40862…
10-20 04:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x62d3e6…
10-20 04:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x4e2cf2…
10-20 04:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x067648…
10-20 04:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9a6ea3…
10-20 04:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbd8b11…
10-20 04:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7a6caf…
10-19 18:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x7f87d7…
10-19 18:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3fbd02…
10-19 18:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1f9218…
10-19 18:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1bf172…
10-19 18:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0cfe51…
10-19 18:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc5799d…
10-19 18:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x07f782…
10-19 18:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x922d5b…
10-19 17:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1bb4a0…
10-19 17:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd34641…
10-19 17:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x28ddc2…
10-19 17:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x86a849…