Vigilant-Guerrilla — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

263

Trades

5,397

lifetime

Volume

$130.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 07-24 09:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 55% $-61

Other

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775136600	11	$2.3K	1,517	1,482	+34	open	—	04-02 13:33
btc updown 5m 1775135700	3	$1.9K	2,163	1,254	+909	open	—	04-02 13:17
btc updown 5m 1775136300	2	$1.7K	1,144	1,123	+21	open	—	04-02 13:27
btc updown 5m 1775135400	2	$1.7K	1,101	1,082	+19	open	—	04-02 13:13
btc updown 5m 1774611900	27	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-27 11:49
btc updown 5m 1775181600	2	$1.4K	838	820	+18	open	—	04-03 02:05
btc updown 5m 1775181300	2	$1.1K	632	627	+5	open	—	04-03 01:59
btc updown 5m 1775137200	4	$1.1K	848	823	+25	open	—	04-02 13:43
btc updown 5m 1775132700	6	$1.1K	1,032	1,000	+32	open	—	04-02 12:29
btc updown 5m 1775396400	4	$1.0K	854	821	+33	open	—	04-05 13:43
btc updown 5m 1774519800	2	$1.0K	739	728	+12	open	—	03-26 10:14
btc updown 5m 1775181000	2	$997	572	562	+9	open	—	04-03 01:55
btc updown 5m 1775134200	16	$889	601	601	+0	open	—	04-02 12:56
btc updown 5m 1775399700	2	$869	537	523	+14	open	—	04-05 14:40
btc updown 5m 1775131800	4	$844	738	714	+25	open	—	04-02 12:14
btc updown 5m 1775365800	2	$834	521	507	+14	open	—	04-05 05:15
btc updown 5m 1775137500	3	$793	530	514	+16	open	—	04-02 13:48
bitcoin above 68k on march 23	13	$780	520	514	+6	open	—	03-23 14:12
btc updown 5m 1775180700	2	$741	457	446	+11	open	—	04-03 01:51
btc updown 5m 1775391900	2	$738	555	535	+20	open	—	04-05 12:28
btc updown 5m 1775130300	5	$717	568	549	+19	open	—	04-02 11:49
btc updown 5m 1774698000	2	$708	418	414	+4	open	—	03-28 11:46
btc updown 5m 1774533000	3	$671	472	465	+7	open	—	03-26 13:54
btc updown 5m 1775399400	2	$661	597	528	+69	open	—	04-05 14:34
btc updown 5m 1775370900	4	$661	982	949	+33	open	—	04-05 06:38
btc updown 5m 1775378700	5	$636	449	443	+6	open	—	04-05 08:49
btc updown 5m 1775129700	4	$618	631	610	+22	open	—	04-02 11:39
btc updown 5m 1775053800	2	$614	448	433	+16	open	—	04-01 14:33
btc updown 5m 1775391000	2	$608	418	403	+15	open	—	04-05 12:15
btc updown 5m 1775403000	16	$605	432	425	+8	open	—	04-05 15:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 09:16:16	bitcoin up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	19	55¢	$11	0xd5549e…
07-24 09:16:12	bitcoin up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0x21e30f…
07-24 09:15:51	btc updown 15m 1784884500	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x6fef99…
07-24 09:15:49	btc updown 15m 1784884500	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xd6cb85…
07-24 09:09:15	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xd02176…
07-24 09:06:57	btc updown 4h 1784880000	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x23c768…
07-24 09:06:07	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x79ca37…
07-24 09:05:45	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xbc2a06…
07-24 09:05:43	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xf98def…
07-24 09:05:40	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x2a90c5…
07-24 09:00:42	btc updown 4h 1784880000	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x70714b…
07-24 08:37:01	btc updown 4h 1784880000	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xca6e25…
07-24 08:30:01	btc updown 5m 1784881800	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xe6dfed…
07-24 08:30:00	btc updown 5m 1784881800	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc9552e…
07-24 08:30:00	btc updown 5m 1784881800	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x62e1ec…
07-24 08:29:58	btc updown 5m 1784881800	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x37e710…
07-24 08:21:07	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x697797…
07-24 08:20:58	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xeaf1fa…
07-24 08:20:37	btc updown 15m 1784880900	Up	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x857c91…
07-24 08:20:03	btc updown 5m 1784881200	Up	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0xcea288…
07-24 08:20:03	btc updown 5m 1784881200	Up	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0xb75ef5…
07-24 08:17:42	btc updown 5m 1784881200	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9c0122…
07-24 08:04:34	btc updown 5m 1784880300	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x396748…
07-24 08:04:01	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6a7c97…
07-24 08:03:55	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xda53c4…
07-24 08:03:55	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8ad094…
07-24 08:03:51	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xd01da4…
07-24 08:03:25	btc updown 15m 1784880000	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xb9c261…
07-24 08:03:13	btc updown 15m 1784880000	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x9d6649…
07-24 07:32:48	btc updown 15m 1784878200	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x8ab2ff…
07-24 07:23:01	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x8badeb…
07-24 07:07:58	bitcoin up or down july 24 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xe29bd7…
07-24 06:47:12	btc updown 15m 1784875500	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xade96c…
07-24 06:46:28	btc updown 15m 1784875500	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xe2d30c…
07-24 06:46:18	btc updown 5m 1784875500	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x374e4c…
07-24 06:45:03	btc updown 15m 1784875500	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xeeb4da…
07-24 06:35:16	btc updown 5m 1784874900	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x037322…
07-24 05:21:54	btc updown 15m 1784870100	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x909c3b…
07-24 04:33:33	btc updown 5m 1784867700	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf101a2…
