Vigilant-Guerrilla — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$418

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

2,378

Trades

5,619

lifetime

Volume

$133.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 09-03 09:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 50% +$1,043

Other

3% 32% -$669

Sports

0% 26% +$44

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:30 UTC	11	$2.3K	1,517	1,482	+34	Down	+$456	04-02 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:15 UTC	3	$1.9K	2,163	1,254	+909	Down	+$130	04-02 13:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:25 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,144	1,123	+21	Up	+$28	04-02 13:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:10 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,101	1,082	+19	Down	-$4	04-02 13:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:45 UTC	27	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$445	03-27 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 02:00 UTC	2	$1.4K	838	820	+18	Down	+$238	04-03 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 01:55 UTC	2	$1.1K	632	627	+5	Up	+$43	04-03 01:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:40 UTC	4	$1.1K	848	823	+25	Up	+$123	04-02 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 12:25 UTC	6	$1.1K	1,032	1,000	+32	Up	-$58	04-02 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 13:40 UTC	4	$1.0K	854	821	+33	Down	+$291	04-05 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 10:10 UTC	2	$1.0K	739	728	+12	Up	+$283	03-26 10:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 01:50 UTC	2	$997	572	562	+9	Down	+$125	04-03 01:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 12:50 UTC	16	$889	601	601	+0	Down	+$300	04-02 12:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 14:35 UTC	2	$869	537	523	+14	Up	+$190	04-05 14:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 12:10 UTC	4	$844	738	714	+25	Up	+$75	04-02 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 05:10 UTC	2	$834	521	507	+14	Down	+$183	04-05 05:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 13:45 UTC	3	$793	530	514	+16	Up	+$189	04-02 13:48
bitcoin above 68k on march 23	13	$780	520	514	+6	Yes	+$164	03-23 14:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 01:45 UTC	2	$741	457	446	+11	Down	+$153	04-03 01:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 12:25 UTC	2	$738	555	535	+20	Down	+$202	04-05 12:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 11:45 UTC	5	$717	568	549	+19	Down	+$122	04-02 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 11:40 UTC	2	$708	418	414	+4	Down	+$116	03-28 11:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:50 UTC	3	$671	472	465	+7	Up	+$258	03-26 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 14:30 UTC	2	$661	597	528	+69	Down	+$48	04-05 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 06:35 UTC	4	$661	982	949	+33	Down	-$364	04-05 06:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 08:45 UTC	5	$636	449	443	+6	Up	+$21	04-05 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 11:35 UTC	4	$618	631	610	+22	Down	-$25	04-02 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 14:30 UTC	2	$614	448	433	+16	Down	+$163	04-01 14:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 12:10 UTC	2	$608	418	403	+15	Down	+$211	04-05 12:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 15:30 UTC	16	$605	432	425	+8	Down	+$76	04-05 15:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-03 09:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x83274c…
09-03 09:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x9f033f…
09-03 09:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x3263c8…
09-03 09:31:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-03 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x0f7863…
09-03 09:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x31ffb7…
09-03 09:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x097db3…
09-03 09:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xff97d2…
09-03 09:16:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-03 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x27cf1a…
09-03 09:15:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-03 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x844dcf…
09-03 09:02:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-03 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xd09510…
09-03 09:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x20e3e5…
09-03 05:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xe575dd…
09-03 05:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x1d5c93…
09-03 05:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8d12f9…
09-03 05:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$3	0x8f608b…
09-03 05:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x88ad3a…
09-03 05:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x000bb1…
09-03 05:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xdbe627…
09-03 05:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x18b4ff…
09-03 05:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xca1567…
09-03 05:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb7316f…
09-03 05:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xb4b1fa…
09-03 05:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x1f6c68…
09-03 05:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x6b41e8…
09-03 04:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x5063dd…
09-03 04:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0cad02…
09-02 10:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x5d6d21…
09-02 07:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5a83a8…
09-01 01:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x0f5316…
09-01 01:53:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xd1cae7…
09-01 01:51:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x872ba6…
09-01 01:51:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	86	27¢	$23	0x7f6a90…
09-01 01:51:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xab5dc7…
09-01 01:51:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x69ae20…
09-01 01:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	67	41¢	$28	0xc9e8c5…
09-01 01:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xbdedc6…
09-01 01:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xbd14a6…
09-01 01:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xb0be81…
09-01 01:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xab9fd9…
09-01 01:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x66dadb…
09-01 01:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x5ca207…
09-01 01:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x56cc53…
09-01 01:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4f59a5…
09-01 01:50:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3b1626…
09-01 01:50:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	200	26¢	$53	0xc38388…
09-01 01:49:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	150	28¢	$42	0xa06fe0…
09-01 01:49:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa24809…
09-01 01:48:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x1bc21e…
09-01 01:48:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x4beb2a…
09-01 01:48:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x7ca0e1…
09-01 01:48:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	155	30¢	$46	0x869128…
09-01 01:48:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0b7523…
09-01 01:48:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xbfc613…
09-01 01:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xf8bb27…
09-01 01:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0xc4e753…
09-01 01:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x7840bb…
09-01 01:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x6ee7f6…
09-01 01:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x2d3f41…
09-01 01:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x2c29db…
09-01 01:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x225d28…
09-01 01:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x0361b2…
09-01 01:39:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xe61f95…
09-01 01:39:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	37	45¢	$17	0x7449ba…
09-01 01:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$3	0x44582c…
09-01 01:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x104d87…
09-01 01:38:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x96dc0d…
09-01 01:34:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	54	43¢	$23	0x2cb6c9…
09-01 01:34:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb287df…
09-01 01:34:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xd58b38…
09-01 01:34:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x96a41f…
09-01 01:34:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x2c4311…
09-01 01:32:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x3b836d…
09-01 01:28:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x675962…
09-01 01:26:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	359	6¢	$20	0x555c2e…
09-01 01:25:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xe2c06f…
09-01 01:25:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	150	37¢	$56	0xdc28b7…
09-01 01:25:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xce88b5…
09-01 01:25:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	75	37¢	$28	0x439702…
09-01 01:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	110	46¢	$51	0x52dd9b…
09-01 01:22:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:20 UTC	Up	SELL	110	51¢	$56	0x10822f…
09-01 01:21:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xb98e2f…
09-01 01:21:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	112	36¢	$40	0xa5d16c…
09-01 01:21:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x971073…
09-01 01:21:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	64	36¢	$23	0xc4d788…
09-01 01:21:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	15	36¢	$6	0xbb6567…
09-01 01:21:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x48360b…
09-01 01:21:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x118fa9…
09-01 01:11:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x3cc745…
08-20 06:31:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x815d7f…
08-20 06:31:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x66e6f9…
08-20 06:25:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x8bc790…
08-20 06:24:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa3de88…
08-20 06:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xc3da99…
08-20 06:04:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x683fc4…
08-20 06:03:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x05cee4…
08-20 06:03:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x61b542…
08-20 03:39:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7d7996…
07-24 09:16:16	bitcoin up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	19	55¢	$11	0xd5549e…
07-24 09:16:12	bitcoin up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0x21e30f…
07-24 09:15:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x6fef99…