07-24 04:32:57	btc updown 15m 1784867400	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xefcfcc…
07-23 23:02:37	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x732077…
07-23 22:39:31	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x30044f…
07-23 22:28:24	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xf65595…
07-23 21:01:39	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xb995ac…
07-23 20:00:31	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8e1292…
07-23 19:54:54	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5fc402…
07-23 19:02:22	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x8bbac2…
07-23 19:01:30	btc updown 15m 1784833200	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x96f2b6…
07-23 19:00:49	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xb095b2…
07-23 18:47:28	btc updown 5m 1784832600	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe9d30e…
07-23 18:46:21	btc updown 15m 1784832300	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x364100…
07-23 18:46:04	btc updown 15m 1784832300	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x19b2d1…
07-23 18:46:01	btc updown 15m 1784832300	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2a791c…
07-23 18:32:06	btc updown 15m 1784831400	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x1b8701…
07-23 18:31:45	btc updown 15m 1784831400	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4b8387…
07-23 18:17:25	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x05ff5c…
07-23 18:17:00	btc updown 15m 1784830500	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf4d05d…
07-23 16:42:28	btc updown 5m 1784825100	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa4b1c0…
07-23 16:33:22	btc updown 5m 1784824500	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1cda2d…
07-23 16:16:01	btc updown 15m 1784823300	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x453864…
07-23 16:15:57	btc updown 15m 1784823300	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x35ddbd…
07-23 16:01:58	btc updown 5m 1784822400	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x449c1e…
07-23 15:54:00	btc updown 5m 1784822100	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf73f18…
07-23 15:39:58	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x8648bb…
07-23 15:36:28	btc updown 15m 1784820600	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xdbcede…
07-23 15:29:00	btc updown 5m 1784820600	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4b0bcf…
07-23 15:27:58	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x346189…
07-23 15:25:48	btc updown 5m 1784820300	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8ca033…
07-23 08:49:48	btc updown 15m 1784796300	Down	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x0a24ee…
07-23 08:47:39	btc updown 5m 1784796300	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xefd62e…
07-23 08:47:04	btc updown 15m 1784796300	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x7d8a28…
07-23 08:34:43	btc updown 5m 1784795700	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6c5292…
07-23 08:34:19	btc updown 15m 1784795400	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x6bcf4c…
07-23 08:33:46	btc updown 15m 1784795400	Down	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0xb8d9b3…
07-23 08:33:42	btc updown 15m 1784795400	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xd7d6ae…
07-23 08:33:40	btc updown 15m 1784795400	Down	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x4fce64…
07-23 08:32:36	btc updown 15m 1784795400	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x60ec47…
07-23 08:23:01	btc updown 5m 1784795100	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6f95b6…
07-23 08:17:13	btc updown 15m 1784794500	Down	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xf93ced…
07-23 08:17:07	btc updown 5m 1784794500	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x1bea26…
07-23 08:13:57	btc updown 5m 1784794500	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7d9291…
07-23 08:04:10	btc updown 15m 1784793600	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xe27185…
07-23 07:53:45	btc updown 5m 1784793000	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2df630…
07-23 07:52:07	btc updown 15m 1784792700	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x110f3d…
07-23 07:43:10	btc updown 5m 1784792700	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x4fbaf6…
07-23 07:43:10	btc updown 5m 1784792700	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1c0993…
07-23 06:19:06	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8a5152…
07-23 06:18:55	bitcoin up or down july 23 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x54a1a7…
07-23 05:59:49	btc updown 5m 1784786400	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x739724…
07-23 05:30:48	btc updown 15m 1784784600	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x57187a…
07-23 05:30:33	btc updown 15m 1784784600	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xc3205a…
07-23 05:30:31	btc updown 15m 1784784600	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x6efd24…
07-23 05:29:51	btc updown 5m 1784784600	Up	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x5b9ae2…
07-23 05:19:58	btc updown 5m 1784784000	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x380673…
07-23 05:05:45	btc updown 15m 1784782800	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2233df…
07-23 05:05:10	btc updown 5m 1784783100	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x5b9b44…
07-23 04:56:43	btc updown 5m 1784782500	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x1d80cb…
07-23 04:56:40	btc updown 5m 1784782500	Down	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xe31600…
07-22 20:14:21	btc updown 15m 1784751300	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x5ea208…
07-22 20:14:07	btc updown 15m 1784751300	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb5a7e6…